Erste Liga preview: Can Floridsdorfer AC edge out victory against Sturm Graz II?

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Competition: Austria Erste Liga
Competition: Fri 03.March
Match begins: 17:10 (UTC)
Venue: Job Consulting Arena (3000 seats)

Floridsdorfer AC are favourites to win this home game versus Sturm Graz II, if the league table is to be trusted. Or could we be in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • Floridsdorfer AC have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sturm Graz II have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Erste Liga

Both sides have had plentiful rest since their last game. Let's look for an active match!

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Floridsdorfer AC form and stats

Floridsdorfer AC have played 8 Erste Liga games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-1-3 (wins-draws-losses).

Floridsdorfer AC are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-1 away versus Rapid Wien II. The defeat against Rapid Wien II was especially painful as the deciding goal against was scored four minutes into stoppage time (by Fallmann).

Ahead of that match, Floridsdorfer AC won a home game hosting SV Horn II (2-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Floridsdorfer have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Floridsdorfer AC have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Job Consulting Arena with 13 goals in 8 league matches. Floridsdorfer AC have conceded 12 from these games.

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Sturm Graz II form and stats

3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses. That’s the product of Sturm Graz II playing as the away team in the Erste Liga this season.

Sturm's previous game was their home loss versus St. Pölten (0-2).

Prior to that match, the Sturm Graz II manager Hösele faced defeat when travelling to Lafnitz and losing 1-5.

We have checked recent matches where Sturm Graz II have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 5 victories, 1 draw and 0 defeats.

Sturm have conceded 19 goals in these games. Sturm Graz II has visited these top teams three times, and 2 of 3 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

Interestingly enough, the last time Sturm Graz II kept a "clean sheet" was also facing this opposition, nine league matches ago (Sturm Graz II - Floridsdorfer AC 0-0).

Top Goalscorers

Sturm Graz IIT. László
T. László
7 goals
FloridsdorferV. Miljanić
V. Miljanić
4 goals
Floridsdorfer ACC. Bubalović
C. Bubalović
3 goals

Floridsdorfer AC missing players

Sturm Graz II missing players

Floridsdorfer AC Sturm Graz II
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
17 8 3 Played P 3 8 17
7 4 2 Won W 1 3 5
6 1 1 Drew D 1 1 3
4 3 0 Lost L 1 4 9
23 13 7 Scored S 7 16 23
17 12 3 Conceded C 5 19 29
82% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
71% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 82%
53% 75% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 88% 53%
18% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 62% 35%
12% 25% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 38% 18%
59% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 65%
24% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 12%
35% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 29%
 
4.6 4.4 3.3 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 5 5.6
4.4 3.2 3 Corners against (avg) C A 1.7 3.2 3.2
2.9 2.4 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 2 2.6
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
9.8 11.2 12.7 Shots (avg) S ( 13.3 11.1 12.4
3.2 3.6 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6.3 5.1 5.2
43% 45% 47% Goal Efficiency G E 37% 39% 26%
 
9.2 8.1 7.3 Shots against (avg) S A 11.3 11.4 10.9
3.7 3.9 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 5.2 4.6
Key stats in Erste Liga this season:
  • All of Sturm Graz II's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Floridsdorfer AC have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Floridsdorfer AC have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Floridsdorfer AC haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Sturm Graz II have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Sturm Graz II have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sturm Graz II have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Sturm Graz II have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Erste Liga
  • Sturm Graz II haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 St. Pölten 17 11 2 4 33 15 8 4 1 3 16 11 9 7 1 1 17 4 18 35
2 Blau-Wei Linz 17 11 1 5 42 17 8 6 1 1 21 6 9 5 0 4 21 11 25 34
3 SV Horn II 17 10 3 4 23 18 9 6 1 2 14 11 8 4 2 2 9 7 5 33
4 Grazer AK 17 7 7 3 27 18 8 6 2 0 13 3 9 1 5 3 14 15 9 28
5 Floridsdorfer AC 17 7 6 4 23 17 8 4 1 3 13 12 9 3 5 1 10 5 6 27
6 First Vienna 17 7 5 5 19 15 9 4 3 2 13 7 8 3 2 3 6 8 4 26
7 Amstetten 17 7 5 5 30 27 9 3 4 2 12 12 8 4 1 3 18 15 3 26
8 Lafnitz 17 8 2 7 26 23 8 4 2 2 14 11 9 4 0 5 12 12 3 26
9 Dornbirn 17 6 3 8 26 25 8 3 1 4 11 14 9 3 2 4 15 11 1 21
10 Admira 17 6 3 8 25 28 9 5 1 3 15 15 8 1 2 5 10 13 -3 21
11 Liefering 17 6 2 9 29 34 8 4 1 3 18 17 9 2 1 6 11 17 -5 20
12 Rapid Wien II 17 5 5 7 24 33 9 4 1 4 11 11 8 1 4 3 13 22 -9 20
13 Sturm Graz II 17 5 3 9 23 29 9 2 2 5 7 10 8 3 1 4 16 19 -6 18
14 Vorwärts Steyr 17 4 4 9 20 36 9 3 2 4 11 17 8 1 2 5 9 19 -16 16
15 Austria Wien II 17 3 6 8 23 38 8 1 6 1 13 14 9 2 0 7 10 24 -15 15
16 Kapfenberger SV 17 3 3 11 20 40 9 2 1 6 14 26 8 1 2 5 6 14 -20 12

Read more about Erste Liga

The Austrian Football Second League (2. Liga, formerly known as Erste Liga) is the second highest level of football in Austria. The league expanded from ten to 16 teams before the 2018/19 season. Each team play 30 fixtures to decide a final league table, promotion and relegation.