Championship match prediction: Little separates Millwall and Luton Town in quality

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Fri 07.April
Match begins: 11:30 (UTC)
Venue: The Den (20146 seats)

Millwall and Luton Town are both thriving in the Championship with their 5th and 4th positions respectively. Expect a grand match!

Insights:
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luton Town is in the best form (4-2-0) in Championship

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

D L W W L

Millwall form and stats

The total Championship stats at home this season for Millwall are 10-5-4 (wins-draws-losses).

Millwall are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 215 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by Voglsammer).

Millwall drew their last game, 0-0 away at West Bromwich Albion (placed 9th).

Preceding that match was the home game against Huddersfield Town that was lost 0-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Millwall perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Millwall as a small favourite), we find 14 games. Millwall has won 8 of these, drawn 4 and lost 2.

There will be little rest for Millwall after this match as they are travelling to Hull City for a Championship game in only three days.

A decent goal production from Millwall in their home games so far, with 29 goals from 19 league matches. Millwall are not conceding a lot of goals here at The Den in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 17 from 19 matches.

W D W W W

Luton Town form and stats

10-5-4 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Luton Town in their Championship matches away. Luton Town are enjoying a nice run from their away games now, having played eight in a row without losing.

Luton are travelling after their nice 2-0 home win in the game against Watford (placed 11th). Defender Osho was the best team player with a rating of 7.45. Osho scored one goal, hit one key pass and won 2 of 7 duels.

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Sunderland that ended 1-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Luton Town playing away and similar expectations, we found 12 relevant matches. Results were 4 Luton Town wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats.

Few goals the story here? 12 of this side's latest 13 league rounds have contained two goals or less.

A quick return to home after this game, as Luton Town are hosting Blackpool in the Championship only three days away.

Luton have scored 22 goals on their travels this season, from 19 away games in the league. Luton Town are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 16 times in 19 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Luton Town have avoided defeat in the last 4 fixtures (1-3-0) facing Millwall.

Surprisingly enough, Luton faced Millwall the last time they played in a match with over 2.5 goals in total. That was the Luton Town - Millwall 2-2 game six league rounds ago, and only "under 2.5" for the visitors since then!

Top Goalscorers

Luton TownC. Morris
C. Morris
16 goals
MillwallT. Bradshaw
T. Bradshaw
14 goals
MillwallZ. Flemming
Z. Flemming
12 goals

Millwall missing players

Luton Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Millwall Luton Town
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
39 19 5 Played P 5 19 39
17 10 3 Won W 2 10 18
10 5 1 Drew D 2 5 13
12 4 1 Lost L 1 4 8
48 29 11 Scored S 5 22 48
40 17 8 Conceded C 4 16 35
90% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 92%
69% 79% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 74% 67%
38% 42% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 26% 31%
15% 16% 60% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 5% 15%
10% 16% 60% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
41% 47% 80% BTTS BTTS 60% 37% 44%
33% 37% 20% Clean Sheets C S 40% 47% 44%
36% 26% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 21% 21%
 
4.5 4.5 2.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.5 5.9
4.3 4.1 5.6 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 5.1 4.8
1.8 1.4 2.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.4 2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
13.1 14.7 13.4 Shots (avg) S ( 7.4 9.7 12
4.1 4.9 5.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.4 3.4 4
30% 31% 39% Goal Efficiency G E 42% 34% 31%
 
10.8 9.1 12.4 Shots against (avg) S A 13.4 11.5 11
3.3 3.2 4.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.4 2.7 3
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Luton Town have the most dropped points from leading position (25) in Championship
  • Luton Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Luton Town is in the best form (4-2-0) in Championship
  • Millwall have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 38 24 12 2 74 29 20 14 6 0 43 13 18 10 6 2 31 16 45 84
2 Sheffield United 38 22 7 9 59 33 18 11 3 4 35 17 20 11 4 5 24 16 26 73
3 Middlesbrough 39 20 7 12 71 46 19 11 6 2 36 14 20 9 1 10 35 32 25 67
4 Luton Town 39 18 13 8 48 35 20 8 8 4 26 19 19 10 5 4 22 16 13 67
5 Millwall 39 17 10 12 48 40 19 10 5 4 29 17 20 7 5 8 19 23 8 61
6 Blackburn Rovers 38 19 4 15 43 43 18 13 1 4 25 14 20 6 3 11 18 29 0 61
7 Norwich City 39 16 9 14 52 42 20 8 4 8 27 23 19 8 5 6 25 19 10 57
8 Coventry City 39 15 12 12 47 41 20 9 6 5 24 21 19 6 6 7 23 20 6 57
9 West Bromwich Albion 38 15 11 12 47 39 20 10 6 4 26 15 18 5 5 8 21 24 8 56
10 Preston North End 39 15 11 13 37 44 20 6 6 8 17 23 19 9 5 5 20 21 -7 56
11 Watford 39 14 13 12 45 42 19 9 6 4 28 17 20 5 7 8 17 25 3 55
12 Sunderland 39 14 12 13 53 46 19 6 6 7 24 25 20 8 6 6 29 21 7 54
13 Stoke City 39 14 9 16 52 45 19 6 5 8 23 21 20 8 4 8 29 24 7 51
14 Bristol City 39 12 13 14 46 47 20 8 6 6 25 19 19 4 7 8 21 28 -1 49
15 Swansea City 39 13 10 16 54 59 19 8 3 8 30 28 20 5 7 8 24 31 -5 49
16 Birmingham City 39 13 9 17 43 50 20 7 5 8 23 21 19 6 4 9 20 29 -7 48
17 Hull City 39 12 12 15 43 53 20 7 5 8 21 26 19 5 7 7 22 27 -10 48
18 Reading 39 13 7 19 41 59 19 10 4 5 28 21 20 3 3 14 13 38 -18 46
19 Queens Park Rangers 39 11 9 19 38 60 19 6 4 9 20 27 20 5 5 10 18 33 -22 42
20 Rotherham United 38 9 14 15 41 51 18 7 5 6 30 23 20 2 9 9 11 28 -10 41
21 Cardiff City 38 10 9 19 30 44 20 6 6 8 18 20 18 4 3 11 12 24 -14 39
22 Huddersfield Town 39 10 9 20 36 55 20 7 5 8 21 23 19 3 4 12 15 32 -19 39
23 Blackpool 39 8 11 20 41 61 19 5 6 8 24 26 20 3 5 12 17 35 -20 35
24 Wigan Athletic 39 8 13 18 34 59 20 4 6 10 15 32 19 4 7 8 19 27 -25 34

Millwall:
Luton Town:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 38 24 12 2 74 29 20 14 6 0 43 13 18 10 6 2 31 16 45 84
2 Sheffield United 38 22 7 9 59 33 18 11 3 4 35 17 20 11 4 5 24 16 26 73
3 Middlesbrough 39 20 7 12 71 46 19 11 6 2 36 14 20 9 1 10 35 32 25 67
4 Luton Town 39 18 13 8 48 35 20 8 8 4 26 19 19 10 5 4 22 16 13 67
5 Millwall 39 17 10 12 48 40 19 10 5 4 29 17 20 7 5 8 19 23 8 61
6 Blackburn Rovers 38 19 4 15 43 43 18 13 1 4 25 14 20 6 3 11 18 29 0 61
7 Norwich City 39 16 9 14 52 42 20 8 4 8 27 23 19 8 5 6 25 19 10 57
8 Coventry City 39 15 12 12 47 41 20 9 6 5 24 21 19 6 6 7 23 20 6 57
9 West Bromwich Albion 38 15 11 12 47 39 20 10 6 4 26 15 18 5 5 8 21 24 8 56
10 Preston North End 39 15 11 13 37 44 20 6 6 8 17 23 19 9 5 5 20 21 -7 56
11 Watford 39 14 13 12 45 42 19 9 6 4 28 17 20 5 7 8 17 25 3 55
12 Sunderland 39 14 12 13 53 46 19 6 6 7 24 25 20 8 6 6 29 21 7 54
13 Stoke City 39 14 9 16 52 45 19 6 5 8 23 21 20 8 4 8 29 24 7 51
14 Bristol City 39 12 13 14 46 47 20 8 6 6 25 19 19 4 7 8 21 28 -1 49
15 Swansea City 39 13 10 16 54 59 19 8 3 8 30 28 20 5 7 8 24 31 -5 49
16 Birmingham City 39 13 9 17 43 50 20 7 5 8 23 21 19 6 4 9 20 29 -7 48
17 Hull City 39 12 12 15 43 53 20 7 5 8 21 26 19 5 7 7 22 27 -10 48
18 Reading 39 13 7 19 41 59 19 10 4 5 28 21 20 3 3 14 13 38 -18 46
19 Queens Park Rangers 39 11 9 19 38 60 19 6 4 9 20 27 20 5 5 10 18 33 -22 42
20 Rotherham United 38 9 14 15 41 51 18 7 5 6 30 23 20 2 9 9 11 28 -10 41
21 Cardiff City 38 10 9 19 30 44 20 6 6 8 18 20 18 4 3 11 12 24 -14 39
22 Huddersfield Town 39 10 9 20 36 55 20 7 5 8 21 23 19 3 4 12 15 32 -19 39
23 Blackpool 39 8 11 20 41 61 19 5 6 8 24 26 20 3 5 12 17 35 -20 35
24 Wigan Athletic 39 8 13 18 34 59 20 4 6 10 15 32 19 4 7 8 19 27 -25 34

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.