Serie A preview: Can Grêmio edge out victory against Santos?

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Wed 03.February
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Arena do Grêmio (55662 seats)

Grêmio and Santos have both delivered a "par" performance so far, to use a golfing expression. Both hold mid-table positions in the Serie A.

Insights:
  • Grêmio has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (12) in Serie A
  • Grêmio have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Santos have scored away.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

The season is still full of potential for Grêmio as they can still win the whole Serie A.

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Grêmio form and stats

32 points is a decent return from 16 Serie A games here at Arena do Grêmio for Grêmio. The data says 9 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses.

An away draw last time out for Grêmio, facing Coritiba in a game that ended 1-1. Preceding that match was a defeat to Flamengo (2-4).

Jean Pyerre felt an ounce or two of guilt after the draw against Coritiba as the player was unable to convert a penalty kick in the 90th minute.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Grêmio handle that role? We have found seven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are four wins, two draws and one defeat.

Grêmio have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Arena do Grêmio with 29 goals in 16 league matches. On the other hand, Grêmio have conceded 18 goals.

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Santos form and stats

As the visiting team in Serie A matches, Santos have produced an overall stat of 5-3-8 so far. Three has not been a lucky number for Santos as they have been defeated three times in a row since the Botafogo match. Santos seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Santos lost away at Palmeiras (0-1) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. Prior to that match, the Santos manager A. Stival faced defeat when travelling to Atletico Mineiro and losing 0-2.

Late heartbreak for Santos in the Palmeiras match, as the deciding 0-1 goal came deep into overtime.

We have checked recent matches where Santos have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were two victories, two draws and five defeats.

Santos has another fixture away, a Serie A game, against Atlético GO in just three days. A tough schedule for the visitors!

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Santos as they have only managed to score 13 times from 16 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Santos have conceded 22 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Santos - Grêmio 2-1. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: two - four - four (Grêmio wins - draws - Santos wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SantosM. Santos Costa
M. Santos Costa
17 goals
GrêmioD. de Souza Andrade
D. de Souza Andrade
11 goals
GrêmioE. Aquino Cossa
E. Aquino Cossa
8 goals

Grêmio missing players

Santos missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Grêmio Santos
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
33 16 4 Played P 4 16 32
12 9 3 Won W 1 5 12
16 5 1 Drew D 2 3 9
5 2 0 Lost L 1 8 11
43 29 8 Scored S 3 13 44
32 18 4 Conceded C 3 22 44
82% 94% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 97%
76% 88% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 62% 75%
42% 62% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 31% 47%
15% 25% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 19% 34%
6% 12% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 12%
70% 81% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 44% 62%
30% 19% 25% Clean Sheets C S 25% 25% 16%
18% 6% 25% Failed to Score F T 25% 38% 25%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2 1.9 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.3 2.3
7 3 0 Red cards R C 2 4 4
 
14.1 15.4 15.8 Shots (avg) S ( 6.8 9.8 11.6
4.4 5.2 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.2 2.9 4.1
30% 35% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 28% 33%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Grêmio has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (12) in Serie A
  • Grêmio have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Grêmio have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Santos have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Internacional 33 19 8 6 57 31 17 12 4 1 33 15 16 7 4 5 24 16 26 65
2 Atletico Mineiro 33 18 6 9 58 41 17 13 3 1 38 12 16 5 3 8 20 29 17 60
3 Flamengo 32 17 7 8 57 43 16 8 4 4 29 21 16 9 3 4 28 22 14 58
4 Sao Paulo 33 16 10 7 53 36 16 9 5 2 25 13 17 7 5 5 28 23 17 58
5 Fluminense 33 15 8 10 48 40 17 10 4 3 29 14 16 5 4 7 19 26 8 53
6 Palmeiras 32 14 10 8 45 31 16 8 6 2 28 14 16 6 4 6 17 17 14 52
7 Grêmio 33 12 16 5 43 32 16 9 5 2 29 18 17 3 11 3 14 14 11 52
8 Atletico PR 33 13 6 14 31 31 16 7 4 5 16 12 17 6 2 9 15 19 0 45
9 Ceara 33 12 9 12 47 44 17 6 5 6 19 21 16 6 4 6 28 23 3 45
10 Corinthians 32 12 9 11 39 38 16 7 5 4 24 19 16 5 4 7 15 19 1 45
11 Santos 32 12 9 11 44 44 16 7 6 3 31 22 16 5 3 8 13 22 0 45
12 Atlético GO 33 11 12 10 34 38 17 5 8 4 20 19 16 6 4 6 14 19 -4 45
13 Bragantino 33 11 11 11 46 39 16 8 4 4 30 18 17 3 7 7 16 21 7 44
14 Vasco da Gama 33 9 10 14 34 47 17 6 5 6 18 17 16 3 5 8 16 30 -13 37
15 Bahia 33 10 6 17 38 54 16 8 1 7 22 22 17 2 5 10 16 32 -16 36
16 Sport Recife 32 10 5 17 26 41 16 8 1 7 17 17 16 2 4 10 9 24 -15 35
17 Fortaleza 33 8 11 14 28 34 16 6 6 4 14 10 17 2 5 10 14 24 -6 35
18 Goias 33 7 8 18 33 57 16 4 4 8 16 28 17 3 4 10 17 29 -24 29
19 Coritiba 33 6 10 17 28 44 17 3 6 8 12 17 16 3 4 9 16 27 -16 28
20 Botafogo 32 4 11 17 27 51 16 2 5 9 13 24 16 2 6 8 14 27 -24 23

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Internacional 33 19 8 6 57 31 17 12 4 1 33 15 16 7 4 5 24 16 26 65
2 Atletico Mineiro 33 18 6 9 58 41 17 13 3 1 38 12 16 5 3 8 20 29 17 60
3 Flamengo 32 17 7 8 57 43 16 8 4 4 29 21 16 9 3 4 28 22 14 58
4 Sao Paulo 33 16 10 7 53 36 16 9 5 2 25 13 17 7 5 5 28 23 17 58
5 Fluminense 33 15 8 10 48 40 17 10 4 3 29 14 16 5 4 7 19 26 8 53
6 Palmeiras 32 14 10 8 45 31 16 8 6 2 28 14 16 6 4 6 17 17 14 52
7 Grêmio 33 12 16 5 43 32 16 9 5 2 29 18 17 3 11 3 14 14 11 52
8 Atletico PR 33 13 6 14 31 31 16 7 4 5 16 12 17 6 2 9 15 19 0 45
9 Ceara 33 12 9 12 47 44 17 6 5 6 19 21 16 6 4 6 28 23 3 45
10 Corinthians 32 12 9 11 39 38 16 7 5 4 24 19 16 5 4 7 15 19 1 45
11 Santos 32 12 9 11 44 44 16 7 6 3 31 22 16 5 3 8 13 22 0 45
12 Atlético GO 33 11 12 10 34 38 17 5 8 4 20 19 16 6 4 6 14 19 -4 45
13 Bragantino 33 11 11 11 46 39 16 8 4 4 30 18 17 3 7 7 16 21 7 44
14 Vasco da Gama 33 9 10 14 34 47 17 6 5 6 18 17 16 3 5 8 16 30 -13 37
15 Bahia 33 10 6 17 38 54 16 8 1 7 22 22 17 2 5 10 16 32 -16 36
16 Sport Recife 32 10 5 17 26 41 16 8 1 7 17 17 16 2 4 10 9 24 -15 35
17 Fortaleza 33 8 11 14 28 34 16 6 6 4 14 10 17 2 5 10 14 24 -6 35
18 Goias 33 7 8 18 33 57 16 4 4 8 16 28 17 3 4 10 17 29 -24 29
19 Coritiba 33 6 10 17 28 44 17 3 6 8 12 17 16 3 4 9 16 27 -16 28
20 Botafogo 32 4 11 17 27 51 16 2 5 9 13 24 16 2 6 8 14 27 -24 23

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.