Serie A preview: Can Bragantino edge out victory against Santos?

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Mon 17.October
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (17724 seats)

Which side will win when Santos go to play Bragantino? In this preview you'll find all the relevant facts and data required to predict the outcome.

Insights:
  • Bragantino haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Bragantino have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Santos have scored away.

This could be an exciting game with lots of fun and bustle as both squads are well rested since they last played a game. Let's get started!

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Bragantino form and stats

The story so far in the Serie A for Bragantino at their home stadium (Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid) is 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats.

Bragantino faced defeat in their previous match, away at Coritiba (1-2). Midfielder Artur was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.74 (out of ten) in that game. Artur hit three key passes and had 31 successful passes (of 36 total).

Ahead of that match, Bragantino won a home game hosting Cuiaba (2-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Bragantino have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won 7 times, drawn 5 and lost 2.

A decent goal production from Bragantino in their home games so far, with 24 goals from 15 league matches. From these home matches, Bragantino have conceded only 14 goals.

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Santos form and stats

There's been little loot from Santos's travels as they have only collected 12 points from 15 away games in the Serie A. Santos only have 2 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 6 draws. The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on de Oliveira, the Santos manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Santos won their last game, 4-1 versus Juventude played at home. Midfielder Braga was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 9.25. Braga scored two goals, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times and had 25 successful passes (of 30 total).

Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Atletico Mineiro.

We have checked recent matches where Santos have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 11 games were 1 victory, 7 draws and 3 defeats.

The visitors have scored 9 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (14 so far).

Head 2 Head

Santos have put together a streak of 8 consecutive matches without losing (2-6-0) when facing Bragantino.

This was the score when the sides met earlier this season; Santos - Bragantino 2-2.

Top Goalscorers

SantosM. Santos Almeida
M. Santos Almeida
11 goals
BragantinoL. Candido de Almeida
L. Candido de Almeida
7 goals
BragantinoA. Barra Mansa Realino de Souza
A. Barra Mansa Realino de Souza
6 goals

Bragantino missing players

Santos missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Bragantino Santos
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
31 15 4 Played P 4 15 31
9 7 1 Won W 0 2 10
11 5 2 Drew D 2 6 10
11 3 1 Lost L 2 7 11
41 24 4 Scored S 2 9 36
41 14 4 Conceded C 4 14 29
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 73% 84%
77% 73% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 40% 58%
48% 40% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 33% 45%
26% 27% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 7% 16%
10% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 6%
58% 53% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 40% 48%
23% 27% 0% Clean Sheets C S 25% 27% 32%
23% 20% 25% Failed to Score F T 50% 60% 35%
 
5.7 6.5 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.2 5.3 5.5
6.2 5.6 8 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.7 5.7
2.1 2.1 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.5 2.5
5 2 1 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
15 16.9 13 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 10.9 13.5
4.8 5.5 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 3.2 4.7
27% 29% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 15% 19% 25%
 
13.7 11.1 15.2 Shots against (avg) S A 18.2 15.6 15.3
4.5 3.6 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.8 3.5 4.2
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bragantino have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Santos have scored away.
  • Bragantino haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 31 19 10 2 53 21 15 10 3 2 30 11 16 9 7 0 23 10 32 67
2 Internacional 31 15 12 4 48 28 16 10 5 1 33 13 15 5 7 3 15 15 20 57
3 Corinthians 31 15 9 7 38 30 16 11 4 1 23 8 15 4 5 6 15 22 8 54
4 Flamengo 31 15 7 9 50 29 15 9 3 3 31 9 16 6 4 6 19 20 21 52
5 Fluminense 31 15 6 10 48 38 16 10 2 4 31 17 15 5 4 6 17 21 10 51
6 Atletico PR 31 13 9 9 37 36 15 8 6 1 23 12 16 5 3 8 14 24 1 48
7 Atletico Mineiro 31 12 11 8 38 32 16 6 5 5 21 16 15 6 6 3 17 16 6 47
8 America Mineiro 31 13 6 12 29 30 15 8 3 4 18 13 16 5 3 8 11 17 -1 45
9 Botafogo 31 12 7 12 32 34 15 4 4 7 13 15 16 8 3 5 19 19 -2 43
10 Fortaleza 31 11 8 12 32 32 15 5 6 4 14 11 16 6 2 8 18 21 0 41
11 Santos 31 10 10 11 36 29 16 8 4 4 27 15 15 2 6 7 9 14 7 40
12 São Paulo 30 9 13 8 41 33 15 6 5 4 25 16 15 3 8 4 16 17 8 40
13 Bragantino 31 9 11 11 41 41 15 7 5 3 24 14 16 2 6 8 17 27 0 38
14 Goias 31 9 11 11 33 40 15 5 6 4 17 16 16 4 5 7 16 24 -7 38
15 Coritiba 30 10 4 16 31 48 16 10 2 4 21 13 14 0 2 12 10 35 -17 34
16 Ceara 31 6 15 10 28 32 16 3 7 6 15 19 15 3 8 4 13 13 -4 33
17 Cuiaba 31 7 9 15 23 34 15 4 7 4 12 11 16 3 2 11 11 23 -11 30
18 Atlético GO 31 7 8 16 31 48 16 5 4 7 18 19 15 2 4 9 13 29 -17 29
19 Avai 31 7 7 17 28 49 16 6 4 6 21 21 15 1 3 11 7 28 -21 28
20 Juventude 31 3 11 17 24 57 15 2 7 6 14 21 16 1 4 11 10 36 -33 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 31 19 10 2 53 21 15 10 3 2 30 11 16 9 7 0 23 10 32 67
2 Internacional 31 15 12 4 48 28 16 10 5 1 33 13 15 5 7 3 15 15 20 57
3 Corinthians 31 15 9 7 38 30 16 11 4 1 23 8 15 4 5 6 15 22 8 54
4 Flamengo 31 15 7 9 50 29 15 9 3 3 31 9 16 6 4 6 19 20 21 52
5 Fluminense 31 15 6 10 48 38 16 10 2 4 31 17 15 5 4 6 17 21 10 51
6 Atletico PR 31 13 9 9 37 36 15 8 6 1 23 12 16 5 3 8 14 24 1 48
7 Atletico Mineiro 31 12 11 8 38 32 16 6 5 5 21 16 15 6 6 3 17 16 6 47
8 America Mineiro 31 13 6 12 29 30 15 8 3 4 18 13 16 5 3 8 11 17 -1 45
9 Botafogo 31 12 7 12 32 34 15 4 4 7 13 15 16 8 3 5 19 19 -2 43
10 Fortaleza 31 11 8 12 32 32 15 5 6 4 14 11 16 6 2 8 18 21 0 41
11 Santos 31 10 10 11 36 29 16 8 4 4 27 15 15 2 6 7 9 14 7 40
12 São Paulo 30 9 13 8 41 33 15 6 5 4 25 16 15 3 8 4 16 17 8 40
13 Bragantino 31 9 11 11 41 41 15 7 5 3 24 14 16 2 6 8 17 27 0 38
14 Goias 31 9 11 11 33 40 15 5 6 4 17 16 16 4 5 7 16 24 -7 38
15 Coritiba 30 10 4 16 31 48 16 10 2 4 21 13 14 0 2 12 10 35 -17 34
16 Ceara 31 6 15 10 28 32 16 3 7 6 15 19 15 3 8 4 13 13 -4 33
17 Cuiaba 31 7 9 15 23 34 15 4 7 4 12 11 16 3 2 11 11 23 -11 30
18 Atlético GO 31 7 8 16 31 48 16 5 4 7 18 19 15 2 4 9 13 29 -17 29
19 Avai 31 7 7 17 28 49 16 6 4 6 21 21 15 1 3 11 7 28 -21 28
20 Juventude 31 3 11 17 24 57 15 2 7 6 14 21 16 1 4 11 10 36 -33 20

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.