Serie A forecast and preview: Ceará modest expected to overcome Sport Recife

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 14.November
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (67000 seats)

It's time for Serie A and Ceará - Sport Recife. In this pre-match guide you'll get statistics, results, analysis, trends and news!

Insights:
  • Ceará have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sport Recife have the fewest scored goals (19) in Serie A

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Ceará and Sport Recife.

L W W D D

Ceará form and stats

The complete Serie A stats playing at home this season for Ceará are 8-6-2 (wins-draws-losses). The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo.

The fans are hoping that Ceará will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 1-2 away loss in the Serie A game against Atletico PR (placed 9th). Midfielder Rick was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.44 (out of ten) in that game. Rick scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 3 of 4 times.

Ahead of that match, Ceará won a home game hosting Cuiaba (1-0).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Ceará have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won six times, drawn two and lost two.

The manager T. Retzalff Nunes will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Fortaleza in only three days.

Ceará has scored 20 league goals at home this season, in 16 matches. Ceará are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 16 matches.

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Sport Recife form and stats

There's been little loot from Sport Recife's travels as they have only collected 13 points from 16 away games in the Serie A. Sport Recife only have 3 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 4 draws. Bitter travels for Recife as they have lost four games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Gremio match.

The manager G. Florentín was unhappy after their last game, a Serie A match played at their home ground Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. Recife suffered a 2-3 loss to America Mineiro (placed 10th). Midfielder Zé Welison was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.8. Welison scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Fluminense wasn't a success with a 0-1 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Recife have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were one victory, three draws and four defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Recife are hosting Bahia in the Serie A only four days away.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Recife as they have only managed to score 9 times from 16 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 20 goals have been conceded by Sport Recife in these games.

Head 2 Head

The squads have faced each other already this season, with the match result Sport Recife - Ceará 0-0 logged in the official records. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Ceará victories, three draws and three Sport Recife wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Sport RecifeM. Viana de Sousa
M. Viana de Sousa
6 goals
CearáR. Lima Morais
R. Lima Morais
5 goals
CearáGabriel Lacerda
Gabriel Lacerda
4 goals

Ceará missing players

Sport Recife missing players

Ceará Sport Recife
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
31 16 6 Played P 6 16 32
8 8 3 Won W 1 3 7
15 6 2 Drew D 3 4 9
8 2 1 Lost L 2 9 16
29 20 8 Scored S 3 9 19
32 12 5 Conceded C 4 20 31
74% 81% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 88% 78%
61% 56% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 17% 50% 38%
35% 38% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 17% 38% 28%
23% 19% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 6% 9%
3% 6% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
52% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 17% 31% 25%
42% 50% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 25% 38%
32% 19% 17% Failed to Score F T 67% 56% 59%
 
5.5 6.1 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 3.7 4.1
5.4 4.8 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 7.3 6.5
2.4 2.8 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.2 2.5
4 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
13 15.2 15.7 Shots (avg) S ( 9.8 9.4 11.6
4.2 4.6 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 2.9 3.3
22% 27% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 20% 18%
 
13.3 12.4 8.7 Shots against (avg) S A 15.8 18.2 15.5
3.5 3.1 2.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 5.9 4.8
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Ceará have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ceará have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Sport Recife have scored away.
  • Sport Recife have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Sport Recife have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sport Recife have the fewest points from losing position (1) in Serie A
  • Sport Recife have the fewest scored goals (19) in Serie A
  • Sport Recife have the fewest scored goals in the first half (4) in Serie A
  • Sport Recife have the most matches under the total-line (21) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Mineiro 31 21 5 5 50 22 16 14 1 1 34 9 15 7 4 4 16 13 28 68
2 Palmeiras 31 18 4 9 51 35 16 10 2 4 30 22 15 8 2 5 21 13 16 58
3 Flamengo 30 17 6 7 57 28 16 11 1 4 28 13 14 6 5 3 29 15 29 57
4 Fortaleza 31 14 7 10 40 34 15 8 4 3 22 14 16 6 3 7 18 20 6 49
5 Bragantino 32 12 13 7 47 37 16 5 8 3 23 19 16 7 5 4 24 18 10 49
6 Corinthians 31 12 11 8 32 29 15 7 4 4 19 15 16 5 7 4 13 14 3 47
7 Internacional 31 11 11 9 39 33 15 7 5 3 24 16 16 4 6 6 15 17 6 44
8 Fluminense 31 11 9 11 29 32 15 7 5 3 16 13 16 4 4 8 13 19 -3 42
9 Atletico PR 31 12 5 14 38 40 16 7 4 5 22 20 15 5 1 9 16 20 -2 41
10 America Mineiro 31 10 11 10 32 33 15 6 5 4 14 10 16 4 6 6 18 23 -1 41
11 Cuiaba 31 8 15 8 28 29 16 5 6 5 15 17 15 3 9 3 13 12 -1 39
12 Ceará 31 8 15 8 29 32 16 8 6 2 20 12 15 0 9 6 9 20 -3 39
13 Santos 31 9 11 11 28 36 16 7 5 4 16 13 15 2 6 7 12 23 -8 38
14 São Paulo 31 8 14 9 24 29 15 5 8 2 13 10 16 3 6 7 11 19 -5 38
15 Atletico GO 30 9 10 11 24 32 14 4 7 3 11 11 16 5 3 8 13 21 -8 37
16 Bahia 31 9 9 13 33 42 15 6 4 5 20 18 16 3 5 8 13 24 -9 36
17 Juventude 30 7 12 11 29 37 16 6 6 4 16 15 14 1 6 7 13 22 -8 33
18 Sport Recife 32 7 9 16 19 31 16 4 5 7 10 11 16 3 4 9 9 20 -12 30
19 Gremio 30 8 5 17 26 38 15 5 5 5 17 16 15 3 0 12 9 22 -12 29
20 Chapecoense 31 1 12 18 26 52 15 0 6 9 12 25 16 1 6 9 14 27 -26 15

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.