Serie A match prediction: Little separates Internacional and Atlético Mineiro in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 31.July
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (51300 seats)

Serie A: Two contenders in fair shape get together for this game. Atlético Mineiro might have a slight advantage with their 4th place in the table?

Insights:
  • Internacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

Atlético Mineiro have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1700 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

This has all the signs of an engrossing match with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well recovered since they last ran out on the pitch. Let's go!

L D D W W

Internacional form and stats

Internacional have played 9 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-4-1 (wins-draws-losses).

Internacional faced defeat in their previous match, away at Palmeiras (1-2). The first setback in the shape of a defeat after going undefeated in five league games. Daniel had a busy but productive day in the Palmeiras match. Despite making seven saves the loss could not be prevented. Alemão, an attacker, was the declared top performer for the side in that fixture, scoring a rating of 8.32 (out of 10). Alemão scored one goal, hit the woodwork once, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 8 of 8 times.

In the match before that, Internacional hosted Sao Paulo and drew the game 3-3.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Internacional have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 7 matches with the results: Won 3, drawn 1 and lost 3.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Internacional as they are travelling to their away game against Melgar in the Copa Sudamericana. That match is four days after this one.

The Internacional fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 17 goals in 9 league matches. Internacional have conceded 11 in these home matches.

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Atlético Mineiro form and stats

3-5-1 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Atlético Mineiro in their Serie A matches away.

Atlético Mineiro have a lot to to set right after their unpredictable loss (1-2) to Corinthians in their previous game, played in front of their own supporters. Until that defeat this team had taken at least a draw from eight league fixtures in a row. Midfield player Jair was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.63/10. Jair hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 22 successful passes (of 23 total).

Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Cuiaba.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Atlético Mineiro playing away and similar expectations, we found 5 relevant matches. Results were 3 Atlético Mineiro wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat.

A new game in only three days for Atlético, the Copa Libertadores home match versus Palmeiras. Busy days.

Atlético Mineiro are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 11 away goals from 9 games (in the league). Atlético Mineiro have conceded 10 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last head to head game ended Atlético Mineiro - Internacional 2-0, earlier this season. Previous ten meetings with these contenders: Internacional won four, Atlético Mineiro triumphed in five and we saw one draw. four games with more than 2,5 goals, six matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

InternacionalT. Barcellos Freda
T. Barcellos Freda
3 goals
InternacionalM. Magalhães Prado
M. Magalhães Prado
2 goals
InternacionalC. Vidal Rocha
C. Vidal Rocha
2 goals

Internacional missing players

Atlético Mineiro missing players

Internacional Atlético Mineiro
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
19 9 2 Played P 4 9 19
7 4 1 Won W 1 3 8
9 4 1 Drew D 3 5 8
3 1 0 Lost L 0 1 3
27 17 5 Scored S 4 11 27
20 11 3 Conceded C 3 10 20
89% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 78% 84%
79% 78% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 56% 74%
42% 67% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 33% 42%
21% 44% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 22% 21%
11% 22% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 11%
63% 67% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 56% 58%
32% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 44% 42%
16% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 22% 16%
 
5.5 7 4.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.8 5.2 6.1
5.7 5 5 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 3.7 3.4
2.9 2.8 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.4 2.4
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
13.7 16.1 11 Shots (avg) S ( 18.5 14.4 15.9
5 5.8 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.2 4.3 4.9
28% 33% 62% Goal Efficiency G E 24% 28% 29%
 
12.7 12 16 Shots against (avg) S A 10 12.4 10.3
4.6 5.2 6.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 3.4 3.4
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Internacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Internacional have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 19 11 6 2 31 13 10 6 2 2 19 9 9 5 4 0 12 4 18 39
2 Corinthians 19 10 5 4 24 19 9 6 3 0 13 3 10 4 2 4 11 16 5 35
3 Fluminense 19 10 4 5 29 20 10 6 1 3 18 11 9 4 3 2 11 9 9 34
4 Atlético Mineiro 19 8 8 3 27 20 10 5 3 2 16 10 9 3 5 1 11 10 7 32
5 Atletico PR 19 9 4 6 24 20 9 5 3 1 15 8 10 4 1 5 9 12 4 31
6 Flamengo 19 9 3 7 26 18 9 6 1 2 16 4 10 3 2 5 10 14 8 30
7 Internacional 19 7 9 3 27 20 9 4 4 1 17 11 10 3 5 2 10 9 7 30
8 Bragantino 19 7 6 6 30 23 10 5 2 3 17 9 9 2 4 3 13 14 7 27
9 Santos 19 6 8 5 22 16 10 5 3 2 16 8 9 1 5 3 6 8 6 26
10 Sao Paulo 19 5 11 3 28 24 9 4 4 1 17 11 10 1 7 2 11 13 4 26
11 Botafogo 19 7 3 9 19 24 9 3 1 5 9 10 10 4 2 4 10 14 -5 24
12 Ceará 19 5 9 5 20 19 9 2 5 2 10 10 10 3 4 3 10 9 1 24
13 Goias 19 5 7 7 21 25 9 3 4 2 12 11 10 2 3 5 9 14 -4 22
14 America Mineiro 19 6 3 10 13 22 9 4 2 3 9 9 10 2 1 7 4 13 -9 21
15 Avai 19 6 3 10 20 30 10 5 2 3 16 14 9 1 1 7 4 16 -10 21
16 Cuiaba 18 5 5 8 14 19 9 2 5 2 7 6 9 3 0 6 7 13 -5 20
17 Coritiba 18 5 4 9 21 30 9 5 2 2 13 9 9 0 2 7 8 21 -9 19
18 Atletico GO 19 4 5 10 18 28 10 3 2 5 10 10 9 1 3 5 8 18 -10 17
19 Juventude 19 3 7 9 16 32 10 2 3 5 8 14 9 1 4 4 8 18 -16 16
20 Fortaleza 19 3 6 10 15 23 10 1 6 3 4 6 9 2 0 7 11 17 -8 15

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.