Championship match prediction: Little separates Millwall and Nottingham Forest in quality

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Competition: England Championship
Date: Fri 06.December
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: The Den (20146 seats)

Millwall will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today's opponents. The home side are currently 6 points behind Nottingham Forest.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Millwall form and stats

Millwall have performed here at The Den this season with 5 wins from 9 Championship matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 3 games and lost 1.

Millwall drew their last game, 1-1 away at Birmingham City (placed 15th). In the match before that, Millwall hosted Wigan Athletic and drew the game 2-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Millwall perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Millwall as a small favourite), we find eight games. Millwall has won 3 of these, drawn 3 and lost 2.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Millwall as they are travelling to their away game against Bristol City in the Championship. That match is four days after this one.

A decent goal production from Millwall in their home games so far, with 14 goals from 9 league matches. On the other hand, Millwall have conceded 9 goals.

L W D W W

Nottingham Forest form and stats

The visitors are W5-D4-L1 on the road this term. That's in the Championship.

Nottingham Forest failed to get anything from their last game, a Championship home match vs Cardiff City (placed 10th) that ended with defeat 0-1. Prior to that result Nottingham Forest won their away game at Queens Park Rangers. The scoreline was 4-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found ten similar matches played by Nottingham Forest in our archives, and the results are: 4 wins for Nottingham Forest, 2 draws and 4 defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Middlesbrough in just four days.

Nottingham Forest has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 15 goals from 10 games. It's not easy to score on Nottingham Forest as they have only conceded 8 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 4 wins for Millwall, 3 draws and 3 wins for Nottingham Forest. Over 2,5 goals: 5 times; under 2,5 goals: 5 games.

Top Goalscorers

Nottingham ForestL. Grabban
L. Grabban
8 goals
MillwallJ. Wallace
J. Wallace
7 goals
MillwallT. Bradshaw
T. Bradshaw
6 goals

Millwall missing players

Nottingham Forest missing players

Millwall Nottingham Forest
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
19 9 2 Played P 2 10 18
6 5 2 Won W 1 5 9
8 3 0 Drew D 1 4 5
5 1 0 Lost L 0 1 4
23 14 3 Scored S 5 15 24
25 9 1 Conceded C 1 8 14
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 94%
84% 78% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 70% 61%
42% 56% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 40% 39%
21% 22% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 20% 11%
5% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 10% 6%
68% 67% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 50%
21% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 30% 39%
11% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 17%
 
5.4 6.9 7 Corners For (avg) C F 4.5 4.1 5.7
4.6 3.6 4 Corners Against (avg) C A 8 7.6 6.2
1.8 1.8 3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.2 1.9
2 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
 
189 88 22 Total Shots T S 22 113 244
68 37 9 Shots on Target S O 11 31 55
34% 38% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 45% 48% 44%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Millwall have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Millwall have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Millwall haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Nottingham Forest have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Nottingham Forest have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 West Bromwich Albion 19 12 6 1 36 19 9 5 4 0 23 14 10 7 2 1 13 5 17 42
2 Leeds United 19 12 4 3 28 10 9 6 2 1 13 4 10 6 2 2 15 6 18 40
3 Fulham 19 10 5 4 31 19 10 6 2 2 20 11 9 4 3 2 11 8 12 35
4 Nottingham Forest 18 9 5 4 24 14 8 4 1 3 9 6 10 5 4 1 15 8 10 32
5 Bristol City 19 8 8 3 31 27 9 4 4 1 15 10 10 4 4 2 16 17 4 32
6 Preston North End 19 9 4 6 31 23 10 7 2 1 25 11 9 2 2 5 6 12 8 31
7 Brentford 19 9 3 7 29 14 9 4 3 2 16 6 10 5 0 5 13 8 15 30
8 Swansea City 19 8 6 5 24 20 10 4 1 5 12 13 9 4 5 0 12 7 4 30
9 Sheffield Wednesday 19 8 5 6 26 18 9 4 4 1 10 6 10 4 1 5 16 12 8 29
10 Cardiff City 19 7 7 5 27 25 9 6 2 1 15 7 10 1 5 4 12 18 2 28
11 Blackburn Rovers 19 8 3 8 26 27 10 5 3 2 14 10 9 3 0 6 12 17 -1 27
12 Hull City 19 7 5 7 30 26 10 4 2 4 16 13 9 3 3 3 14 13 4 26
13 Millwall 19 6 8 5 23 25 9 5 3 1 14 9 10 1 5 4 9 16 -2 26
14 Derby County 19 6 7 6 20 25 10 5 4 1 13 7 9 1 3 5 7 18 -5 25
15 Birmingham City 19 7 4 8 19 24 9 5 2 2 11 7 10 2 2 6 8 17 -5 25
16 Queens Park Rangers 19 7 4 8 28 37 10 3 3 4 17 22 9 4 1 4 11 15 -9 25
17 Charlton Athletic 19 6 5 8 26 26 10 4 2 4 13 11 9 2 3 4 13 15 0 23
18 Reading 18 6 3 9 22 23 9 4 0 5 12 13 9 2 3 4 10 10 -1 21
19 Huddersfield Town 19 4 6 9 22 31 10 2 4 4 10 12 9 2 2 5 12 19 -9 18
20 Middlesbrough 19 3 8 8 16 27 10 3 4 3 8 10 9 0 4 5 8 17 -11 17
21 Luton Town 19 5 2 12 25 40 9 3 2 4 14 15 10 2 0 8 11 25 -15 17
22 Wigan Athletic 19 4 4 11 17 31 9 4 1 4 9 12 10 0 3 7 8 19 -14 16
23 Stoke City 19 4 2 13 20 33 10 2 1 7 11 18 9 2 1 6 9 15 -13 14
24 Barnsley 19 2 6 11 21 38 10 2 4 4 15 20 9 0 2 7 6 18 -17 12

Millwall:
Nottingham Forest:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.