Serie A prediction and pre-match guide: Corinthians moderate expected to beat Botafogo

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sat 30.July
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Neo Química Arena

The league table tells us that 11 points divide the two competitors in this Serie A game. Corinthians have both the points- and home ground advantage.

Insights:
  • Corinthians have the most points (21) at home in Serie A
  • Botafogo have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in Serie A

These are hectic days for the home side, as they were in action only three days ago in the Copa do Brasil. That game was an away game at Atlético GO, so at least Corinthians are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

L W W L L

Corinthians form and stats

21 points is a decent return from 9 Serie A games here at Neo Química Arena for Corinthians. The data says 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses.

The supporters hope that Corinthians will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-2 away loss in the Copa do Brasil fixture against Atlético GO. Willian, who usually plays near the opponent's goal, was the champion performer for the side in that fixture, collecting a rating of 7.43 (out of 10). Willian hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 33 successful passes (of 40 total).

In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting Atletico Mineiro.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Corinthians matches with similar probabilities have ended with 6 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats (from 7 games).

The match schedule is unforgiving for Corinthians as they have a new game in only three days, a Copa Libertadores match thankfully also at home. Flamengo are visiting.

Corinthians has scored 13 league goals at home this season, in 9 matches. Corinthians have showed great defending skills in these home games, allowing the opposition to score only 3 goals.

W L L L L

Botafogo form and stats

The visitors are W4-D2-L4 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A.

Botafogo go into this game after a win, the home game against Atletico PR that ended 2-0. Those three points felt nice as this side had gone three league games without victory. Fernández was the team player of the game with the player rating of 8.05. The agile goalkeeper Fernández topped it up with a clean sheet.

Prior to that match, the Botafogo manager de Castro faced defeat when travelling to Santos and losing 0-2.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Botafogo when being an outsider away as they are today, we find 4 matches with the visitors losing 3 times, drawing 0 and winning 1 game.

A tale of few goals? 8 of this team's most recent 10 league fixtures have contained two goals or less.

14 goals have been conceded by Botafogo in these games.

Head 2 Head

Botafogo - Corinthians 1-3 was the end result in these sides' last head to head match, played this season. Corinthians-Botafogo H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Corinthians five wins, Botafogo four wins, one draw. three of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

CorinthiansR. Krug Guedes
R. Krug Guedes
6 goals
BotafogoM. Nascimento de Paula
M. Nascimento de Paula
5 goals
CorinthiansF. Santos Romeu
F. Santos Romeu
3 goals

Corinthians missing players

Botafogo missing players

Corinthians Botafogo
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 9 3 Played P 2 10 19
10 6 1 Won W 1 4 7
5 3 2 Drew D 0 2 3
4 0 0 Lost L 1 4 9
24 13 4 Scored S 1 10 19
19 3 2 Conceded C 4 14 24
95% 89% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
63% 56% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 70% 63%
42% 22% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 30% 32%
26% 11% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 30% 26%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 10% 5%
42% 33% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 40% 42%
42% 67% 33% Clean Sheets C S 50% 20% 21%
21% 11% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 37%
 
4.5 6.4 6.7 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.3 4.4
5.1 3.9 4 Corners against (avg) C A 8.5 5.6 4.7
1.9 1.6 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.8 2.8
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 3 3
 
10.3 11.8 14 Shots (avg) S ( 13 13.3 14.1
3.9 3.9 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 5.1 4.8
32% 37% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 8% 20% 21%
 
13.4 11.6 10.3 Shots against (avg) S A 18 16.3 14.2
4.6 4.2 3.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 8 6.5 5.3
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Botafogo have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in Serie A
  • Botafogo have the most points from losing position (9) in Serie A
  • Botafogo haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Corinthians have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Corinthians have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Corinthians have the fewest conceded goals (3) at home in Serie A
  • Corinthians have the most points (21) at home in Serie A
  • Corinthians have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 19 11 6 2 31 13 10 6 2 2 19 9 9 5 4 0 12 4 18 39
2 Corinthians 19 10 5 4 24 19 9 6 3 0 13 3 10 4 2 4 11 16 5 35
3 Fluminense 19 10 4 5 29 20 10 6 1 3 18 11 9 4 3 2 11 9 9 34
4 Atletico Mineiro 19 8 8 3 27 20 10 5 3 2 16 10 9 3 5 1 11 10 7 32
5 Atletico PR 19 9 4 6 24 20 9 5 3 1 15 8 10 4 1 5 9 12 4 31
6 Flamengo 19 9 3 7 26 18 9 6 1 2 16 4 10 3 2 5 10 14 8 30
7 Internacional 19 7 9 3 27 20 9 4 4 1 17 11 10 3 5 2 10 9 7 30
8 Bragantino 19 7 6 6 30 23 10 5 2 3 17 9 9 2 4 3 13 14 7 27
9 Santos 19 6 8 5 22 16 10 5 3 2 16 8 9 1 5 3 6 8 6 26
10 Sao Paulo 19 5 11 3 28 24 9 4 4 1 17 11 10 1 7 2 11 13 4 26
11 Botafogo 19 7 3 9 19 24 9 3 1 5 9 10 10 4 2 4 10 14 -5 24
12 Ceara 19 5 9 5 20 19 9 2 5 2 10 10 10 3 4 3 10 9 1 24
13 Coritiba 19 6 4 9 22 30 10 6 2 2 14 9 9 0 2 7 8 21 -8 22
14 Goias 19 5 7 7 21 25 9 3 4 2 12 11 10 2 3 5 9 14 -4 22
15 America Mineiro 19 6 3 10 13 22 9 4 2 3 9 9 10 2 1 7 4 13 -9 21
16 Avai 19 6 3 10 20 30 10 5 2 3 16 14 9 1 1 7 4 16 -10 21
17 Cuiaba 19 5 5 9 14 20 9 2 5 2 7 6 10 3 0 7 7 14 -6 20
18 Atlético GO 19 4 5 10 18 28 10 3 2 5 10 10 9 1 3 5 8 18 -10 17
19 Juventude 19 3 7 9 16 32 10 2 3 5 8 14 9 1 4 4 8 18 -16 16
20 Fortaleza 19 3 6 10 15 23 10 1 6 3 4 6 9 2 0 7 11 17 -8 15

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.