Serie A prediction and data: Fluminense modest expected to top Fortaleza

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sat 10.September
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (78838 seats)

The standings tells us that 12 points split the two rivals in this Serie A match. Fluminense have both the points- and home stadium advantage.

Insights:
  • Fluminense have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fortaleza is in the best form (5-0-1) in Serie A

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2600 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

Both contenders have had plentiful rest since their previous exertion in an official match. Let's look for an animated match!

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Fluminense form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho as Fluminense have scored 25 goals to get 26 points from 13 games. The overall stats in the Serie A are 8-2-3 (wins-draws-losses).

The fans are hoping that Fluminense will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-1 away loss in the match against Atletico PR (placed 6th). Defender Paulista got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.95/10. Paulista hit three key passes and won 8 of 9 duels.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Palmeiras that ended 1-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Fluminense handle that role? We have found 12 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 6 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats.

Fluminense have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho with 25 goals in 13 league matches. 14 goals have been conceded.

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Fortaleza form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Serie A travels is 5 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats.

The manager Vojvoda was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo. Fortaleza suffered a 1-3 loss to Botafogo (placed 13th). Until that defeat this side had won at least one point from six league fixtures in a row. Fortaleza goalkeeper Miguel was glad for a fine day vs Botafogo, but even with registering six saves the beating could not be helped. Midfielder Galhardo was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.62. Galhardo served one assist, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 4 of 5 times.

Prior to that result Fortaleza won their away game at Sao Paulo. The scoreline was 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Fortaleza have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 15 games were 4 victories, 2 draws and 9 defeats.

Highlight this: 8 of the latest 10 league games featuring this team have ended with only one (or no) side scoring (Both Teams to Score NO in sports betting words).

Fortaleza are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 14 away goals from 12 games (in the league). 17 goals have been conceded by Fortaleza in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The latest head to head meeting ended Fortaleza - Fluminense 0-1, played this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - three - two (Fluminense wins - draws - Fortaleza wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

FluminenseG. Cano
G. Cano
13 goals
FortalezaM. Vieira da Veiga
M. Vieira da Veiga
6 goals
FluminenseJ. Arias Andrade
J. Arias Andrade
5 goals

Fluminense missing players

Fortaleza missing players

Fluminense Fortaleza
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
25 13 3 Played P 3 12 25
12 8 2 Won W 1 5 8
6 2 1 Drew D 0 0 6
7 3 0 Lost L 2 7 11
38 25 7 Scored S 3 14 23
29 14 4 Conceded C 4 17 26
92% 92% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 88%
64% 77% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 58% 48%
48% 54% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 58% 36%
28% 23% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 16%
16% 15% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 8%
48% 54% 67% BTTS BTTS 67% 58% 44%
32% 31% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 40%
28% 23% 33% Failed to Score F T 33% 8% 28%
 
6 7.3 6 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.5 5.5
4.9 4.7 5 Corners against (avg) C A 8.7 5.7 5.2
2.1 2.3 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.1 2.3
5 3 1 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
14.1 16.7 21.3 Shots (avg) S ( 11 10.1 13.9
4.6 5.5 7.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.3 3.7 4
33% 35% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 32% 23%
 
11.2 9.2 6.7 Shots against (avg) S A 11.3 13.8 12.4
3.7 3.4 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 5.2 4.6
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Fluminense have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fluminense have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Fortaleza have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Fortaleza have the fewest points from losing position (2) in Serie A
  • Fortaleza have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Fortaleza haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Fortaleza is in the best form (5-0-1) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Palmeiras 25 14 9 2 41 18 12 7 3 2 23 10 13 7 6 0 18 8 23 51
2 Flamengo 25 13 5 7 40 21 12 8 2 2 26 6 13 5 3 5 14 15 19 44
3 Corinthians 25 12 7 6 29 24 13 8 4 1 17 6 12 4 3 5 12 18 5 43
4 Internacional 25 11 10 4 40 25 12 7 4 1 27 11 13 4 6 3 13 14 15 43
5 Fluminense 25 12 6 7 38 29 13 8 2 3 25 14 12 4 4 4 13 15 9 42
6 Atletico PR 25 12 6 7 30 28 12 7 4 1 18 9 13 5 2 6 12 19 2 42
7 Atlético Mineiro 25 10 9 6 33 28 12 5 3 4 18 14 13 5 6 2 15 14 5 39
8 America Mineiro 25 10 5 10 22 25 13 7 3 3 16 11 12 3 2 7 6 14 -3 35
9 Santos 24 8 10 6 27 20 12 6 4 2 19 10 12 2 6 4 8 10 7 34
10 Bragantino 25 8 8 9 35 32 13 6 4 3 21 12 12 2 4 6 14 20 3 32
11 Goias 24 8 8 8 26 30 12 5 5 2 16 13 12 3 3 6 10 17 -4 32
12 Fortaleza 25 8 6 11 23 26 13 3 6 4 9 9 12 5 0 7 14 17 -3 30
13 Botafogo 25 8 6 11 25 30 12 3 3 6 10 12 13 5 3 5 15 18 -5 30
14 Sao Paulo 25 6 12 7 32 30 12 5 4 3 20 14 13 1 8 4 12 16 2 30
15 Ceara 25 5 13 7 24 25 12 2 6 4 11 13 13 3 7 3 13 12 -1 28
16 Cuiabá 25 6 8 11 17 24 13 3 7 3 9 8 12 3 1 8 8 16 -7 26
17 Coritiba 25 7 4 14 26 41 13 7 2 4 16 12 12 0 2 10 10 29 -15 25
18 Avai 25 6 6 13 24 38 12 5 3 4 17 16 13 1 3 9 7 22 -14 24
19 Atletico GO 25 5 7 13 23 38 13 4 3 6 13 14 12 1 4 7 10 24 -15 22
20 Juventude 25 3 9 13 19 42 13 2 5 6 11 18 12 1 4 7 8 24 -23 18

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.