Betting preview: Derby County vs Millwall should be interesting

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 13.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pride Park Stadium (33597 seats)

Season ticket holders at Pride Park Stadium haven’t seen too many victories this season, with Derby County languishing in the 18th position so far. The guesting Millwall will be hopeful to defend their higher league position in this one.

Insights:
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Championship match only three days ago. That game was an away game at Barnsley, so at least County are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Derby County form and stats

Derby County have played 17 Championship games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-5-7 (wins-draws-losses).

Stress levels are on the rise for Derby County's attacking players as they have now played 276 minutes without scoring in a league game. C. Kazim-Richards was their last goal scorer.

Derby County travelled for their previous game, a trip to Barnsley that ended 0-0. A defeat was the result before that one, 0-1 away at Coventry City.

This is expected to be a close game, with Derby County perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Derby County as a small favourite), we find 15 games. County has won four of these, drawn seven and lost four.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Brentford in only three days. This game is also played here at Pride Park Stadium.

Derby County have scored 12 league goals here from 17 matches, not a lot. 17 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Millwall form and stats

As the visiting team in Championship matches, Millwall have produced an overall stat of 6-6-5 so far.

Millwall might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Blackburn Rovers proved too strong as Millwall slumped to a 0-2 defeat in front of their own fans at The Den. Prior to that match, a home win 2-1 against Preston North End.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 15 similar matches played by Millwall in our archives, and the results are: six wins for Millwall, six draws and three defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Millwall now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Championship game at Queens Park Rangers is waiting in only four days.

Millwall find the net regularly in their away games. 17 goals from 17 away fixtures in the league. Millwall have conceded 17 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Millwall - Derby County 0-1 played earlier this season. Derby County-Millwall H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: County three wins, Millwall four wins, three draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

CountyC. Kazim-Richards
C. Kazim-Richards
7 goals
MillwallJ. Wallace
J. Wallace
7 goals
MillwallT. Bradshaw
T. Bradshaw
4 goals

Derby County missing players

Millwall missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Derby County Millwall
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
35 17 6 Played P 6 17 35
10 5 2 Won W 3 6 10
9 5 1 Drew D 2 6 16
16 7 3 Lost L 1 5 9
25 12 3 Scored S 5 17 34
38 17 7 Conceded C 4 17 33
91% 94% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 82% 80%
54% 59% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 71% 71%
26% 12% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 41% 31%
9% 6% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 6% 6%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
29% 29% 17% BTTS BTTS 33% 53% 51%
31% 29% 33% Clean Sheets C S 67% 41% 37%
49% 47% 67% Failed to Score F T 33% 24% 31%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.7 1.6 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 0.9 1.3
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
10 10 9.2 Shots (avg) S ( 10.3 10.4 11.1
2.7 3.2 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.6 3.4
26% 22% 14% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 38% 29%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 35 23 7 5 51 25 18 12 5 1 26 9 17 11 2 4 25 16 26 76
2 Watford 35 19 9 7 46 24 18 14 2 2 35 12 17 5 7 5 11 12 22 66
3 Swansea City 34 19 9 6 44 25 18 11 5 2 23 10 16 8 4 4 21 15 19 66
4 Brentford 34 18 9 7 61 36 17 10 5 2 34 18 17 8 4 5 27 18 25 63
5 Reading 35 18 6 11 49 37 18 11 0 7 28 20 17 7 6 4 21 17 12 60
6 Barnsley 35 17 7 11 42 37 18 10 4 4 23 17 17 7 3 7 19 20 5 58
7 AFC Bournemouth 35 15 11 9 50 34 17 10 3 4 28 16 18 5 8 5 22 18 16 56
8 Cardiff City 35 15 9 11 53 35 17 7 3 7 31 19 18 8 6 4 22 16 18 54
9 Middlesbrough 35 14 8 13 41 38 17 8 3 6 20 18 18 6 5 7 21 20 3 50
10 Stoke City 35 12 12 11 41 39 18 8 4 6 25 21 17 4 8 5 16 18 2 48
11 Millwall 35 10 16 9 34 33 18 4 10 4 17 16 17 6 6 5 17 17 1 46
12 Queens Park Rangers 34 12 10 12 35 39 17 7 4 6 18 19 17 5 6 6 17 20 -4 46
13 Bristol City 35 14 3 18 36 48 18 7 2 9 15 20 17 7 1 9 21 28 -12 45
14 Blackburn Rovers 35 12 8 15 49 40 17 6 6 5 25 20 18 6 2 10 24 20 9 44
15 Preston North End 35 13 5 17 39 45 18 5 4 9 15 17 17 8 1 8 24 28 -6 44
16 Luton Town 34 12 8 14 28 40 16 6 6 4 20 19 18 6 2 10 8 21 -12 44
17 Nottingham Forest 35 10 10 15 28 34 17 5 6 6 15 15 18 5 4 9 13 19 -6 40
18 Derby County 35 10 9 16 25 38 17 5 5 7 12 17 18 5 4 9 13 21 -13 39
19 Huddersfield Town 35 10 8 17 39 51 18 8 4 6 25 18 17 2 4 11 14 33 -12 38
20 Coventry City 35 9 11 15 32 46 18 7 6 5 19 19 17 2 5 10 13 27 -14 38
21 Birmingham City 35 8 11 16 26 43 17 3 3 11 12 28 18 5 8 5 14 15 -17 35
22 Rotherham United 32 9 5 18 35 43 16 4 3 9 20 22 16 5 2 9 15 21 -8 32
23 Sheffield Wednesday 34 9 7 18 24 43 16 6 5 5 13 11 18 3 2 13 11 32 -19 28
24 Wycombe Wanderers 35 5 8 22 23 58 17 3 5 9 10 21 18 2 3 13 13 37 -35 23

Derby County:
Millwall:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 35 23 7 5 51 25 18 12 5 1 26 9 17 11 2 4 25 16 26 76
2 Watford 35 19 9 7 46 24 18 14 2 2 35 12 17 5 7 5 11 12 22 66
3 Swansea City 34 19 9 6 44 25 18 11 5 2 23 10 16 8 4 4 21 15 19 66
4 Brentford 34 18 9 7 61 36 17 10 5 2 34 18 17 8 4 5 27 18 25 63
5 Reading 35 18 6 11 49 37 18 11 0 7 28 20 17 7 6 4 21 17 12 60
6 Barnsley 35 17 7 11 42 37 18 10 4 4 23 17 17 7 3 7 19 20 5 58
7 AFC Bournemouth 35 15 11 9 50 34 17 10 3 4 28 16 18 5 8 5 22 18 16 56
8 Cardiff City 35 15 9 11 53 35 17 7 3 7 31 19 18 8 6 4 22 16 18 54
9 Middlesbrough 35 14 8 13 41 38 17 8 3 6 20 18 18 6 5 7 21 20 3 50
10 Stoke City 35 12 12 11 41 39 18 8 4 6 25 21 17 4 8 5 16 18 2 48
11 Millwall 35 10 16 9 34 33 18 4 10 4 17 16 17 6 6 5 17 17 1 46
12 Queens Park Rangers 34 12 10 12 35 39 17 7 4 6 18 19 17 5 6 6 17 20 -4 46
13 Bristol City 35 14 3 18 36 48 18 7 2 9 15 20 17 7 1 9 21 28 -12 45
14 Blackburn Rovers 35 12 8 15 49 40 17 6 6 5 25 20 18 6 2 10 24 20 9 44
15 Preston North End 35 13 5 17 39 45 18 5 4 9 15 17 17 8 1 8 24 28 -6 44
16 Luton Town 34 12 8 14 28 40 16 6 6 4 20 19 18 6 2 10 8 21 -12 44
17 Nottingham Forest 35 10 10 15 28 34 17 5 6 6 15 15 18 5 4 9 13 19 -6 40
18 Derby County 35 10 9 16 25 38 17 5 5 7 12 17 18 5 4 9 13 21 -13 39
19 Huddersfield Town 35 10 8 17 39 51 18 8 4 6 25 18 17 2 4 11 14 33 -12 38
20 Coventry City 35 9 11 15 32 46 18 7 6 5 19 19 17 2 5 10 13 27 -14 38
21 Birmingham City 35 8 11 16 26 43 17 3 3 11 12 28 18 5 8 5 14 15 -17 35
22 Rotherham United 32 9 5 18 35 43 16 4 3 9 20 22 16 5 2 9 15 21 -8 32
23 Sheffield Wednesday 34 9 7 18 24 43 16 6 5 5 13 11 18 3 2 13 11 32 -19 28
24 Wycombe Wanderers 35 5 8 22 23 58 17 3 5 9 10 21 18 2 3 13 13 37 -35 23

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.