Serie A match prediction: Little separates Fortaleza and Internacional in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 07.August
Match begins: 21:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (67000 seats)

Both Fortaleza and Internacional are yearning for points in this game, even with the away side carrying a 15 point advantage in the league table.

Insights:
  • Fortaleza have the fewest scored goals (4) at home in Serie A
  • Internacional have scored at least twice as many goals away as Fortaleza have scored home.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 4100 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

The visiting Internacional played their last game only three days ago, a Copa Sudamericana match. That game, against Melgar, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for Internacional.

W L D L W

Fortaleza form and stats

Fortaleza's struggle is real here at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo with only 9 points collected from 10 Serie A games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 1-6-3.

The Fortaleza goalkeeper Fernando Miguel Kaufmann is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 180 minutes without conceding a goal in the Serie A.

A good away victory last time out for Fortaleza, who won 1-0 against Cuiaba (placed 17th). Benevenuto, defender, was given a rating of 8.01/10 in that game, top of the team. Benevenuto served one assist, hit one key pass and won 2 of 6 duels.

Erik lost again This is expected to be a close game, with Fortaleza perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Fortaleza as a small favourite), we find 13 games. Fortaleza has won 5 of these, drawn 5 and lost 3.

The lack of attacking qualities in Fortaleza means that they have only scored 4 goals in 10 league home games, less than half a goal per match. Fortaleza are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 10 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

D W L D D

Internacional form and stats

The visitors are W3-D5-L2 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A.

It's another away match for the visitors, as they travelled to Melgar in their previous outing. The Copa Sudamericana duel ended 0-0. That victory felt good as this side had gone three league games without winning.

That result followed a home victory 3-0 versus Atletico Mineiro in the Serie A.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 16 similar matches played by Internacional in our archives, and the results are: 3 wins for Internacional, 7 draws and 6 defeats.

A new game in only four days for Internacional, the Copa Sudamericana home match versus Melgar. Busy days.

It's not easy to score on Internacional as they have only conceded 9 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have battled earlier this season: Internacional - Fortaleza 2-1. Last ten meetings involving these teams: Fortaleza won three, Internacional triumphed in six and we saw one draw. six games with over 2,5 goals, four matches with two goals or less. The matches between these sides have had a tendency to be ill-tempered, having seen 5 sending-offs from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

FortalezaG. Souza Lisboa
G. Souza Lisboa
4 goals
FortalezaR. dos Santos Fernandes
R. dos Santos Fernandes
3 goals
FortalezaM. Vieira da Veiga
M. Vieira da Veiga
3 goals

Fortaleza missing players

Internacional missing players

Fortaleza Internacional
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
20 10 3 Played P 3 10 20
4 1 0 Won W 0 3 8
6 6 2 Drew D 3 5 9
10 3 1 Lost L 0 2 3
16 4 0 Scored S 3 10 30
23 6 1 Conceded C 3 9 20
85% 70% 33% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 90%
50% 30% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 80%
35% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 20% 45%
15% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 20%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
50% 30% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 60%
30% 40% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 30% 35%
35% 60% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 15%
 
5.5 6.7 7 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 4.1 5.2
4.8 4 4 Corners against (avg) C A 4.3 6.3 5.8
2.5 1.8 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4.7 3 2.8
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
14.3 18.2 20 Shots (avg) S ( 11.3 11.5 13.4
4 4.1 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 4.3 4.9
20% 10% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 23% 31%
 
12.4 11.2 9 Shots against (avg) S A 11 13.4 13.2
4.5 4 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.3 4.1 4.7
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Fortaleza have the fewest scored goals (4) at home in Serie A
  • Fortaleza have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Internacional have scored at least twice as many goals away as Fortaleza have scored home.
  • Internacional have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 20 12 6 2 33 14 10 6 2 2 19 9 10 6 4 0 14 5 19 42
2 Corinthians 20 11 5 4 25 19 10 7 3 0 14 3 10 4 2 4 11 16 6 38
3 Fluminense 20 10 5 5 31 22 10 6 1 3 18 11 10 4 4 2 13 11 9 35
4 Atletico PR 20 10 4 6 25 20 10 6 3 1 16 8 10 4 1 5 9 12 5 34
5 Flamengo 20 10 3 7 30 19 10 7 1 2 20 5 10 3 2 5 10 14 11 33
6 Internacional 20 8 9 3 30 20 10 5 4 1 20 11 10 3 5 2 10 9 10 33
7 Atletico Mineiro 20 8 8 4 27 23 10 5 3 2 16 10 10 3 5 2 11 13 4 32
8 Bragantino 20 8 6 6 31 23 11 6 2 3 18 9 9 2 4 3 13 14 8 30
9 Santos 20 6 9 5 24 18 11 5 4 2 18 10 9 1 5 3 6 8 6 27
10 Sao Paulo 20 5 11 4 28 25 9 4 4 1 17 11 11 1 7 3 11 14 3 26
11 Goiás 20 6 7 7 22 25 10 4 4 2 13 11 10 2 3 5 9 14 -3 25
12 Botafogo 20 7 3 10 19 25 9 3 1 5 9 10 11 4 2 5 10 15 -6 24
13 America Mineiro 20 7 3 10 16 23 10 5 2 3 12 10 10 2 1 7 4 13 -7 24
14 Ceara 20 5 9 6 21 21 10 2 5 3 11 12 10 3 4 3 10 9 0 24
15 Coritiba 20 6 4 10 22 31 10 6 2 2 14 9 10 0 2 8 8 22 -9 22
16 Avai 20 6 3 11 21 33 10 5 2 3 16 14 10 1 1 8 5 19 -12 21
17 Cuiaba 20 5 5 10 14 21 10 2 5 3 7 7 10 3 0 7 7 14 -7 20
18 Fortaleza 20 4 6 10 16 23 10 1 6 3 4 6 10 3 0 7 12 17 -7 18
19 Atletico GO 20 4 5 11 19 32 10 3 2 5 10 10 10 1 3 6 9 22 -13 17
20 Juventude 20 3 7 10 16 33 10 2 3 5 8 14 10 1 4 5 8 19 -17 16

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.