Championship match prediction: Little separates Stoke City and Middlesbrough in quality

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 05.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Bet365 Stadium (30089 seats)

8th position in the Championship table for Stoke City so far, a good performance. The home supporters hope for more joy as 10th-placed Middlesbrough visits Bet365 Stadium.

Insights:
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stoke City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Middlesbrough have scored away.

It's no vacation for neither Stoke nor Middlesbrough as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Stoke City form and stats

3 victories, 2 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Stoke City have to build on here at Bet365 Stadium in the Championship.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Josef Bursik not having conceded a league goal in 213 minutes.

Stoke enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Wycombe Wanderers's place. The match ended 1-0 with Nick Powell scoring. Before that, Stoke played out a draw 0-0 when visiting Sheffield Wednesday.

This is expected to be a close game, with Stoke City perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Stoke as a small favourite), we find eight games. Stoke City has won two of these, drawn three and lost three.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Cardiff City in only three days. This game is also played here at Bet365 Stadium.

Stoke have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Bet365 Stadium with 13 goals in 7 league matches. Stoke City have conceded 13 from these games.

W L W L D

Middlesbrough form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Middlesbrough so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 1-4-2 (win-draw-lose).

Middlesbrough are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the Championship against Swansea City (placed 7th). It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Huddersfield Town wasn't a success with a 2-3 loss.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Middlesbrough playing away and similar expectations, we found 16 relevant matches. Results were six Middlesbrough wins, six draws and four defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Middlesbrough manager N. Warnock as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Preston North End.

The visitors have scored 5 goals from 7 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Middlesbrough are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 6 times in 7 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

As for the last eight games between these two teams, there's two Stoke victories, two draws and four Middlesbrough wins. Over/under statistics; two of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Stoke CityT. Campbell
T. Campbell
6 goals
Stoke CityN. Powell
N. Powell
4 goals
Stoke CityS. Fletcher
S. Fletcher
4 goals

Stoke City missing players

Middlesbrough missing players

Stoke City Middlesbrough
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
15 7 2 Played P 3 7 15
7 3 1 Won W 1 1 6
4 2 1 Drew D 1 4 6
4 2 0 Lost L 1 2 3
22 13 6 Scored S 1 5 16
18 13 5 Conceded C 1 6 10
87% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 71% 80%
67% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 43% 53%
40% 57% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 14% 27%
33% 57% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 7%
27% 43% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 7%
40% 71% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 43% 40%
47% 14% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 43% 47%
27% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 43% 33%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2 1.6 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 1 1.4
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.5 11.7 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9.7 10.7 11.5
2.9 3.4 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 2.1 3.1
50% 54% 60% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 33% 34%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stoke City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Middlesbrough have scored away.
  • Stoke City haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 15 8 4 3 19 14 7 3 3 1 7 5 8 5 1 2 12 9 5 28
2 AFC Bournemouth 15 7 6 2 25 16 8 5 2 1 14 8 7 2 4 1 11 8 9 27
3 Watford 15 7 6 2 19 11 7 6 1 0 16 7 8 1 5 2 3 4 8 27
4 Reading 15 8 3 4 24 19 7 5 0 2 10 7 8 3 3 2 14 12 5 27
5 Bristol City 15 8 3 4 19 15 7 3 2 2 7 6 8 5 1 2 12 9 4 27
6 Brentford 15 7 5 3 22 13 7 3 3 1 11 7 8 4 2 2 11 6 9 26
7 Swansea City 15 7 5 3 17 10 7 4 2 1 9 4 8 3 3 2 8 6 7 26
8 Stoke City 15 7 4 4 22 18 7 3 2 2 13 13 8 4 2 2 9 5 4 25
9 Blackburn Rovers 15 7 3 5 29 17 8 4 2 2 14 8 7 3 1 3 15 9 12 24
10 Middlesbrough 15 6 6 3 16 10 8 5 2 1 11 4 7 1 4 2 5 6 6 24
11 Luton Town 15 6 4 5 14 18 8 3 3 2 10 10 7 3 1 3 4 8 -4 22
12 Cardiff City 15 5 5 5 20 13 8 3 2 3 13 7 7 2 3 2 7 6 7 20
13 Millwall 15 4 8 3 13 12 7 1 5 1 6 7 8 3 3 2 7 5 1 20
14 Barnsley 15 5 4 6 17 17 7 3 2 2 8 4 8 2 2 4 9 13 0 19
15 Preston North End 15 6 1 8 20 23 7 1 0 6 2 10 8 5 1 2 18 13 -3 19
16 Huddersfield Town 15 5 3 7 18 22 7 3 1 3 8 8 8 2 2 4 10 14 -4 18
17 Queens Park Rangers 15 4 5 6 17 22 8 3 3 2 11 10 7 1 2 4 6 12 -5 17
18 Birmingham City 15 3 7 5 11 14 8 2 2 4 7 10 7 1 5 1 4 4 -3 16
19 Coventry City 15 3 5 7 15 25 7 3 2 2 9 12 8 0 3 5 6 13 -10 14
20 Rotherham United 15 3 4 8 14 20 8 2 2 4 9 10 7 1 2 4 5 10 -6 13
21 Nottingham Forest 15 3 4 8 9 17 8 2 3 3 7 8 7 1 1 5 2 9 -8 13
22 Wycombe Wanderers 15 2 4 9 7 21 8 1 3 4 3 7 7 1 1 5 4 14 -14 10
23 Sheffield Wednesday 15 3 6 6 8 13 8 1 5 2 4 5 7 2 1 4 4 8 -5 9
24 Derby County 15 1 5 9 7 22 8 0 3 5 3 13 7 1 2 4 4 9 -15 8

Stoke City:
Middlesbrough:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.