Football betting preview: South Melbourne favourites when Dandenong Thunder visits

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Competition: Australia Npl Victoria
Date: Sun 28.July
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Lakeside Stadium (15000 seats)

With their 13 point advantage in the league table, South Melbourne fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Dandenong Thunder.

It's no vacation for neither South Melbourne nor Dandenong Thunder as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

This is a local derby, usually meaning added tension and importance.

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South Melbourne form and stats

South Melbourne have played 11 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-2-4 (wins-draws-losses).

South Melbourne's previous game was a Npl Victoria match also played at home, ending 3-0 versus Dandenong Thunder. The home side are looking to build on that result. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-3 away at Hume City.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier South Melbourne matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat (from two games).

South Melbourne has scored 12 goals at home this season, in 11 matches. South Melbourne have conceded 14 in these home matches.

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Dandenong Thunder form and stats

4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. That’s the product of Dandenong Thunder playing as the away team this season. With two straight losses from their last two away games, Dandenong Thunder are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Two away games in a row for Dandenong Thunder, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-3 versus South Melbourne in the Npl Victoria. Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Avondale Heights.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Dandenong Thunder when being an outsider away as they are today, we find two matches with the visitors losing 1 time, drawing 0 and winning 1 game.

Dandenong Thunder are not goal shy away from home, finding the net 22 times in 12 away games so far. The opposition has been scoring high and low on Dandenong Thunder's goalkeeper in away games this season, as they have let in 30 goals in 12 travels.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder 3-0. Numbers for the last four meetings between these two teams are: 3 wins for South Melbourne, 1 draw and 0 wins for Dandenong Thunder. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 0 games.

South Melbourne missing players

Dandenong Thunder missing players

South Melbourne Dandenong Thunder
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
23 11 3 Played 4 12 23
9 5 2 Won 1 4 4
4 2 0 Drew 1 2 6
10 4 1 Lost 2 6 13
24 12 2 Scored 9 22 36
35 14 2 Conceded 10 30 62
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
78% 82% 33% Over 1.5 100% 100% 100%
52% 36% 0% Over 2.5 100% 83% 78%
26% 9% 0% Over 3.5 100% 67% 65%
4% 9% 0% Over 4.5 50% 33% 30%
43% 36% 0% BTTS 100% 75% 74%
22% 27% 67% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 0%
39% 36% 33% Failed To Score 0% 25% 26%
 
5.7 7 7.5 Corners For (avg) 4.8 4.3 3.7
4.6 4.4 1.5 Corners Against (avg) 9.8 7.1 7.7
1.9 1.7 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 1.9 1.7
1 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • All of Dandenong Thunder's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Dandenong Thunder have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Dandenong Thunder have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Dandenong Thunder have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Dandenong Thunder haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • South Melbourne have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • South Melbourne haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

South Melbourne
All Ffa Cup Npl Victoria Premier League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
16-06-19 NPL South Melbourne 0 - 3 Avondale Heights
23-06-19 NPL South Melbourne 0 - 2 Kingston City
30-06-19 NPL South Melbourne 1 - 0 Pascoe Vale
06-07-19 NPL Green Gully 0 - 0 South Melbourne
14-07-19 NPL South Melbourne 1 - 1 Melbourne Knights
20-07-19 NPL Hume City 3 - 1 South Melbourne
28-07-19 NPL South Melbourne 3 - 0 Dandenong Thunder
02-08-19 NPL Oakleigh Cannons 10:30 South Melbourne
18-08-19 NPL South Melbourne 06:00 Altona Magic
25-08-19 NPL South Melbourne 05:00 Heidelberg United
Dandenong Thunder
All Npl Victoria
All Home Away
15-06-19 NPL Altona Magic 3 - 2 Dandenong Thunder
22-06-19 NPL Dandenong Thunder 2 - 5 Heidelberg United
28-06-19 NPL Bentleigh Greens 1 - 3 Dandenong Thunder
06-07-19 NPL Dandenong Thunder 1 - 1 Dandenong City
13-07-19 NPL Port Melbourne 3 - 1 Dandenong Thunder
20-07-19 NPL Dandenong Thunder 1 - 1 Avondale Heights
28-07-19 NPL South Melbourne 3 - 0 Dandenong Thunder
03-08-19 NPL Dandenong Thunder 09:00 Pascoe Vale
17-08-19 NPL Green Gully 05:00 Dandenong Thunder
25-08-19 NPL Dandenong Thunder 05:00 Melbourne Knights

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Avondale Heights 23 14 5 4 56 26 12 9 1 2 29 10 11 5 4 2 27 16 30 47
2 Heidelberg United 22 14 3 5 46 26 12 7 3 2 25 13 10 7 0 3 21 13 20 45
3 Bentleigh Greens 23 13 3 7 44 38 12 9 1 2 27 16 11 4 2 5 17 22 6 42
4 Green Gully 23 10 8 5 46 34 12 4 5 3 26 22 11 6 3 2 20 12 12 38
5 Hume City 23 11 5 7 37 28 11 8 1 2 22 9 12 3 4 5 15 19 9 38
6 Oakleigh Cannons 22 10 5 7 36 30 11 7 2 2 21 14 11 3 3 5 15 16 6 35
7 Melbourne Knights 23 10 4 9 33 34 12 6 2 4 19 16 11 4 2 5 14 18 -1 31
8 South Melbourne 23 9 4 10 24 35 11 5 2 4 12 14 12 4 2 6 12 21 -11 31
9 Port Melbourne 23 8 6 9 38 32 10 5 3 2 21 12 13 3 3 7 17 20 6 30
10 Altona Magic 23 9 2 12 42 45 11 5 1 5 18 15 12 4 1 7 24 30 -3 29
11 Dandenong City 23 7 5 11 33 42 12 3 3 6 17 22 11 4 2 5 16 20 -9 26
12 Kingston 21 4 4 13 23 40 11 2 2 7 11 22 10 2 2 6 12 18 -17 16
12 Pascoe Vale 23 5 3 15 29 48 12 3 2 7 21 27 11 2 1 8 8 21 -19 18
13 Dandenong Thunder 23 4 6 13 36 62 11 0 4 7 14 32 12 4 2 6 22 30 -26 18
14 Kingston City 23 4 5 14 27 47 11 2 2 7 11 22 12 2 3 7 16 25 -20 17

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