Home advantage could prove decisive in Green Gully - South Melbourne battle

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Competition: Australia Npl Victoria
Date: Sat 06.July
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Green Gully Reserve (2500 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Green Gully are in the 5th position while the guests worry at 10th.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

This is a local derby, usually meaning added tension and importance.

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Green Gully form and stats

When playing at home, Green Gully have managed 2 wins, 4 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 9 games. Three draws from their last three home games means a steady supply of points here at Green Gully Reserve, but a victory now would be sweet for Green Gully.

The points were shared in Green Gully's previous game, also at home. Visiting South Melbourne travelled back with a point after a 0-0 scoreline. In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting Avondale Heights.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Green Gully have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found one game) they have won 0 times, drawn 1 and lost 0.

A decent goal production from Green Gully in their home games so far, with 16 goals from 9 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Green Gully defense is not exactly impregnable. 17 goals conceded from 9 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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South Melbourne form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the fewest scored goals (18) in Npl Victoria, on their travels is 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats.

South Melbourne are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 0-0 draw at Green Gully. Prior to that match, a home win 1-0 against Pascoe Vale.

South Melbourne are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats. From a total of two matches.

South Melbourne find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 11 goals from 11 away fixtures. In the opposite end, South Melbourne have conceded 18 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Green Gully - South Melbourne 0-0. As for the last four games between these two teams, there's 1 Green Gully victory, 2 draws and 1 South Melbourne win. 2 of these games ended with three goals or more, 2 matches with two goals or less.

Green Gully missing players

South Melbourne missing players

Green Gully South Melbourne
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
20 10 2 Played 3 11 20
8 3 1 Won 3 4 8
7 4 0 Drew 0 2 3
5 3 1 Lost 0 5 9
39 20 6 Scored 5 11 19
31 19 3 Conceded 2 18 31
95% 90% 100% Over 0.5 100% 91% 95%
85% 80% 100% Over 1.5 67% 73% 75%
60% 60% 100% Over 2.5 67% 64% 50%
50% 60% 100% Over 3.5 0% 36% 25%
30% 50% 50% Over 4.5 0% 0% 5%
70% 70% 50% BTTS 67% 45% 40%
30% 30% 50% Clean Sheets 33% 18% 20%
5% 10% 0% Failed To Score 0% 45% 45%
 
5.4 5.2 6 Corners For (avg) 4 5.4 5.9
4.8 4.6 5 Corners Against (avg) 5.3 5 4.4
1.8 2.2 1 Yellow Cards (avg) 1 1.7 1.8
2 2 1 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Green Gully have scored more than double the goals of South Melbourne.
  • South Melbourne have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Green Gully
08-06-19 NPL Green Gully 1 - 1 Bentleigh Greens
14-06-19 NPL Dandenong City 2 - 2 Green Gully
22-06-19 NPL Green Gully 3 - 3 Port Melbourne
29-06-19 NPL Avondale Heights 1 - 2 Green Gully
06-07-19 NPL Green Gully 0 - 0 South Melbourne
13-07-19 NPL Pascoe Vale 08:00 Green Gully
20-07-19 NPL Green Gully 05:00 Kingston
27-07-19 NPL Green Gully 10:00 Melbourne Knights
03-08-19 NPL Hume City 07:30 Green Gully
17-08-19 NPL Green Gully 05:00 Dandenong Thunder
South Melbourne
09-06-19 NPL South Melbourne 2 - 1 Port Melbourne
16-06-19 NPL South Melbourne 0 - 3 Avondale Heights
23-06-19 NPL South Melbourne 0 - 2 Kingston
30-06-19 NPL South Melbourne 1 - 0 Pascoe Vale
06-07-19 NPL Green Gully 0 - 0 South Melbourne
14-07-19 NPL South Melbourne 06:00 Melbourne Knights
20-07-19 NPL Hume City 07:30 South Melbourne
28-07-19 NPL South Melbourne 06:00 Dandenong Thunder
02-08-19 NPL Oakleigh Cannons 10:30 South Melbourne
18-08-19 NPL South Melbourne 06:00 Altona Magic

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Avondale Heights 19 12 4 3 48 21 10 7 1 2 25 10 9 5 3 1 23 11 27 40
2 Heidelberg United 18 12 3 3 38 19 12 7 3 2 25 13 6 5 0 1 13 6 19 39
3 Bentleigh Greens 18 10 2 6 33 29 8 7 0 1 20 9 10 3 2 5 13 20 4 32
4 Hume City 19 9 4 6 31 22 9 6 1 2 18 8 10 3 3 4 13 14 9 31
5 Green Gully 18 7 7 4 34 26 9 2 4 3 16 17 9 5 3 1 18 9 8 28
6 Oakleigh Cannons 17 8 4 5 27 21 7 5 1 1 12 6 10 3 3 4 15 15 6 28
7 Altona Magic 19 9 1 9 33 33 10 5 1 4 17 13 9 4 0 5 16 20 0 28
8 Melbourne Knights 19 8 2 9 25 28 10 4 2 4 13 12 9 4 0 5 12 16 -3 26
9 Port Melbourne 19 7 4 8 30 25 8 4 2 2 14 7 11 3 2 6 16 18 5 25
10 South Melbourne 19 7 3 9 18 31 8 3 1 4 7 13 11 4 2 5 11 18 -13 24
11 Dandenong City 18 6 5 7 28 33 10 3 3 4 15 18 8 3 2 3 13 15 -5 23
12 Dandenong Thunder 19 3 5 11 31 54 10 0 3 7 13 31 9 3 2 4 18 23 -23 14
13 Kingston 19 3 4 12 22 38 9 1 2 6 10 20 10 2 2 6 12 18 -16 13
14 Pascoe Vale 17 3 2 12 21 39 9 3 1 5 17 20 8 0 1 7 4 19 -18 11