Championship prediction and preview: Swansea City modest favorites to beat Millwall

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Competition: England Championship
Date: Sat 23.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Liberty Stadium (20827 seats)

Swansea City have performed better than Millwall so far this season, but every game starts at 0-0. Here's all you need to know about the upcoming game:

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Swansea City form and stats

When playing at home in the Championship, Swansea City have managed 4 wins, 1 draw and suffered 3 defeats from 8 games.

Swansea City manager S. Cooper and his team return home after a 2-2 draw away versus Sheffield Wednesday (placed 8th) in the Championship. Before that match, a win away at Wigan Athletic.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Swansea City have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won 5 times, drawn 3 and lost 3.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Swansea City as they are travelling to their away game against Huddersfield Town in the Championship. That match is three days after this one.

The Swansea City fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 11 in 8 matches. 10 goals have been conceded.

W L W D L

Millwall form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Millwall so far with only 4 points returning home. The records show 0-4-4 (win-draw-lose). Millwall has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Millwall are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the Championship against Charlton Athletic (placed 11th). Prior to that match, the Millwall manager G. Rowett faced defeat when travelling to Reading and losing 1-2.

We have checked recent matches where Millwall have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those twelve games were W2-D5-L5.

A quick return to home after this game, as Millwall are hosting Wigan Athletic in the Championship only three days away.

The attacking power of Millwall when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 8 league matches away. Millwall have conceded 15 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

As for the last nine games between these two teams, there's 5 Swansea City victories, 2 draws and 2 Millwall wins. 4 of these games ended with three goals or more, 5 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Swansea CityBorja Bastón
Borja Bastón
6 goals
MillwallJ. Wallace
J. Wallace
6 goals
MillwallT. Bradshaw
T. Bradshaw
6 goals

Swansea City missing players

Millwall missing players

Swansea City Millwall
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
16 8 4 Played P 2 8 16
8 4 3 Won W 0 0 5
5 1 0 Drew D 1 4 6
3 3 1 Lost L 1 4 5
22 11 6 Scored S 1 7 19
16 10 4 Conceded C 5 15 22
88% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
69% 75% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 88%
56% 62% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 44%
19% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 25% 19%
6% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
56% 50% 25% BTTS BTTS 50% 75% 69%
31% 25% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 19%
25% 25% 25% Failed to Score F T 50% 25% 12%
 
5 6.1 7.5 Corners For (avg) C F 1 4.4 5.6
5 4.2 3.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 8 5.9 4.6
1.3 1.2 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2 1.9
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
Key stats this season:
  • All of Millwall's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Millwall have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Millwall have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Millwall have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Millwall have yet to win a game away.
  • Millwall haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Swansea City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Swansea City have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Swansea City haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 West Bromwich Albion 16 9 6 1 29 17 7 3 4 0 17 12 9 6 2 1 12 5 12 33
2 Preston North End 16 9 4 3 31 17 9 7 2 0 25 10 7 2 2 3 6 7 14 31
3 Leeds United 16 9 4 3 21 9 8 5 2 1 9 4 8 4 2 2 12 5 12 31
4 Swansea City 16 8 5 3 22 16 8 4 1 3 11 10 8 4 4 0 11 6 6 29
5 Nottingham Forest 15 8 4 3 20 13 7 4 1 2 9 5 8 4 3 1 11 8 7 28
6 Bristol City 16 7 7 2 25 21 7 3 3 1 10 8 9 4 4 1 15 13 4 28
7 Fulham 16 7 5 4 24 17 8 4 2 2 15 10 8 3 3 2 9 7 7 26
8 Sheffield Wednesday 16 7 4 5 21 14 8 4 3 1 9 5 8 3 1 4 12 9 7 25
9 Brentford 16 7 3 6 21 13 7 2 3 2 8 6 9 5 0 4 13 7 8 24
10 Queens Park Rangers 16 7 3 6 26 30 9 3 3 3 17 18 7 4 0 3 9 12 -4 24
11 Charlton Athletic 16 6 4 6 22 19 8 4 1 3 10 6 8 2 3 3 12 13 3 22
12 Hull City 16 6 4 6 23 21 9 3 2 4 12 13 7 3 2 2 11 8 2 22
13 Birmingham City 16 7 1 8 16 21 8 5 1 2 10 6 8 2 0 6 6 15 -5 22
14 Cardiff City 16 5 6 5 23 23 8 5 2 1 14 7 8 0 4 4 9 16 0 21
15 Millwall 16 5 6 5 19 22 8 5 2 1 12 7 8 0 4 4 7 15 -3 21
16 Derby County 16 5 6 5 18 21 8 4 3 1 11 6 8 1 3 4 7 15 -3 21
17 Reading 15 5 3 7 19 20 8 4 0 4 12 12 7 1 3 3 7 8 -1 18
18 Blackburn Rovers 16 5 3 8 20 24 8 3 3 2 10 8 8 2 0 6 10 16 -4 18
19 Huddersfield Town 16 4 4 8 18 24 8 2 2 4 8 10 8 2 2 4 10 14 -6 16
20 Wigan Athletic 16 4 3 9 13 24 8 4 1 3 8 9 8 0 2 6 5 15 -11 15
21 Luton Town 16 4 2 10 22 30 7 2 2 3 11 12 9 2 0 7 11 18 -8 14
22 Middlesbrough 16 2 7 7 13 21 8 2 3 3 5 8 8 0 4 4 8 13 -8 13
23 Stoke City 16 3 2 11 17 29 8 1 1 6 8 15 8 2 1 5 9 14 -12 11
24 Barnsley 16 1 6 9 16 33 9 1 4 4 12 19 7 0 2 5 4 14 -17 9