Serie A match prediction: Little separates Ceará and Corinthians in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Thu 25.November
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo (67000 seats)

We have to say that both teams are in pretty good shape, Corinthians having a 7 point lead on Ceará in the league table. Get ready!

Insights:
  • Ceará have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

The visiting Corinthians played their last game only four days ago, a Serie A match.

It's quite the trip for Corinthians when visiting Ceará as the cities are 3000 kilometers apart.

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Ceará form and stats

When playing at home in the Serie A, Ceará have managed 9 wins, 6 draws and suffered 2 defeats from 17 games. It’s been three wins in a row for Ceará here at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

Ceará shared the glory with Atletico GO in their last match, an away game that ended all square 1-1. Richard, who guards the goal, was given a match rating of 7.33 out of 10 in that game. Richard stopped the opponent with three saves.

Before that match, a win away at Fortaleza.

This is expected to be a close game, with Ceará perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Ceará as a small favourite), we find eleven games. Ceará has won two of these, drawn five and lost four.

The Ceará fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 22 in 17 matches. Ceará have only conceded 13 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Corinthians form and stats

The visitors are W5-D7-L5 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A. Corinthians seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Corinthians had fun at their own home (Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo) last time out, beating Santos 2-0. Jô and Gabriel scored. Gabriel got a match rating of 8.54 in that game, top player of the team. Gabriel scored one goal, hit one key pass and had 69 successful passes (of 72 total).

A 0-1 defeat away at Flamengo before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Corinthians playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were one Corinthians win, five draws and five defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Corinthians are hosting Athletico PR in the Serie A only three days away.

The attacking power of Corinthians when travelling is not overwhelming with 13 goals scored from 17 league matches away. Corinthians are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 15 times in 17 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Corinthians - Ceará 3-1 was the output when these two participants last met, some time ago this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - two - five (Ceará wins - draws - Corinthians wins). As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

CearáV. Goes Barbosa de Souza
V. Goes Barbosa de Souza
7 goals
CorinthiansJ. Alves de Assis Silva
J. Alves de Assis Silva
7 goals
CorinthiansR. Krug Guedes
R. Krug Guedes
6 goals

Ceará missing players

Corinthians missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Ceará Corinthians
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
34 17 5 Played P 6 17 34
10 9 2 Won W 3 5 14
16 6 2 Drew D 3 7 11
8 2 1 Lost L 0 5 9
36 22 9 Scored S 7 13 37
34 13 7 Conceded C 4 15 32
76% 82% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 88% 91%
65% 59% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 41% 56%
38% 41% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 24% 35%
24% 18% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 12% 18%
3% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
53% 53% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 35% 50%
41% 47% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 35% 32%
29% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 17% 41% 26%
 
5.2 5.9 6.6 Corners for (avg) C F 3.5 4.6 5.5
5.5 4.8 5.6 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 5.6 4.9
2.4 2.6 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.4 1.4
4 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
12.8 15.1 16.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9.2 8.9 10.9
4.1 4.5 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 3 3.8
26% 29% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 25% 28%
 
13.8 12.9 18.8 Shots against (avg) S A 13.5 13.5 12.5
3.8 3.4 6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.5 4.3 4.4
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Ceará have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atlético Mineiro 33 23 5 5 53 22 17 15 1 1 36 9 16 8 4 4 17 13 31 74
2 Flamengo 33 20 6 7 64 29 17 12 1 4 29 13 16 8 5 3 35 16 35 66
3 Palmeiras 34 18 4 12 52 40 17 10 2 5 30 24 17 8 2 7 22 16 12 58
4 Corinthians 34 14 11 9 37 32 17 9 4 4 24 17 17 5 7 5 13 15 5 53
5 Fortaleza 34 15 7 12 41 41 17 9 4 4 23 18 17 6 3 8 18 23 0 52
6 Bragantino 34 13 13 8 50 40 17 6 8 3 26 19 17 7 5 5 24 21 10 52
7 Fluminense 34 13 9 12 33 34 17 9 5 3 20 14 17 4 4 9 13 20 -1 48
8 Internacional 34 12 11 11 42 37 17 8 5 4 27 19 17 4 6 7 15 18 5 47
9 Ceará 34 10 16 8 36 34 17 9 6 2 22 13 17 1 10 6 14 21 2 46
10 America Mineiro 34 11 12 11 35 36 17 7 6 4 17 11 17 4 6 7 18 25 -1 45
11 Cuiaba 34 9 16 9 31 32 17 6 6 5 16 17 17 3 10 4 15 15 -1 43
12 Santos 34 10 12 12 30 38 17 8 5 4 18 13 17 2 7 8 12 25 -8 42
13 Athletico PR 33 12 5 16 39 43 17 7 4 6 22 21 16 5 1 10 17 22 -4 41
14 São Paulo 33 9 14 10 26 33 16 5 8 3 13 14 17 4 6 7 13 19 -7 41
15 Atletico GO 33 9 13 11 25 33 16 4 9 3 12 12 17 5 4 8 13 21 -8 40
16 Juventude 33 9 12 12 32 39 17 7 6 4 17 15 16 2 6 8 15 24 -7 39
17 Bahia 33 9 10 14 33 43 16 6 5 5 20 18 17 3 5 9 13 25 -10 37
18 Grêmio 33 10 5 18 33 42 16 6 5 5 20 16 17 4 0 13 13 26 -9 35
19 Sport Recife 34 8 9 17 21 33 17 5 5 7 11 11 17 3 4 10 10 22 -12 33
20 Chapecoense 34 1 12 21 27 59 17 0 6 11 13 30 17 1 6 10 14 29 -32 15

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atlético Mineiro 33 23 5 5 53 22 17 15 1 1 36 9 16 8 4 4 17 13 31 74
2 Flamengo 33 20 6 7 64 29 17 12 1 4 29 13 16 8 5 3 35 16 35 66
3 Palmeiras 34 18 4 12 52 40 17 10 2 5 30 24 17 8 2 7 22 16 12 58
4 Corinthians 34 14 11 9 37 32 17 9 4 4 24 17 17 5 7 5 13 15 5 53
5 Fortaleza 34 15 7 12 41 41 17 9 4 4 23 18 17 6 3 8 18 23 0 52
6 Bragantino 34 13 13 8 50 40 17 6 8 3 26 19 17 7 5 5 24 21 10 52
7 Fluminense 34 13 9 12 33 34 17 9 5 3 20 14 17 4 4 9 13 20 -1 48
8 Internacional 34 12 11 11 42 37 17 8 5 4 27 19 17 4 6 7 15 18 5 47
9 Ceará 34 10 16 8 36 34 17 9 6 2 22 13 17 1 10 6 14 21 2 46
10 America Mineiro 34 11 12 11 35 36 17 7 6 4 17 11 17 4 6 7 18 25 -1 45
11 Cuiaba 34 9 16 9 31 32 17 6 6 5 16 17 17 3 10 4 15 15 -1 43
12 Santos 34 10 12 12 30 38 17 8 5 4 18 13 17 2 7 8 12 25 -8 42
13 Athletico PR 33 12 5 16 39 43 17 7 4 6 22 21 16 5 1 10 17 22 -4 41
14 São Paulo 33 9 14 10 26 33 16 5 8 3 13 14 17 4 6 7 13 19 -7 41
15 Atletico GO 33 9 13 11 25 33 16 4 9 3 12 12 17 5 4 8 13 21 -8 40
16 Juventude 33 9 12 12 32 39 17 7 6 4 17 15 16 2 6 8 15 24 -7 39
17 Bahia 33 9 10 14 33 43 16 6 5 5 20 18 17 3 5 9 13 25 -10 37
18 Grêmio 33 10 5 18 33 42 16 6 5 5 20 16 17 4 0 13 13 26 -9 35
19 Sport Recife 34 8 9 17 21 33 17 5 5 7 11 11 17 3 4 10 10 22 -12 33
20 Chapecoense 34 1 12 21 27 59 17 0 6 11 13 30 17 1 6 10 14 29 -32 15

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.