Serie A preview: Can Palmeiras edge out victory against Bragantino?

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 27.December
Match begins: 21:15 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Parque (43600 seats)

Palmeiras perform at a high level so far being 6th in the table. Bragantino can look both up and down from their 13th position.

Insights:
  • Palmeiras have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

The hosts Palmeiras saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Copa do Brasil. Thankfully the previous game, versus América Mineiro, was also a home game here at Allianz Parque. The away team is better rested.

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Palmeiras form and stats

Palmeiras have collected 22 points from their Serie A home games so far after 6-4-2. Palmeiras has won so many consecutive home games (four in a row) that they struggle to remember the last time points were lost here at Allianz Parque. We remember; it was Coritiba.

The home supporters saw a 1-1 draw versus América Mineiro in the Copa do Brasil last time out and are looking for a win here. A Serie A defeat was the result before that one, 0-2 away at Internacional.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Palmeiras have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won four times, drawn two and lost two.

There will be little rest for Palmeiras after this match as they are travelling to América Mineiro for a Copa do Brasil game in only three days.

The Palmeiras fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 21 goals in 12 league matches. On the other hand, Palmeiras have conceded 12 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Bragantino form and stats

There's been little loot from Bragantino's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 13 away games in the Serie A. Bragantino only have 1 win to counter their 5 defeats and 7 draws. Two points from the last two away games for Bragantino, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

The manager M. Nogueira Barbieri was unhappy after their last game, a Serie A match played at their home ground Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid. Bragantino suffered a 0-1 loss to Atletico PR (placed 12th). A home win before that, celebrating 2-1 vs Fortaleza.

Bragantino are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, three draws and two defeats. From a total of five matches.

The attacking power of Bragantino when travelling is not overwhelming with 11 goals scored from 13 league matches away. 17 goals have been conceded by Bragantino in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Palmeiras and Bragantino have met before this season: Bragantino - Palmeiras 1-2. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: nine wins for Palmeiras, zero draws and one win for Bragantino. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

BragantinoC. Rodrigues Parise Leonel
C. Rodrigues Parise Leonel
10 goals
PalmeirasR. Cavalcante Veiga
R. Cavalcante Veiga
8 goals
PalmeirasL. de Souza da Silva
L. de Souza da Silva
7 goals

Palmeiras missing players

Bragantino missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Palmeiras Bragantino
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
25 12 4 Played P 4 13 26
11 6 4 Won W 0 1 7
8 4 0 Drew D 2 7 10
6 2 0 Lost L 2 5 9
36 21 9 Scored S 4 11 31
25 12 2 Conceded C 6 17 30
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 85% 88%
88% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 85% 85%
44% 58% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 46% 46%
12% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 8%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
52% 58% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 77% 65%
32% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 23%
16% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 23% 23%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.6 2.5 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.7 2
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
13.3 14.8 18.2 Shots (avg) S ( 12.2 14.1 15.2
4.1 5.2 6.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 4.5 4.7
35% 34% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 19% 25%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Palmeiras's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Palmeiras have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Palmeiras haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 São Paulo 26 15 8 3 45 21 13 9 4 0 23 6 13 6 4 3 22 15 24 53
2 Flamengo 25 14 6 5 46 35 13 7 4 2 26 17 12 7 2 3 20 18 11 48
3 Atletico Mineiro 26 14 4 8 44 34 13 9 3 1 29 11 13 5 1 7 15 23 10 46
4 Internacional 26 12 8 6 39 25 13 8 4 1 24 11 13 4 4 5 15 14 14 44
5 Grêmio 25 10 12 3 33 21 12 7 4 1 22 11 13 3 8 2 11 10 12 42
6 Palmeiras 25 11 8 6 36 25 12 6 4 2 21 12 13 5 4 4 15 13 11 41
7 Fluminense 26 11 7 8 36 29 13 7 4 2 22 12 13 4 3 6 14 17 7 40
8 Santos 26 10 8 8 37 34 13 6 5 2 25 16 13 4 3 6 12 18 3 38
9 Corinthians 26 9 9 8 28 30 13 5 5 3 16 17 13 4 4 5 12 13 -2 36
10 Ceara 26 9 8 9 37 36 13 5 5 3 16 14 13 4 3 6 21 22 1 35
11 Atlético GO 26 8 10 8 24 30 13 3 6 4 15 17 13 5 4 4 9 13 -6 34
12 Atletico PR 26 9 4 13 21 28 13 5 3 5 10 10 13 4 1 8 11 18 -7 31
13 Bragantino 26 7 10 9 31 30 13 6 3 4 20 13 13 1 7 5 11 17 1 31
14 Fortaleza 26 7 9 10 24 25 13 5 4 4 12 10 13 2 5 6 12 15 -1 30
15 Sport Recife 26 8 5 13 23 35 13 6 1 6 14 16 13 2 4 7 9 19 -12 29
16 Bahia 26 8 4 14 32 46 13 6 1 6 18 19 13 2 3 8 14 27 -14 28
17 Vasco da Gama 25 7 7 11 26 36 13 4 4 5 12 14 12 3 3 6 14 22 -10 28
18 Botafogo 26 4 11 11 25 37 13 2 5 6 12 17 13 2 6 5 13 20 -12 23
19 Coritiba 26 5 6 15 21 35 13 3 3 7 7 11 13 2 3 8 14 24 -14 21
20 Goias 26 4 8 14 26 42 13 3 4 6 15 21 13 1 4 8 11 21 -16 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 São Paulo 26 15 8 3 45 21 13 9 4 0 23 6 13 6 4 3 22 15 24 53
2 Flamengo 25 14 6 5 46 35 13 7 4 2 26 17 12 7 2 3 20 18 11 48
3 Atletico Mineiro 26 14 4 8 44 34 13 9 3 1 29 11 13 5 1 7 15 23 10 46
4 Internacional 26 12 8 6 39 25 13 8 4 1 24 11 13 4 4 5 15 14 14 44
5 Grêmio 25 10 12 3 33 21 12 7 4 1 22 11 13 3 8 2 11 10 12 42
6 Palmeiras 25 11 8 6 36 25 12 6 4 2 21 12 13 5 4 4 15 13 11 41
7 Fluminense 26 11 7 8 36 29 13 7 4 2 22 12 13 4 3 6 14 17 7 40
8 Santos 26 10 8 8 37 34 13 6 5 2 25 16 13 4 3 6 12 18 3 38
9 Corinthians 26 9 9 8 28 30 13 5 5 3 16 17 13 4 4 5 12 13 -2 36
10 Ceara 26 9 8 9 37 36 13 5 5 3 16 14 13 4 3 6 21 22 1 35
11 Atlético GO 26 8 10 8 24 30 13 3 6 4 15 17 13 5 4 4 9 13 -6 34
12 Atletico PR 26 9 4 13 21 28 13 5 3 5 10 10 13 4 1 8 11 18 -7 31
13 Bragantino 26 7 10 9 31 30 13 6 3 4 20 13 13 1 7 5 11 17 1 31
14 Fortaleza 26 7 9 10 24 25 13 5 4 4 12 10 13 2 5 6 12 15 -1 30
15 Sport Recife 26 8 5 13 23 35 13 6 1 6 14 16 13 2 4 7 9 19 -12 29
16 Bahia 26 8 4 14 32 46 13 6 1 6 18 19 13 2 3 8 14 27 -14 28
17 Vasco da Gama 25 7 7 11 26 36 13 4 4 5 12 14 12 3 3 6 14 22 -10 28
18 Botafogo 26 4 11 11 25 37 13 2 5 6 12 17 13 2 6 5 13 20 -12 23
19 Coritiba 26 5 6 15 21 35 13 3 3 7 7 11 13 2 3 8 14 24 -14 21
20 Goias 26 4 8 14 26 42 13 3 4 6 15 21 13 1 4 8 11 21 -16 20

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.