Athletico PR greet Coritiba as obvious favourites: Read our match preview

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 16.October
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Arena da Baixada (43981 seats)

Serie A: Top-drawer versus below average, at least based on the matches so far. Athletico PR - Coritiba. Home victory or a shock?

Insights:
  • Coritiba have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Serie A

These teams are located so close to each other that their supporters eat in the same restaurants, hang out at the same night clubs and give birth at the same hospitals. This means added importance to the game and a vibrant atmosphere.

Athletico PR and Coritiba should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Athletico PR form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Arena da Baixada as Athletico PR have scored 23 goals to get 30 points from 15 games. The overall stats in the Serie A are 8-6-1 (wins-draws-losses).

Athletico lost their last game at Corinthians (placed 3rd) after a 1-2 scoreline. Midfielder Terans was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.61 (out of ten) in that game. Terans hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Fortaleza.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Athletico PR's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 7 games, won 3 matches, drawn 2 and lost 2.

Athletico PR have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Arena da Baixada with 23 goals in 15 league matches. Athletico are not conceding a lot of goals here at Arena da Baixada in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 15 matches.

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Coritiba form and stats

There's been little loot from Coritiba's travels as they have only collected 2 points from 14 away games in the Serie A. Coritiba only have 0 wins to counter their 12 defeats and 2 draws. Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in eleven away games in a row.

Coritiba go into this game after a win, the home game against Bragantino that ended 2-1. Coritiba made it very difficult for themselves in their last game, Warley receiving a red card in the 4th minute. The match was still a draw at this point. But even with this card, Coritiba won the match 2-1! Manga got a match rating of 8.43 in that game, top player of the team. Manga scored one goal, served one assist, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

Preceding that game, the 0-4 loss visiting Palmeiras's place.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Coritiba playing away, we found 4 games. Results were 0 away wins, 0 draws and 4 home wins.

Look out: 9 of the latest 12 league games featuring this side have had only one (or no) side scoring (Both Teams to Score NO in the betting world).

The schedule is very tough for Coritiba now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Serie A game at Sao Paulo is waiting in only four days.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. For Coritiba, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net. Coritiba has visited these top teams five times, and 4 of 5 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

Coritiba - Athletico 0-1 was the scoreline in these squads' last H2H fixture, earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's five Athletico PR victories, three draws and two Coritiba wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less. The matches between these clubs sometimes lean towards being hot-tempered, having seen 5 red cards from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

Athletico PRM. Terans Pérez
M. Terans Pérez
9 goals
CoritibaL. Gamalho de Souza
L. Gamalho de Souza
7 goals
CoritibaA. Mangueira Severino Pereira
A. Mangueira Severino Pereira
6 goals

Athletico PR missing players

Coritiba missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Athletico PR Coritiba
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 15 6 Played P 5 14 30
13 8 4 Won W 0 0 10
9 6 2 Drew D 0 2 4
9 1 0 Lost L 5 12 16
37 23 13 Scored S 3 10 31
36 12 6 Conceded C 17 35 48
90% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
65% 60% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 93% 73%
39% 33% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 57% 47%
26% 27% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 36% 23%
13% 13% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 14% 10%
45% 53% 67% BTTS BTTS 40% 50% 43%
35% 40% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 23%
29% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 50% 33%
 
5.4 6.3 6.3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.2 5.8 5.8
6.1 5 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 7.6 5.3 5.4
2.5 2.7 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.5 2.6
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 3 9
 
13.6 15.5 16.5 Shots (avg) S ( 11.6 13.8 13.6
4.1 4.7 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.6 3.4 3.8
29% 32% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 21% 27%
 
15.1 13.1 11.5 Shots against (avg) S A 16.6 17.5 15.5
4.4 3.6 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.4 6.3 5
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Athletico PR have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Coritiba have scored away.
  • Coritiba have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Coritiba have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Coritiba have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Coritiba have the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie A
  • Coritiba have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Serie A
  • Coritiba have the fewest points (2) away in Serie A
  • Coritiba have the most conceded goals (35) away in Serie A
  • Coritiba have the the worst goal difference (-25) away in Serie A
  • Coritiba have yet to win a game away.
  • Coritiba haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 30 19 9 2 52 20 15 10 3 2 30 11 15 9 6 0 22 9 32 66
2 Internacional 31 15 12 4 48 28 16 10 5 1 33 13 15 5 7 3 15 15 20 57
3 Corinthians 31 15 9 7 38 30 16 11 4 1 23 8 15 4 5 6 15 22 8 54
4 Flamengo 31 15 7 9 50 29 15 9 3 3 31 9 16 6 4 6 19 20 21 52
5 Fluminense 31 15 6 10 48 38 16 10 2 4 31 17 15 5 4 6 17 21 10 51
6 Athletico PR 31 13 9 9 37 36 15 8 6 1 23 12 16 5 3 8 14 24 1 48
7 Atletico Mineiro 31 12 11 8 38 32 16 6 5 5 21 16 15 6 6 3 17 16 6 47
8 América Mineiro 31 13 6 12 29 30 15 8 3 4 18 13 16 5 3 8 11 17 -1 45
9 Botafogo 31 12 7 12 32 34 15 4 4 7 13 15 16 8 3 5 19 19 -2 43
10 Fortaleza 31 11 8 12 32 32 15 5 6 4 14 11 16 6 2 8 18 21 0 41
11 Sao Paulo 30 9 13 8 41 33 15 6 5 4 25 16 15 3 8 4 16 17 8 40
12 Bragantino 31 9 11 11 41 41 15 7 5 3 24 14 16 2 6 8 17 27 0 38
13 Goias 31 9 11 11 33 40 15 5 6 4 17 16 16 4 5 7 16 24 -7 38
14 Santos 30 9 10 11 32 28 15 7 4 4 23 14 15 2 6 7 9 14 4 37
15 Coritiba 30 10 4 16 31 48 16 10 2 4 21 13 14 0 2 12 10 35 -17 34
16 Ceará 31 6 15 10 28 32 16 3 7 6 15 19 15 3 8 4 13 13 -4 33
17 Cuiabá 31 7 9 15 23 34 15 4 7 4 12 11 16 3 2 11 11 23 -11 30
18 Atletico GO 30 7 7 16 30 47 15 5 3 7 17 18 15 2 4 9 13 29 -17 28
19 Avaí 31 7 7 17 28 49 16 6 4 6 21 21 15 1 3 11 7 28 -21 28
20 Juventude 30 3 11 16 23 53 15 2 7 6 14 21 15 1 4 10 9 32 -30 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 30 19 9 2 52 20 15 10 3 2 30 11 15 9 6 0 22 9 32 66
2 Internacional 31 15 12 4 48 28 16 10 5 1 33 13 15 5 7 3 15 15 20 57
3 Corinthians 31 15 9 7 38 30 16 11 4 1 23 8 15 4 5 6 15 22 8 54
4 Flamengo 31 15 7 9 50 29 15 9 3 3 31 9 16 6 4 6 19 20 21 52
5 Fluminense 31 15 6 10 48 38 16 10 2 4 31 17 15 5 4 6 17 21 10 51
6 Athletico PR 31 13 9 9 37 36 15 8 6 1 23 12 16 5 3 8 14 24 1 48
7 Atletico Mineiro 31 12 11 8 38 32 16 6 5 5 21 16 15 6 6 3 17 16 6 47
8 América Mineiro 31 13 6 12 29 30 15 8 3 4 18 13 16 5 3 8 11 17 -1 45
9 Botafogo 31 12 7 12 32 34 15 4 4 7 13 15 16 8 3 5 19 19 -2 43
10 Fortaleza 31 11 8 12 32 32 15 5 6 4 14 11 16 6 2 8 18 21 0 41
11 Sao Paulo 30 9 13 8 41 33 15 6 5 4 25 16 15 3 8 4 16 17 8 40
12 Bragantino 31 9 11 11 41 41 15 7 5 3 24 14 16 2 6 8 17 27 0 38
13 Goias 31 9 11 11 33 40 15 5 6 4 17 16 16 4 5 7 16 24 -7 38
14 Santos 30 9 10 11 32 28 15 7 4 4 23 14 15 2 6 7 9 14 4 37
15 Coritiba 30 10 4 16 31 48 16 10 2 4 21 13 14 0 2 12 10 35 -17 34
16 Ceará 31 6 15 10 28 32 16 3 7 6 15 19 15 3 8 4 13 13 -4 33
17 Cuiabá 31 7 9 15 23 34 15 4 7 4 12 11 16 3 2 11 11 23 -11 30
18 Atletico GO 30 7 7 16 30 47 15 5 3 7 17 18 15 2 4 9 13 29 -17 28
19 Avaí 31 7 7 17 28 49 16 6 4 6 21 21 15 1 3 11 7 28 -21 28
20 Juventude 30 3 11 16 23 53 15 2 7 6 14 21 15 1 4 10 9 32 -30 20

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.