Can Luton Town defeat Watford in Kenilworth Road Stadium clash?

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 01.April
Match begins: 11:30 (UTC)
Venue: Kenilworth Road Stadium (10226 seats)

It's looking good for Luton Town so far, with their 4th place in the Championship table and hosting Watford (who are placed 10th).

Insights:
  • Luton Town have the most dropped points from leading position (25) in Championship

Both squads have had enough days rest since their previous exertion in an official match. Let's agree to expect an enthusiastic fixture!

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Luton Town form and stats

7 victories, 8 draws and 4 defeats. That’s what Luton Town have to build on here at Kenilworth Road Stadium in the Championship. Two home wins in a row for Luton Town bring valid hopes of a third.

Luton Town travelled for their previous game, a trip to Sunderland that ended 1-1. Midfield player Doughty got a match rating of 7.45 in that game, the max score being 10. Doughty scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Bristol City in a game that was won 1-0.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Luton handle that role? We have found 17 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 7 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats.

Trench warfare? In this team's last 12 league matches, 11 have had less than three goals (under 2.5).

The Luton Town fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 24 in 19 matches.

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Watford form and stats

The visitors are W5-D7-L7 on the road this term. That's in the Championship. Watford seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Watford delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Wigan Athletic (placed 24th) in their previous match. Koné got a match rating of 7.8 in that game, top player of the team. Koné hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 6 of 6 times and had 33 successful passes (of 38 total).

That result followed a home victory 3-0 versus Birmingham City.

We have checked recent matches where Watford have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 2 victories, 1 draw and 3 defeats.

Few goals the story here? 16 of this team's most recent 20 league rounds have had two or less goals.

The visitors have scored 17 goals from 19 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 23 goals have been conceded by Watford in these games.

Head 2 Head

The two combatants have played earlier this season: Watford - Luton 4-0. Previous five meetings featuring these teams: Luton Town won one, Watford were winners in three and we saw one draw. two games with more than 2,5 goals, three matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

LutonC. Morris
C. Morris
16 goals
WatfordJ. Junqueira de Jesus
J. Junqueira de Jesus
9 goals
WatfordI. Sarr
I. Sarr
9 goals

Luton Town missing players

Watford missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Luton Town Watford
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
38 19 6 Played P 6 19 38
17 7 3 Won W 1 5 14
13 8 1 Drew D 1 7 13
8 4 2 Lost L 4 7 11
46 24 6 Scored S 2 17 45
35 19 5 Conceded C 9 23 40
92% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 89%
66% 58% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 68% 71%
32% 37% 17% Over 2.5 O 2.5 17% 32% 37%
16% 26% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 21%
5% 11% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
45% 53% 33% BTTS BTTS 17% 37% 42%
42% 37% 50% Clean Sheets C S 17% 32% 37%
21% 21% 17% Failed to Score F T 67% 42% 32%
 
5.8 7.2 6 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.9 4.9
4.9 4.6 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.5 5.1
2 1.7 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.1 2.1
4 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
12 14.3 14.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9 10.7 11.8
3.9 4.5 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 3.4 3.9
31% 28% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 27% 30%
 
11.2 10.9 10.5 Shots against (avg) S A 14.2 12.8 11.9
3 3.4 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 4.2 4
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Luton Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luton Town have the most dropped points from leading position (25) in Championship
  • Luton Town have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 37 24 11 2 74 29 19 14 5 0 43 13 18 10 6 2 31 16 45 83
2 Sheffield United 37 21 7 9 58 33 18 11 3 4 35 17 19 10 4 5 23 16 25 70
3 Middlesbrough 38 20 7 11 69 42 19 11 6 2 36 14 19 9 1 9 33 28 27 67
4 Luton Town 38 17 13 8 46 35 19 7 8 4 24 19 19 10 5 4 22 16 11 64
5 Blackburn Rovers 37 19 4 14 43 42 18 13 1 4 25 14 19 6 3 10 18 28 1 61
6 Millwall 38 17 9 12 48 40 19 10 5 4 29 17 19 7 4 8 19 23 8 60
7 Norwich City 38 16 9 13 52 41 19 8 4 7 27 22 19 8 5 6 25 19 11 57
8 Coventry City 38 15 12 11 47 37 19 9 6 4 24 17 19 6 6 7 23 20 10 57
9 West Bromwich Albion 37 15 10 12 47 39 19 10 5 4 26 15 18 5 5 8 21 24 8 55
10 Watford 38 14 13 11 45 40 19 9 6 4 28 17 19 5 7 7 17 23 5 55
11 Sunderland 38 14 11 13 53 46 19 6 6 7 24 25 19 8 5 6 29 21 7 53
12 Preston North End 38 14 11 13 34 43 19 5 6 8 14 22 19 9 5 5 20 21 -9 53
13 Stoke City 38 13 9 16 48 45 19 6 5 8 23 21 19 7 4 8 25 24 3 48
14 Bristol City 38 12 12 14 45 46 19 8 5 6 24 18 19 4 7 8 21 28 -1 48
15 Hull City 38 12 11 15 43 53 19 7 4 8 21 26 19 5 7 7 22 27 -10 47
16 Swansea City 38 12 10 16 51 57 19 8 3 8 30 28 19 4 7 8 21 29 -6 46
17 Birmingham City 38 12 9 17 42 50 19 6 5 8 22 21 19 6 4 9 20 29 -8 45
18 Reading 38 13 6 19 40 58 19 10 4 5 28 21 19 3 2 14 12 37 -18 45
19 Queens Park Rangers 38 11 9 18 38 59 19 6 4 9 20 27 19 5 5 9 18 32 -21 42
20 Rotherham United 37 9 13 15 41 51 18 7 5 6 30 23 19 2 8 9 11 28 -10 40
21 Cardiff City 37 10 9 18 28 41 19 6 6 7 16 17 18 4 3 11 12 24 -13 39
22 Huddersfield Town 38 9 9 20 32 53 19 6 5 8 17 21 19 3 4 12 15 32 -21 36
23 Blackpool 38 8 11 19 40 58 19 5 6 8 24 26 19 3 5 11 16 32 -18 35
24 Wigan Athletic 38 7 13 18 33 59 19 3 6 10 14 32 19 4 7 8 19 27 -26 31

Luton Town:
Watford:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 37 24 11 2 74 29 19 14 5 0 43 13 18 10 6 2 31 16 45 83
2 Sheffield United 37 21 7 9 58 33 18 11 3 4 35 17 19 10 4 5 23 16 25 70
3 Middlesbrough 38 20 7 11 69 42 19 11 6 2 36 14 19 9 1 9 33 28 27 67
4 Luton Town 38 17 13 8 46 35 19 7 8 4 24 19 19 10 5 4 22 16 11 64
5 Blackburn Rovers 37 19 4 14 43 42 18 13 1 4 25 14 19 6 3 10 18 28 1 61
6 Millwall 38 17 9 12 48 40 19 10 5 4 29 17 19 7 4 8 19 23 8 60
7 Norwich City 38 16 9 13 52 41 19 8 4 7 27 22 19 8 5 6 25 19 11 57
8 Coventry City 38 15 12 11 47 37 19 9 6 4 24 17 19 6 6 7 23 20 10 57
9 West Bromwich Albion 37 15 10 12 47 39 19 10 5 4 26 15 18 5 5 8 21 24 8 55
10 Watford 38 14 13 11 45 40 19 9 6 4 28 17 19 5 7 7 17 23 5 55
11 Sunderland 38 14 11 13 53 46 19 6 6 7 24 25 19 8 5 6 29 21 7 53
12 Preston North End 38 14 11 13 34 43 19 5 6 8 14 22 19 9 5 5 20 21 -9 53
13 Stoke City 38 13 9 16 48 45 19 6 5 8 23 21 19 7 4 8 25 24 3 48
14 Bristol City 38 12 12 14 45 46 19 8 5 6 24 18 19 4 7 8 21 28 -1 48
15 Hull City 38 12 11 15 43 53 19 7 4 8 21 26 19 5 7 7 22 27 -10 47
16 Swansea City 38 12 10 16 51 57 19 8 3 8 30 28 19 4 7 8 21 29 -6 46
17 Birmingham City 38 12 9 17 42 50 19 6 5 8 22 21 19 6 4 9 20 29 -8 45
18 Reading 38 13 6 19 40 58 19 10 4 5 28 21 19 3 2 14 12 37 -18 45
19 Queens Park Rangers 38 11 9 18 38 59 19 6 4 9 20 27 19 5 5 9 18 32 -21 42
20 Rotherham United 37 9 13 15 41 51 18 7 5 6 30 23 19 2 8 9 11 28 -10 40
21 Cardiff City 37 10 9 18 28 41 19 6 6 7 16 17 18 4 3 11 12 24 -13 39
22 Huddersfield Town 38 9 9 20 32 53 19 6 5 8 17 21 19 3 4 12 15 32 -21 36
23 Blackpool 38 8 11 19 40 58 19 5 6 8 24 26 19 3 5 11 16 32 -18 35
24 Wigan Athletic 38 7 13 18 33 59 19 3 6 10 14 32 19 4 7 8 19 27 -26 31

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.