Eliteserien prediction and data: Sarpsborg 08 modest favoured to get the better of Rosenborg

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Competition: Norway Eliteserien
Competition: Sun 08.Oct
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion (8022 seats)

This is the real thing, this is Eliteserien and this is Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg. Get our full match preview!

Insights:
  • Sarpsborg 08 have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Rosenborg have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Eliteserien

It should be mentioned that Rosenborg play their home matches on grass, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on artifical turf. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Rosenborg on artifical turf are 7 victories, 8 draws and 9 defeats from 24 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 37-37. You can compare this with overall results below.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Sarpsborg 08 form and stats

Sarpsborg 08 have collected 19 points from their Eliteserien home games so far after 6-1-4. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Sarpsborg Stadion.

Sarpsborg 08 travelled for their previous game, a trip to HamKam that ended 1-1. Midfielder Torp was the best player on the team with a rating of 9.13 (out of ten) in that game. Torp scored one goal, hit six key passes, dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times and had 57 successful passes (of 64 total).

Before that game, the 3-1 home victory against Lillestrøm.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Sarpsborg 08 have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won 7 times, drawn 5 and lost 5.

Betting people might want to know that 15 of the latest 19 league matches from these players have seen goals scored by both sides.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (24 in 11 games), Sarpsborg 08's attacking play is working. On the other hand, Sarpsborg have conceded 15 goals.

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Rosenborg form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Rosenborg so far with only 9 points returning home. The records show 2-3-6 (win-draw-lose). Three consecutive losses in away matches means Rosenborg are growing more and more desperate for a good performance on the road.

There might be some fixture complaints from Rosenborg as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous game, 0-3 against Lillestrøm. It is a concern for Rosenborg that their goalie Hansen managed six saves in the Lillestrøm game, but still were unable to stop a beating. Midfielder Selnaes was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.12. Selnaes hit two key passes and had 43 successful passes (of 48 total).

A draw for Rosenborg before that, at their own venue hosting Bodø / Glimt (1-1).

We have checked recent matches where Rosenborg have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 1 victory, 2 draws and 7 defeats.

Observe that 12 of this side's 15 most recent league matches have ended with three goals or more.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Rosenborg as they have only managed to score 10 times from 11 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. In the opposite end, Rosenborg have conceded 20 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 0-3. Data for the prior ten meetings involving these two teams are: three wins for Sarpsborg 08, two draws and five wins for Rosenborg. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

Sarpsborg 08K. Fardal Opseth
K. Fardal Opseth
7 goals
SarpsborgM. Maigaard
M. Maigaard
6 goals
Sarpsborg 08V. Torp Overgaard
V. Torp Overgaard
6 goals

Sarpsborg 08 missing players

Rosenborg missing players

Sarpsborg 08 Rosenborg
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 3 11 23
10 6 1 Won W 1 2 8
4 1 1 Drew D 1 3 5
9 4 1 Lost L 1 6 10
41 24 4 Scored S 1 10 29
36 15 3 Conceded C 3 20 35
91% 91% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 91% 96%
87% 91% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 73% 78%
70% 82% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 64% 61%
39% 55% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 36% 35%
22% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 9%
65% 73% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 55% 52%
26% 18% 33% Clean Sheets C S 67% 18% 26%
17% 18% 33% Failed to Score F T 67% 36% 26%
 
6.7 7.1 8.7 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 4.8 4.4
5 5.2 7 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 4.7 4.6
1.4 1 0.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 1.9 2
4 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
18 17.5 17.3 Shots (avg) S ( 8.7 11.5 12.3
6.2 6.1 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.3 3 4.1
29% 36% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 30% 31%
 
12.4 11.6 11.7 Shots against (avg) S A 11.3 11.9 11.6
4.1 3.7 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 4.8 4.2
Key stats in Eliteserien this season:
  • Rosenborg have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Rosenborg have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Eliteserien
  • Sarpsborg 08 have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sarpsborg 08 have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Rosenborg have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bodø / Glimt 23 16 4 3 59 29 11 8 2 1 29 12 12 8 2 2 30 17 30 52
2 Viking 23 16 3 4 50 33 12 9 2 1 33 18 11 7 1 3 17 15 17 51
3 Tromsø 23 15 3 5 34 23 12 8 2 2 20 11 11 7 1 3 14 12 11 48
4 Brann 23 14 3 6 41 25 12 9 2 1 26 10 11 5 1 5 15 15 16 45
5 Molde 23 13 5 5 52 24 11 8 2 1 30 8 12 5 3 4 22 16 28 44
6 Lillestrøm 23 11 3 9 41 36 12 7 0 5 27 19 11 4 3 4 14 17 5 36
7 Sarpsborg 08 23 10 4 9 41 36 11 6 1 4 24 15 12 4 3 5 17 21 5 34
8 Odd 23 8 6 9 28 31 11 5 3 3 14 11 12 3 3 6 14 20 -3 30
9 Rosenborg 23 8 5 10 29 35 12 6 2 4 19 15 11 2 3 6 10 20 -6 29
10 Strømsgodset 23 8 3 12 26 31 11 5 1 5 15 13 12 3 2 7 11 18 -5 27
11 Vålerenga 23 6 6 11 32 39 11 2 2 7 16 23 12 4 4 4 16 16 -7 24
12 HamKam 22 7 3 12 31 46 12 5 3 4 18 17 10 2 0 8 13 29 -15 24
13 Sandefjord 23 5 6 12 35 45 11 4 4 3 21 13 12 1 2 9 14 32 -10 21
14 Haugesund 23 5 6 12 20 34 11 4 2 5 14 17 12 1 4 7 6 17 -14 21
15 Stabæk 22 4 5 13 19 35 11 3 3 5 9 9 11 1 2 8 10 26 -16 17
16 Aalesund 23 3 3 17 16 52 12 3 3 6 10 18 11 0 0 11 6 34 -36 12

Sarpsborg 08:
Rosenborg:
Eliteserien:
Norway:

Read more about Eliteserien

Eliteserien is at the top of the Norwegian football league system. Seasons run from March to November with the 16 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 240 fixtures. When all these are played, the top team in the league table is the the “League Winner” while the winner of the cup in Norway is the “Norwegian Champion”.