Championship preview: Can Cardiff City edge out victory against Derby County?

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Tue 02.March
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Cardiff City Stadium

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Cardiff City fans are optimistic that the difference between 8th and Derby County's 18th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Cardiff City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cardiff City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Derby County have scored away.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

D W W W W

Cardiff City form and stats

Overall Championship stats at home this season for Cardiff City are 6-3-7 (wins-draw-losses). Hopes of three in a row are alive for Cardiff City after consecutive victories at their own ground.

Cardiff shared the glory with Middlesbrough in their last match, an away game that ended all square 1-1. In the game before, an away victory match versus AFC Bournemouth with a 2-1 scoreline.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Cardiff handle that role? We have found 17 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are ten wins, three draws and four defeats.

The manager M. McCarthy will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Huddersfield Town in only three days.

The Cardiff City fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 27 goals in 16 league matches. Cardiff have conceded 19 in these home matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Derby County form and stats

The visitors are W5-D3-L7 on the road this term. That's in the Championship.

County's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Nottingham Forest that finished 1-1. Prior to that match, a home win 2-0 against Huddersfield Town.

We have checked recent matches where County have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were two victories, two draws and nine defeats.

The schedule is very tough for County now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Championship game at Coventry City is waiting in only four days.

The attacking power of County when travelling is not overwhelming with 13 goals scored from 15 league matches away. 16 goals have been conceded by County in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Derby County - Cardiff City 1-1, played this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Cardiff victories, three draws and four Derby County wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Cardiff CityK. Moore
K. Moore
15 goals
Derby CountyC. Kazim-Richards
C. Kazim-Richards
7 goals
CardiffS. Morrison
S. Morrison
5 goals

Cardiff City missing players

Derby County missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Cardiff City Derby County
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
33 16 5 Played P 4 15 32
14 6 3 Won W 1 5 10
8 3 0 Drew D 2 3 8
11 7 2 Lost L 1 7 14
49 27 9 Scored S 3 13 25
35 19 6 Conceded C 3 16 33
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 93% 94%
82% 88% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 53% 56%
45% 56% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 40% 25%
21% 31% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 7% 6%
9% 12% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
52% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 33% 31%
30% 25% 20% Clean Sheets C S 50% 33% 31%
21% 25% 40% Failed to Score F T 25% 40% 44%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.8 1.8 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.9 1.7
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
10.8 11.3 9.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7.2 10.9 10.4
3.9 4.5 4.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.8 2.5 2.9
38% 38% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 34% 27%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Cardiff City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cardiff City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Derby County have scored away.
  • Cardiff City haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Derby County have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 32 20 7 5 45 25 16 10 5 1 22 9 16 10 2 4 23 16 20 67
2 Brentford 33 18 9 6 61 35 17 10 5 2 34 18 16 8 4 4 27 17 26 63
3 Watford 33 17 9 7 43 24 16 12 2 2 32 12 17 5 7 5 11 12 19 60
4 Swansea City 31 17 8 6 39 22 17 10 5 2 21 9 14 7 3 4 18 13 17 59
5 Reading 33 16 6 11 45 37 16 9 0 7 24 20 17 7 6 4 21 17 8 54
6 AFC Bournemouth 33 14 10 9 47 32 17 10 3 4 28 16 16 4 7 5 19 16 15 52
7 Barnsley 32 15 6 11 38 36 16 9 3 4 22 17 16 6 3 7 16 19 2 51
8 Cardiff City 33 14 8 11 49 35 16 6 3 7 27 19 17 8 5 4 22 16 14 50
9 Middlesbrough 33 13 8 12 38 35 17 8 3 6 20 18 16 5 5 6 18 17 3 47
10 Stoke City 33 11 12 10 38 37 16 7 4 5 22 19 17 4 8 5 16 18 1 45
11 Bristol City 33 14 3 16 35 44 16 7 2 7 14 16 17 7 1 9 21 28 -9 45
12 Millwall 33 9 16 8 32 30 16 3 10 3 15 13 17 6 6 5 17 17 2 43
13 Preston North End 33 13 4 16 37 42 17 5 3 9 14 16 16 8 1 7 23 26 -5 43
14 Luton Town 32 11 8 13 27 37 16 6 6 4 20 19 16 5 2 9 7 18 -10 41
15 Blackburn Rovers 32 11 7 14 46 38 16 6 5 5 24 19 16 5 2 9 22 19 8 40
16 Nottingham Forest 33 10 10 13 28 32 16 5 6 5 15 14 17 5 4 8 13 18 -4 40
17 Queens Park Rangers 31 10 10 11 31 36 15 6 4 5 16 16 16 4 6 6 15 20 -5 40
18 Derby County 32 10 8 14 25 33 17 5 5 7 12 17 15 5 3 7 13 16 -8 38
19 Huddersfield Town 33 10 6 17 38 50 16 8 2 6 24 17 17 2 4 11 14 33 -12 36
20 Coventry City 33 8 11 14 30 44 16 6 6 4 17 17 17 2 5 10 13 27 -14 35
21 Birmingham City 33 8 10 15 25 41 17 3 3 11 12 28 16 5 7 4 13 13 -16 34
22 Rotherham United 31 8 5 18 33 42 16 4 3 9 20 22 15 4 2 9 13 20 -9 29
23 Sheffield Wednesday 32 9 7 16 23 38 15 6 5 4 12 9 17 3 2 12 11 29 -15 28
24 Wycombe Wanderers 31 5 8 18 23 51 16 3 5 8 10 19 15 2 3 10 13 32 -28 23

Cardiff City:
Derby County:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Norwich City 32 20 7 5 45 25 16 10 5 1 22 9 16 10 2 4 23 16 20 67
2 Brentford 33 18 9 6 61 35 17 10 5 2 34 18 16 8 4 4 27 17 26 63
3 Watford 33 17 9 7 43 24 16 12 2 2 32 12 17 5 7 5 11 12 19 60
4 Swansea City 31 17 8 6 39 22 17 10 5 2 21 9 14 7 3 4 18 13 17 59
5 Reading 33 16 6 11 45 37 16 9 0 7 24 20 17 7 6 4 21 17 8 54
6 AFC Bournemouth 33 14 10 9 47 32 17 10 3 4 28 16 16 4 7 5 19 16 15 52
7 Barnsley 32 15 6 11 38 36 16 9 3 4 22 17 16 6 3 7 16 19 2 51
8 Cardiff City 33 14 8 11 49 35 16 6 3 7 27 19 17 8 5 4 22 16 14 50
9 Middlesbrough 33 13 8 12 38 35 17 8 3 6 20 18 16 5 5 6 18 17 3 47
10 Stoke City 33 11 12 10 38 37 16 7 4 5 22 19 17 4 8 5 16 18 1 45
11 Bristol City 33 14 3 16 35 44 16 7 2 7 14 16 17 7 1 9 21 28 -9 45
12 Millwall 33 9 16 8 32 30 16 3 10 3 15 13 17 6 6 5 17 17 2 43
13 Preston North End 33 13 4 16 37 42 17 5 3 9 14 16 16 8 1 7 23 26 -5 43
14 Luton Town 32 11 8 13 27 37 16 6 6 4 20 19 16 5 2 9 7 18 -10 41
15 Blackburn Rovers 32 11 7 14 46 38 16 6 5 5 24 19 16 5 2 9 22 19 8 40
16 Nottingham Forest 33 10 10 13 28 32 16 5 6 5 15 14 17 5 4 8 13 18 -4 40
17 Queens Park Rangers 31 10 10 11 31 36 15 6 4 5 16 16 16 4 6 6 15 20 -5 40
18 Derby County 32 10 8 14 25 33 17 5 5 7 12 17 15 5 3 7 13 16 -8 38
19 Huddersfield Town 33 10 6 17 38 50 16 8 2 6 24 17 17 2 4 11 14 33 -12 36
20 Coventry City 33 8 11 14 30 44 16 6 6 4 17 17 17 2 5 10 13 27 -14 35
21 Birmingham City 33 8 10 15 25 41 17 3 3 11 12 28 16 5 7 4 13 13 -16 34
22 Rotherham United 31 8 5 18 33 42 16 4 3 9 20 22 15 4 2 9 13 20 -9 29
23 Sheffield Wednesday 32 9 7 16 23 38 15 6 5 4 12 9 17 3 2 12 11 29 -15 28
24 Wycombe Wanderers 31 5 8 18 23 51 16 3 5 8 10 19 15 2 3 10 13 32 -28 23

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.