Super League prediction and preview: Luzern modest favorites to beat Thun

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Competition: Switzerland Super League
Competition: Sun 05.July
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: swissporarena (16490 seats)

With their 10 point advantage in the league table, Luzern fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Thun.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

It should be mentioned that Thun play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Thun on grass are 14 victories, 4 draws and 17 defeats from 35 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 47-52. You can compare this with overall results below.

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Luzern form and stats

6 victories, 3 draws and 4 defeats. That’s what Luzern have to build on here at swissporarena in the Super League.

It's back home for Luzern, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Sion away with the result 2-0. Ibrahima Ndiaye and Pascal Schürpf found the net in that victory. In the match before that, Luzern hosted Servette and drew the game 2-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Luzern have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won four times, drawn one and lost three.

There will be little rest for Luzern after this match as they are travelling to Servette for a Super League game in only three days.

Luzern are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 18 goals in 13 games. Luzern have conceded 17 in these home matches.

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Thun form and stats

Thun, who have the most conceded goals (53) in Super League, have only collected 10 points from their away games in the Super League, after 3-1-9 (13 played). The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Thun have lost on their last two travels.

Thun go into this game after a win, the home game against Zürich that ended 3-2. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against St. Gallen wasn't a success with a 2-3 loss.

Thun are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, one draw and five defeats. From a total of six matches.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Thun manager M. Schneider as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Young Boys.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Thun have scored 14 goals in 13 league games away. The Thun manager M. Schneider has some worries about the defense as 26 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Thun - Luzern 1-1. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Luzern victories, two draws and five Thun wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

LuzernF. Margiotta
F. Margiotta
9 goals
LuzernI. Ndiaye
I. Ndiaye
6 goals
ThunR. Munsy
R. Munsy
6 goals

Luzern missing players

Thun missing players

Luzern Thun
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 13 3 Played P 3 13 27
11 6 2 Won W 0 3 7
5 3 0 Drew D 0 1 4
11 4 1 Lost L 3 9 16
31 18 5 Scored S 1 14 30
35 17 3 Conceded C 6 26 53
96% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 96%
78% 77% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 85% 81%
44% 62% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 62% 59%
19% 31% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 38% 41%
7% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 23% 26%
44% 62% 67% BTTS BTTS 33% 54% 56%
30% 31% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 23% 15%
30% 15% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 31% 33%
 
5.3 6.2 9.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 3.5 3.9
5.7 5.5 3.7 Corners against (avg) C A 8 7.9 6.3
2.7 2.5 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 2.1 2.6
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
309 174 63 Total Shots T S 31 128 338
119 70 25 Shots on Target S O 10 47 109
26% 26% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 10% 30% 28%
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Luzern has the fewest dropped points from leading position (4)
  • Luzern has the fewest matches over the total-line (10)
  • Luzern have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Thun has the fewest points (10) away
  • Thun has the most conceded goals (53)
  • Thun has the most conceded goals in the second half (30)
  • Thun has the the worst goal difference (-23)
  • Thun have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Thun have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 St. Gallen 27 17 3 7 58 39 14 8 2 4 30 22 13 9 1 3 28 17 19 54
2 Young Boys 27 15 7 5 56 35 13 11 2 0 36 12 14 4 5 5 20 23 21 52
3 Basel 27 14 4 9 54 29 13 8 2 3 29 11 14 6 2 6 25 18 25 46
4 Servette 27 10 11 6 43 28 13 6 5 2 19 9 14 4 6 4 24 19 15 41
5 Luzern 27 11 5 11 31 35 13 6 3 4 18 17 14 5 2 7 13 18 -4 38
6 Zürich 27 11 5 11 37 51 13 6 2 5 20 28 14 5 3 6 17 23 -14 38
7 Lugano 27 8 9 10 29 30 14 4 6 4 10 12 13 4 3 6 19 18 -1 33
8 Thun 27 7 4 16 30 53 14 4 3 7 16 27 13 3 1 9 14 26 -23 25
9 Sion 27 6 6 15 30 48 14 3 4 7 19 25 13 3 2 8 11 23 -18 24
10 Neuchâtel Xamax 27 4 10 13 29 49 14 2 3 9 14 23 13 2 7 4 15 26 -20 22

Read more about Super League

Football is the most popular sport in Switzerland and the Swiss Super League is the top competition. It has ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures each. The season runs from July to May with a winter break. Number one in the final league table is the champion, number ten is relegated while number nine plays a relegation playoff.