Palmeiras vs Grêmio betting preview: Even match expected

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sat 16.January
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Parque (43600 seats)

Both teams are enjoying a good season so far and games like this could be decisive. Here's the preview for Palmeiras - Grêmio!

Insights:
  • Palmeiras have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Grêmio has the fewest conceded goals (23) in Serie A

The hosts Palmeiras saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Copa Libertadores. This match was also played here at Allianz Parque. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Grêmio have had more rest.

L W W W W

Palmeiras form and stats

7 victories, 4 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Palmeiras have to build on here at Allianz Parque in the Serie A. Palmeiras has won so many consecutive home games (five in a row) that they struggle to remember the last time points were lost here at Allianz Parque. We remember; it was Coritiba.

Nothing to worry about in defence for Palmeiras, as their goalkeeper Weverton Pereira da Silva has completely shut out the opponents for 187 minutes in the Serie A.

The Palmeiras fans got no joy from their last match, a Copa Libertadores game also here at Allianz Parque: A 0-2 defeat against River Plate. In the preceding match a 1-0 victory visiting Sport Recife.

Palmeiras's goalkeeper Weverton was extremely busy against River Plate, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning ten saves.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Palmeiras have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found four matches with the results: Won one, drawn one and lost two.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Palmeiras, as the Serie A home game vs Corinthians is only three days away.

The Palmeiras fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 22 goals in 13 league matches. Palmeiras are not conceding a lot of goals here at Allianz Parque in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 13 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Grêmio form and stats

As the visiting team in Serie A matches, Grêmio, who have the fewest conceded goals (23) in Serie A, have produced an overall stat of 3-9-2 so far. In general it has been a productive period now for Grêmio as they haven't lost any of their last 14 games. Grêmio are enjoying a nice run from their away games now, having played seven in a row without losing.

Grêmio are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 0-0 draw at Fortaleza (placed 16th). Before that, Grêmio secured a home win against Bahia with the score 2-1.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found ten similar matches played by Grêmio in our archives, and the results are: seven wins for Grêmio, one draw and two defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Grêmio as they have only managed to score 11 times from 14 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Grêmio are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 10 times in 14 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Grêmio - Palmeiras 1-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Palmeiras five wins, three draws and Grêmio two victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven games had two or less.

Palmeiras missing players

Grêmio missing players

Palmeiras Grêmio
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 3 14 28
13 7 1 Won W 0 3 12
8 4 2 Drew D 2 9 13
6 2 1 Lost L 1 2 3
38 22 5 Scored S 2 11 37
25 12 4 Conceded C 4 10 23
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 64% 79%
81% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 57% 71%
41% 54% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 21% 43%
11% 15% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 7% 14%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
48% 54% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 64%
37% 38% 25% Clean Sheets C S 33% 50% 36%
15% 8% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 36% 21%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.7 2.5 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.1 1.9
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 4 7
 
13 14.1 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.3 12.5 14.4
4 4.8 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.6 4.5
35% 35% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 22% 30%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Grêmio has the fewest conceded goals (10) away in Serie A
  • Grêmio has the fewest conceded goals (23) in Serie A
  • Grêmio has the most clean sheets (7) away in Serie A
  • Palmeiras have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Palmeiras haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sao Paulo 29 16 8 5 49 27 14 9 4 1 23 7 15 7 4 4 26 20 22 56
2 Internacional 29 15 8 6 44 26 14 9 4 1 25 11 15 6 4 5 19 15 18 53
3 Atletico Mineiro 28 15 5 8 48 36 14 10 3 1 31 11 14 5 2 7 17 25 12 50
4 Flamengo 28 14 7 7 47 39 15 7 4 4 27 21 13 7 3 3 20 18 8 49
5 Grêmio 28 12 13 3 37 23 14 9 4 1 26 13 14 3 9 2 11 10 14 49
6 Palmeiras 27 13 8 6 38 25 13 7 4 2 22 12 14 6 4 4 16 13 13 47
7 Fluminense 28 12 7 9 39 32 14 7 4 3 23 14 14 5 3 6 16 18 7 43
8 Santos 28 11 9 8 39 35 14 6 6 2 26 17 14 5 3 6 13 18 4 42
9 Ceara 29 10 9 10 40 39 14 5 5 4 16 16 15 5 4 6 24 23 1 39
10 Corinthians 27 10 9 8 30 30 13 5 5 3 16 17 14 5 4 5 14 13 0 39
11 Atletico PR 29 11 5 13 26 28 14 6 3 5 13 10 15 5 2 8 13 18 -2 38
12 Atletico GO 29 8 12 9 26 33 15 3 8 4 16 18 14 5 4 5 10 15 -7 36
13 Bragantino 29 8 11 10 37 35 15 7 4 4 26 17 14 1 7 6 11 18 2 35
14 Sport Recife 29 9 5 15 24 37 15 7 1 7 15 17 14 2 4 8 9 20 -13 32
15 Vasco da Gama 28 8 8 12 29 39 14 5 4 5 15 14 14 3 4 7 14 25 -10 32
16 Fortaleza 29 7 11 11 24 26 15 5 6 4 12 10 14 2 5 7 12 16 -2 32
17 Bahia 29 8 5 16 35 51 14 6 1 7 19 21 15 2 4 9 16 30 -16 29
18 Goias 29 6 8 15 29 44 14 4 4 6 16 21 15 2 4 9 13 23 -15 26
19 Botafogo 29 4 11 14 25 44 15 2 5 8 12 21 14 2 6 6 13 23 -19 23
20 Coritiba 29 5 7 17 22 39 15 3 4 8 8 13 14 2 3 9 14 26 -17 22

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.