Championship match prediction: Little separates Swansea City and Watford in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 02.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Liberty Stadium (20827 seats)

Both teams are enjoying a good season so far and games like this could be decisive. Here's the preview for Swansea City - Watford!

Insights:
  • Swansea City has the fewest conceded goals (12) in Championship
  • Watford has the fewest scored goals (4) away in Championship

Swansea City have less rest than Watford in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Championship game only three days ago. Thankfully the previous game, versus Reading, was also a home game here at Liberty Stadium. The away team is better rested.

D W W L W

Swansea City form and stats

22 points is a decent return from 11 Championship games here at Liberty Stadium for Swansea City. The data says 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Freddie Woodman not having conceded a league goal in 323 minutes.

A draw after 90 minutes last time out for Swansea, who played 0-0 against Reading. That match was also played at this venue (Liberty Stadium). Before that match, a win away at Queens Park Rangers.

This is expected to be a close game, with Swansea perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Swansea City as a small favourite), we find ten games. Swansea City has won eight of these, drawn one and lost one.

The Swansea fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 11 matches. Defensively Swansea have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (4 in 11 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

W L D W W

Watford form and stats

The visitors, who have the fewest scored goals (4) away in Championship, are W2-D5-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Championship.

Impressive finishing from Ismaila Sarr secured the home win 1-0 against Norwich City in their previous game. A 0-2 defeat away at Huddersfield Town before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Watford playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were four Watford wins, three draws and one defeat.

Watford are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 4 goals from 10 away games. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (6 so far).

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: four wins for Swansea, two draws and four wins for Watford. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

Swansea CityA. Ayew Pelé
A. Ayew Pelé
8 goals
SwanseaJ. Lowe
J. Lowe
6 goals
WatfordJ. Junqueira de Jesus
J. Junqueira de Jesus
5 goals

Swansea City missing players

Watford missing players

Swansea City Watford
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 2 10 21
11 6 2 Won W 0 2 10
7 4 2 Drew D 0 5 7
4 1 0 Lost L 2 3 4
25 13 4 Scored S 0 4 24
12 4 0 Conceded C 2 6 15
86% 73% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 70% 86%
68% 64% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 30% 48%
14% 18% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 19%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 19%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 14%
32% 27% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 20% 38%
59% 73% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 50% 43%
23% 27% 50% Failed to Score F T 100% 60% 33%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 1.4 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.4 1.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11 11.2 10.2 Shots (avg) S ( 8.5 9.4 10.7
3.5 3.5 2.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 2.3 2.9
32% 33% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 17% 39%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Swansea City has the fewest conceded goals (12) in Championship
  • Swansea City has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (5) in Championship
  • Swansea City has the most clean sheets (13) in Championship
  • Swansea City has the most clean sheets (8) at home in Championship
  • Swansea City has the most matches under the total-line (16) in Championship
  • Swansea City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Swansea City have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Swansea City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Watford have scored away.
  • Watford has the fewest scored goals (4) away in Championship

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 22 13 5 4 30 20 11 6 4 1 14 8 11 7 1 3 16 12 10 44
2 Brentford 22 11 8 3 36 21 11 5 5 1 18 11 11 6 3 2 18 10 15 41
3 Swansea City 22 11 7 4 25 12 11 6 4 1 13 4 11 5 3 3 12 8 13 40
4 AFC Bournemouth 21 10 8 3 36 18 10 7 2 1 20 8 11 3 6 2 16 10 18 38
5 Watford 21 10 7 4 24 15 11 8 2 1 20 9 10 2 5 3 4 6 9 37
6 Reading 22 11 4 7 32 27 11 7 0 4 16 12 11 4 4 3 16 15 5 37
7 Stoke City 22 9 8 5 26 21 11 5 3 3 17 16 11 4 5 2 9 5 5 35
8 Barnsley 22 10 4 8 27 28 11 6 2 3 14 11 11 4 2 5 13 17 -1 34
9 Middlesbrough 21 9 6 6 25 17 10 7 2 1 15 4 11 2 4 5 10 13 8 33
10 Bristol City 22 10 3 9 23 24 11 5 2 4 10 10 11 5 1 5 13 14 -1 33
11 Preston North End 22 10 2 10 30 30 11 4 1 6 10 12 11 6 1 4 20 18 0 32
12 Huddersfield Town 22 9 4 9 27 30 11 7 1 3 16 9 11 2 3 6 11 21 -3 31
13 Luton Town 22 8 6 8 20 24 11 5 4 2 15 11 11 3 2 6 5 13 -4 30
14 Blackburn Rovers 22 8 5 9 36 27 11 5 3 3 18 12 11 3 2 6 18 15 9 29
15 Cardiff City 22 8 5 9 29 25 11 4 2 5 18 14 11 4 3 4 11 11 4 29
16 Millwall 20 5 10 5 17 18 10 1 7 2 8 10 10 4 3 3 9 8 -1 25
17 Coventry City 22 5 8 9 20 30 11 4 5 2 12 13 11 1 3 7 8 17 -10 23
18 Birmingham City 22 5 8 9 17 27 11 2 2 7 8 19 11 3 6 2 9 8 -10 23
19 Queens Park Rangers 22 4 9 9 20 30 11 3 4 4 11 13 11 1 5 5 9 17 -10 21
20 Derby County 21 4 7 10 14 23 11 1 4 6 5 14 10 3 3 4 9 9 -9 19
21 Nottingham Forest 22 4 7 11 15 26 11 3 4 4 10 11 11 1 3 7 5 15 -11 19
22 Sheffield Wednesday 22 5 7 10 14 23 11 3 5 3 8 8 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 16
23 Rotherham United 20 4 4 12 19 29 10 3 2 5 12 12 10 1 2 7 7 17 -10 16
24 Wycombe Wanderers 22 3 6 13 15 32 11 2 4 5 7 11 11 1 2 8 8 21 -17 15

Swansea City:
Watford:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.