Major League Soccer prediction and pre-match guide: Philadelphia Union odds-on front runner to outplay Atlanta United

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Wed 04.Oct
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Subaru Park (19178 seats)

4th place in the Major League Soccer table for Philadelphia Union at present, a potent showing. The match-going ticketholders pray for more joy as 6th-placed Atlanta United visit Subaru Park.

Insights:
  • Philadelphia Union have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Atlanta United have the most scored goals in the second half (37) in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United play their home fixtures on artifical turf, while this game occurs on grass. Relevant data for Atlanta United when playing on grass are 4 wins, 8 draws and 13 defeats from 25 matches. They have scored {22 goals} and conceded 46 times in these fixtures.

It's quite the trip for Atlanta United when visiting Philadelphia Union as the cities are 1200 kilometers apart.

Not much time to rest for the team playing at home, as they performed in a Major League Soccer game only four days ago. That game was an away game at Columbus Crew, so at least Philadelphia are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

D D D D D

Philadelphia Union form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Subaru Park as Philadelphia Union have scored 30 goals to get 32 points from 15 games. The overall stats in the Major League Soccer are 9-5-1 (wins-draws-losses). In general it's been a long time since Philadelphia Union tasted defeat here at Subaru Park, as they have taken at least one point from their last twelve home games in the league.

The home team returns to Subaru Park after drawing with Columbus Crew (placed 5th) on their last time out; the game ended 1-1. Philadelphia Union's goalie Blake played a big part in securing a draw after 90 minutes against Columbus Crew with a stunning nine saves.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Dallas.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Philadelphia Union's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 7 games, won 5 matches, drawn 2 and lost 0.

Betting people might want to know that 9 of the most recent 11 league games from this club have had goals from both teams.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Nashville SC are coming to town in three days.

Philadelphia are not conceding a lot of goals here at Subaru Park in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 11 from 15 matches.

W D W D L

Atlanta United form and stats

3 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. That’s the product of Atlanta United playing as the away team in the Major League Soccer this season. Two points from the last two away games for Atlanta United, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Atlanta United go into this game after a win, the home game against Montreal Impact that ended 4-1. Midfielder Silva was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 9.45. Silva scored one goal, served one assist, hit four key passes, dribled past the opponent 5 of 6 times and had 35 successful passes (of 41 total).

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus DC United that ended 1-1.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Atlanta playing away, we found 8 games. Results were 1 away win, 2 draws and 5 home wins.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 18 of this club's 24 latest league games have ended with three goals or more.

A new game in only three days for Atlanta United, the Major League Soccer home match versus Columbus Crew. Busy days.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Atlanta United have scored 20 goals in 15 league games away. Atlanta's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 27 goals from these trips. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The latest head-to-head match ended Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union 2-0, earlier this season. Previous ten meetings featuring these teams: Philadelphia Union won four, Atlanta United were winners in two and we saw four draws. four games with over 2,5 goals, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Atlanta UnitedG. Giakoumakis
G. Giakoumakis
15 goals
PhiladelphiaD. Gazdag
D. Gazdag
13 goals
Philadelphia UnionJ. Carranza
J. Carranza
12 goals

Philadelphia Union missing players

Atlanta United missing players

Philadelphia Union Atlanta United
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 15 3 Played P 3 15 31
14 9 2 Won W 0 3 13
9 5 1 Drew D 1 7 10
8 1 0 Lost L 2 5 8
53 30 3 Scored S 3 20 61
37 11 1 Conceded C 9 27 47
90% 80% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 97%
77% 67% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 87% 90%
61% 60% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 60% 71%
42% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 40% 48%
16% 27% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 13% 19%
61% 53% 33% BTTS BTTS 100% 67% 71%
29% 47% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 27% 26%
19% 20% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 13% 6%
 
4.5 4.4 4.3 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.5 4.9
4.7 4 4 Corners against (avg) C A 7 5 4
2.4 2.1 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 2.4 2.2
5 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
13.4 14.6 11.7 Shots (avg) S ( 12.3 10.8 13.1
4.4 4.6 2.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 4.3 5.1
39% 43% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 31% 39%
 
11.6 9.7 11.7 Shots against (avg) S A 15 14.1 11.9
4 3.1 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 4.2 3.7
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Atlanta United have the fewest matches under the total-line (9) in Major League Soccer
  • Atlanta United have the most matches over the total-line (22) in Major League Soccer
  • Atlanta United have the most scored goals in the second half (37) in Major League Soccer
  • Philadelphia Union have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cincinnati 31 19 8 4 53 35 15 13 1 1 30 9 16 6 7 3 23 26 18 65
2 Orlando City 31 15 9 7 49 37 16 8 5 3 28 17 15 7 4 4 21 20 12 54
3 New England 30 14 10 6 51 37 15 11 4 0 34 13 15 3 6 6 17 24 14 52
4 Philadelphia Union 31 14 9 8 53 37 15 9 5 1 30 11 16 5 4 7 23 26 16 51
5 Columbus Crew 31 14 8 9 62 43 16 11 4 1 39 13 15 3 4 8 23 30 19 50
6 Atlanta United 31 13 10 8 61 47 16 10 3 3 41 20 15 3 7 5 20 27 14 49
7 Nashville SC 30 12 9 9 36 28 14 8 4 2 22 9 16 4 5 7 14 19 8 45
8 New York City 32 8 14 10 34 37 16 7 6 3 22 16 16 1 8 7 12 21 -3 38
9 DC United 32 9 10 13 43 46 16 5 6 5 29 23 16 4 4 8 14 23 -3 37
10 Chicago Fire 31 9 10 12 35 47 15 5 7 3 22 19 16 4 3 9 13 28 -12 37
11 Montreal Impact 31 11 4 16 30 48 15 9 2 4 21 10 16 2 2 12 9 38 -18 37
12 New York RB 31 8 10 13 30 38 16 6 5 5 18 17 15 2 5 8 12 21 -8 34
13 Inter Miami 30 9 6 15 38 46 15 6 4 5 23 18 15 3 2 10 15 28 -8 33
14 Charlotte 30 7 12 11 37 50 15 4 8 3 20 21 15 3 4 8 17 29 -13 33
15 Toronto 31 4 10 17 26 51 16 4 6 6 19 20 15 0 4 11 7 31 -25 22

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.