Stumbling Inter Miami are keen to pull off a surprise when they welcome top side Cincinnati in the next league match. It’s 14th vs 1st and the home fans will have moderate expectations.
- Cincinnati have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (10) in Major League Soccer
It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Inter and Cincinnati.
Inter Miami form and stats
When playing at home in the Major League Soccer, Inter Miami have managed 6 wins, 4 draws and suffered 5 defeats from 15 games. When Inter Miami hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Columbus Crew, New England, Orlando City and Philadelphia Union), they have won 2 of 4 matches!
Inter Miami lost their last game at Chicago Fire (placed 8th) after a 1-4 scoreline. The first setback in the shape of a defeat after going undefeated in three league games. The gifted forward Martínez outdid all others in that fixture and got a match rating of 7.71 out of 10. Martínez scored one goal, hit two key passes and had 20 successful passes (of 23 total).
In the match before that, Inter Miami hosted New York City and drew the game 1-1.The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Inter Miami have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 5 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 0 and lost 2.
Take note that 12 of the latest 16 league games from these players have had goals from both sides.
The Inter fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 23 goals in 15 league matches. On the other hand, Inter Miami have conceded 18 goals. When Inter Miami hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Toronto, Charlotte, DC United and New York RB), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 3 of 4 times.
Cincinnati form and stats
Playing away, Cincinnati have won 6 games, drawn 7 and suffered 3 defeats in the Major League Soccer this season.
The manager Noonan was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue. Cincinnati suffered a 1-2 loss to New York RB (placed 12th). That defeat was their first after four consecutive league fixtures winning points. Murphy, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.05. Murphy won 3 of 5 duels.
Before that one, a nice away victory 3-2 at Toronto.We have checked recent matches where Cincinnati have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were 6 victories, 2 draws and 5 defeats.
Take note that 13 of this side's 15 latest league rounds have ended with three or more goals.
The visiting Cincinnati have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 23 goals from 16 games. Cincinnati's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 26 goals from these trips.
Head 2 Head
Cincinnati have put together a sequence of 4 consecutive matches without defeat (2-2-0) when facing Inter Miami.The squads have faced each other before in this season, with the result Cincinnati - Inter Miami 1-0 logged in the official records.
Top Goalscorers
  L. Acosta 16 goals |   L. Campana Romero 9 goals |  B. Vázquez Toledo 8 goals |
Inter Miami missing players
Cincinnati missing players
| Inter Miami | Cincinnati | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 31 | 15 | 4 | Played | P | 4 | 16 | 32 |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | Won | W | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | Drew | D | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | Lost | L | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 39 | 23 | 7 | Scored | S | 7 | 23 | 54 |
| 50 | 18 | 6 | Conceded | C | 8 | 26 | 37 |
| 97% | 93% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 94% | 97% |
| 77% | 80% | 100% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 100% | 81% | 75% |
| 55% | 53% | 75% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 100% | 62% | 66% |
| 35% | 33% | 50% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 50% | 38% | 28% |
| 16% | 13% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 25% | 19% | 12% |
| 58% | 60% | 75% | BTTS | BTTS | 75% | 69% | 56% |
| 16% | 27% | 25% | Clean Sheets | C S | 0% | 19% | 34% |
| 29% | 20% | 0% | Failed to Score | F T | 25% | 19% | 12% |
| 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.2 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 6 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| 4.9 | 4.5 | 4.5 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 3 | 4.1 | 4.4 |
| 2.5 | 2.6 | 3 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | Red cards | R C | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10.5 | 10.7 | 8 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 14.2 | 12.8 | 13.1 |
| 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.2 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 5.5 | 5.2 | 5 |
| 31% | 38% | 54% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 32% | 27% | 34% |
| 13.8 | 13.4 | 11 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 11.2 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| 5.2 | 4.6 | 3.5 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 4.5 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
- Cincinnati have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (10) in Major League Soccer
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Cincinnati | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 54 | 37 | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 26 | 17 | 65 |
| 2 | Orlando City | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 37 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 13 | 57 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 39 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 31 | 20 | 53 |
| 5 | New England | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 39 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Atlanta United | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
| 7 | Nashville SC | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 48 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 28 | -9 | 40 |
| 9 | Montreal Impact | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 49 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 11 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 38 | -18 | 38 |
| 10 | New York City | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34 | 37 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | DC United | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 49 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -6 | 37 |
| 12 | New York RB | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 | Charlotte | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 40 | 50 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 50 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 32 | -11 | 33 |
| 15 | Toronto | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 54 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 34 | -28 | 22 |
