Championship prediction and data: Luton Town moderate expected to overwhelm Hull City

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 23.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kenilworth Road Stadium (10226 seats)

Luton Town have won 18 points playing as the home team. Hull City have got 9 points using the away locker rooms. Will this be a home win?

Insights:
  • Luton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Hull City have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

D W D W L

Luton Town form and stats

Luton Town have played 6 Championship games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 2-3-1 (wins-draws-losses).

Luton manager N. Jones and his team return home after a 2-2 draw away versus Derby County (placed 24th) in the Championship. James Bree (midfield was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.72/10. Bree served one assist, hit three key passes and had 24 successful passes (of 29 total).

In the game before, an away victory match versus Millwall with a 2-0 scoreline.

A decent goal production from Luton in their home games so far, with 11 goals from 6 league matches. Luton have conceded 8 in these home matches.

L L W D L

Hull City form and stats

There's been little loot from Hull City's travels as they have only collected 4 points from 6 away games in the Championship. Hull City only have 1 win to counter their 4 defeats and 1 draw. The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on G. McCann, the Hull manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Home advantage was not enough for Hull in their previous game, as they lost their Championship-match, hosting Peterborough United, 1-2. Defender Callum Elder was the best team player with a rating of 7.42. Elder served one assist, hit three key passes and won 5 of 10 duels.

A 0-2 defeat away at Huddersfield Town before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Hull playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and two home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Hull as they have only managed to score 4 times from 6 away games in the league. Hull's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 9 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Stats for the previous six meetings between these two sides are: two wins for Luton, one draw and three wins for Hull City. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

Luton TownH. Cornick
H. Cornick
6 goals
Luton TownE. Adebayo
E. Adebayo
6 goals
LutonL. Berry
L. Berry
4 goals

Luton Town missing players

Hull City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Luton Town Hull City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 6 3 Played P 2 6 13
4 2 1 Won W 0 1 2
6 3 1 Drew D 1 1 3
3 1 1 Lost L 1 4 8
22 11 3 Scored S 0 4 9
18 8 5 Conceded C 2 9 19
85% 67% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 83% 85%
77% 67% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 83% 77%
62% 67% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 17% 31%
46% 50% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 17% 15%
31% 50% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 8%
46% 17% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 17% 31%
46% 67% 67% Clean Sheets C S 50% 17% 23%
23% 50% 67% Failed to Score F T 100% 83% 62%
 
5.1 5 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4 4.8
5.5 5.2 4.3 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 4.8 4
1.9 1.2 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.7 1.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
12.1 14 11 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 11 10.9
4.2 4.7 3.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.3 3.2
41% 39% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 20% 22%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Hull City have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Luton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luton Town have scored more than double the goals of Hull City.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 AFC Bournemouth 13 9 4 0 21 8 6 4 2 0 13 7 7 5 2 0 8 1 13 31
2 Fulham 13 8 2 3 29 14 7 5 1 1 16 5 6 3 1 2 13 9 15 26
3 West Bromwich Albion 13 7 4 2 22 11 6 4 2 0 11 4 7 3 2 2 11 7 11 25
4 Coventry City 13 7 2 4 19 16 6 6 0 0 14 3 7 1 2 4 5 13 3 23
5 Queens Park Rangers 13 6 3 4 24 20 7 4 2 1 12 7 6 2 1 3 12 13 4 21
6 Huddersfield Town 13 6 3 4 18 14 7 4 1 2 11 9 6 2 2 2 7 5 4 21
7 Stoke City 13 6 3 4 16 14 7 5 1 1 10 5 6 1 2 3 6 9 2 21
8 Reading 13 6 1 6 20 22 7 4 1 2 14 11 6 2 0 4 6 11 -2 19
9 Luton Town 13 4 6 3 22 18 6 2 3 1 11 8 7 2 3 2 11 10 4 18
10 Middlesbrough 13 5 3 5 15 13 7 4 1 2 12 7 6 1 2 3 3 6 2 18
11 Millwall 13 4 6 3 13 14 6 2 2 2 6 7 7 2 4 1 7 7 -1 18
12 Blackpool 13 5 3 5 15 18 6 3 0 3 4 7 7 2 3 2 11 11 -3 18
13 Blackburn Rovers 13 4 5 4 21 17 6 3 2 1 14 8 7 1 3 3 7 9 4 17
14 Nottingham Forest 13 5 2 6 18 16 6 1 1 4 6 10 7 4 1 2 12 6 2 17
15 Swansea City 13 4 5 4 14 15 7 3 3 1 7 4 6 1 2 3 7 11 -1 17
16 Bristol City 13 4 4 5 15 17 7 0 4 3 4 8 6 4 0 2 11 9 -2 16
17 Sheffield United 13 4 3 6 17 19 7 3 1 3 13 10 6 1 2 3 4 9 -2 15
18 Preston North End 13 3 6 4 14 16 7 3 3 1 9 8 6 0 3 3 5 8 -2 15
19 Birmingham City 13 3 4 6 10 16 6 1 2 3 3 9 7 2 2 3 7 7 -6 13
20 Peterborough United 13 3 2 8 14 26 6 2 2 2 9 7 7 1 0 6 5 19 -12 11
21 Cardiff City 13 3 2 8 12 24 6 1 1 4 5 10 7 2 1 4 7 14 -12 11
22 Hull City 13 2 3 8 9 19 7 1 2 4 5 10 6 1 1 4 4 9 -10 9
23 Barnsley 13 1 5 7 7 17 6 1 2 3 3 6 7 0 3 4 4 11 -10 8
24 Derby County 13 3 7 3 9 10 7 2 5 0 7 5 6 1 2 3 2 5 -1 4

Luton Town:
Hull City:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 AFC Bournemouth 13 9 4 0 21 8 6 4 2 0 13 7 7 5 2 0 8 1 13 31
2 Fulham 13 8 2 3 29 14 7 5 1 1 16 5 6 3 1 2 13 9 15 26
3 West Bromwich Albion 13 7 4 2 22 11 6 4 2 0 11 4 7 3 2 2 11 7 11 25
4 Coventry City 13 7 2 4 19 16 6 6 0 0 14 3 7 1 2 4 5 13 3 23
5 Queens Park Rangers 13 6 3 4 24 20 7 4 2 1 12 7 6 2 1 3 12 13 4 21
6 Huddersfield Town 13 6 3 4 18 14 7 4 1 2 11 9 6 2 2 2 7 5 4 21
7 Stoke City 13 6 3 4 16 14 7 5 1 1 10 5 6 1 2 3 6 9 2 21
8 Reading 13 6 1 6 20 22 7 4 1 2 14 11 6 2 0 4 6 11 -2 19
9 Luton Town 13 4 6 3 22 18 6 2 3 1 11 8 7 2 3 2 11 10 4 18
10 Middlesbrough 13 5 3 5 15 13 7 4 1 2 12 7 6 1 2 3 3 6 2 18
11 Millwall 13 4 6 3 13 14 6 2 2 2 6 7 7 2 4 1 7 7 -1 18
12 Blackpool 13 5 3 5 15 18 6 3 0 3 4 7 7 2 3 2 11 11 -3 18
13 Blackburn Rovers 13 4 5 4 21 17 6 3 2 1 14 8 7 1 3 3 7 9 4 17
14 Nottingham Forest 13 5 2 6 18 16 6 1 1 4 6 10 7 4 1 2 12 6 2 17
15 Swansea City 13 4 5 4 14 15 7 3 3 1 7 4 6 1 2 3 7 11 -1 17
16 Bristol City 13 4 4 5 15 17 7 0 4 3 4 8 6 4 0 2 11 9 -2 16
17 Sheffield United 13 4 3 6 17 19 7 3 1 3 13 10 6 1 2 3 4 9 -2 15
18 Preston North End 13 3 6 4 14 16 7 3 3 1 9 8 6 0 3 3 5 8 -2 15
19 Birmingham City 13 3 4 6 10 16 6 1 2 3 3 9 7 2 2 3 7 7 -6 13
20 Peterborough United 13 3 2 8 14 26 6 2 2 2 9 7 7 1 0 6 5 19 -12 11
21 Cardiff City 13 3 2 8 12 24 6 1 1 4 5 10 7 2 1 4 7 14 -12 11
22 Hull City 13 2 3 8 9 19 7 1 2 4 5 10 6 1 1 4 4 9 -10 9
23 Barnsley 13 1 5 7 7 17 6 1 2 3 3 6 7 0 3 4 4 11 -10 8
24 Derby County 13 3 7 3 9 10 7 2 5 0 7 5 6 1 2 3 2 5 -1 4

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The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.