National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Burton Albion or Accrington Stanley that keep their silverware dream alive.
Burton Albion have less rest than Accrington Stanley in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a League One game only three days ago. This match was also played here at Pirelli Stadium. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Accrington Stanley have had more rest.
Burton Albion form and stats
Burton have not come this way in the EFL Trophy without some hard work on the way, more precisely defeating Bradford City, Tranmere Rovers, Sheffield Wednesday and Leicester U21. Last season, Burton Albion's EFL Trophy journey ended in the group stage.The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the League One this season. Burton Albion have only managed 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from their games here at Pirelli Stadium.
A draw after 90 minutes last time out for Burton Albion, who played 1-1 against Derby County. That match was also played at this venue (Pirelli Stadium). Midfield player Taylor got a match rating of 7.84 in that game, the max score being 10. Taylor hit three key passes.
1-1 away at Milton Keynes Dons before that.The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Burton Albion have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 9 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 5 and lost 0.
Burton are traveling soon after this match as the League One match at Barnsley awaits in four days.
Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 19 goals have been conceded.
Accrington Stanley form and stats
The traveling awayteam has defeated Salford City, Rochdale, Liverpool U21 and Grimsby Town in order to reach 3rd round of EFL Trophy. Last season their EFL Trophy adventure ended in the 2nd round.The story so far for the visiting team on their League One travels is 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats.
There were no winners in Accrington Stanley's previous match, the home game that ended 1-1 vs Oxford United. Midfielder Hamilton was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.21. Hamilton scored one goal.
Before that match, the victory at home hosting Barnet in the FA Cup (1-0). Accrington Stanley are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 5 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats. From a total of 16 matches.
Accrington have another match that requires travelling in just four sleeps, a League One match against Port Vale. A difficult itinerary for them!
Many goals are not expected from the visiting Accrington Stanley as they have only managed to score 7 times from 10 away games in the league. 14 goals have been conceded by Accrington Stanley in these games.
Head 2 Head
Burton Albion have avoided a loss in the last 7 fixtures (2-5-0) against Accrington Stanley.Top Goalscorers
  V. Adeboyejo 10 goals |  D. Keillor-Dunn 5 goals |  S. McConville 4 goals |
Burton Albion missing players
Accrington Stanley missing players
| Burton Albion | Accrington Stanley | ||||||
| Total | Home | Statistics | Stat | Away | Total | ||
| 25 | 15 | Played | P | 12 | 25 | ||
| 8 | 6 | Won | W | 4 | 8 | ||
| 8 | 5 | Drew | D | 3 | 8 | ||
| 9 | 4 | Lost | L | 5 | 9 | ||
| 47 | 28 | Scored | S | 11 | 31 | ||
| 41 | 19 | Conceded | C | 15 | 37 | ||
| 100% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 92% | 92% | ||
| 88% | 80% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 58% | 64% | ||
| 52% | 40% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 42% | 48% | ||
| 40% | 40% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 17% | 32% | ||
| 32% | 27% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 8% | 20% | ||
| 68% | 53% | BTTS | BTTS | 42% | 48% | ||
| 16% | 20% | Clean Sheets | C S | 33% | 28% | ||
| 16% | 27% | Failed to Score | F T | 33% | 32% | ||
| 5.9 | 6.7 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 6.1 | 5.3 | ||
| 4.6 | 3.9 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 5 | 5.4 | ||
| 1.3 | 0.9 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 2.7 | 2.3 | ||
| 3 | 2 | Red cards | R C | 1 | 1 | ||
| 12.3 | 13.1 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 12.8 | 12.9 | ||
| 4.2 | 4.7 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 4.1 | 4.3 | ||
| 45% | 40% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 22% | 29% | ||
| 12.2 | 9.9 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 10.1 | 10.9 | ||
| 3.6 | 2.9 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 3.5 | 3.5 | ||
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Plymouth Argyle | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 43 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 20 | 42 |
| 3 | Sheffield Wednesday | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 41 |
| 4 | Bolton Wanderers | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 | Peterborough United | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 10 | 31 |
| 6 | Derby County | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30 |
| 7 | Barnsley | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 29 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 33 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -2 | 25 |
| 10 | Lincoln City | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Port Vale | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Shrewsbury Town | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 26 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 1 | 28 |
| 14 | Exeter City | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 23 |
| 16 | Charlton Athletic | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 24 |
| 17 | Oxford United | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 25 |
| 18 | Cheltenham Town | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Cambridge United | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -12 | 20 |
| 20 | Accrington Stanley | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 21 |
| 21 | Forest Green Rovers | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -21 | 17 |
| 22 | Burton Albion | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 41 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -15 | 15 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -15 | 15 |
| 24 | Milton Keynes Dons | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 15 |
- Burton Albion
- Derby Telegraph - (local newspaper)
- Accrington Stanley
- Lancashire Telegraph - (local newspaper)
