Home advantage could prove decisive in Watford - Birmingham City battle

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Tue 14.March
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Vicarage Road (22200 seats)

The odds favour Watford in this fixture vs Birmingham City, but the away team will fight to the end. Here's the Tipsway match preview!

Insights:
  • Watford have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Birmingham City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's no vacation for neither Watford nor Birmingham City as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

L D L W D

Watford form and stats

The story so far in the Championship for Watford at their home stadium (Vicarage Road) is 8 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats.

Sema was the last player to score a league goal for Watford and it's becoming a more and more distant memory as Watford haven't scored in 282 minutes.

No payout for Watford in their previous match, an away game at Queens Park Rangers that ended in defeat 0-1. Pedro, a forward, was the declared top player for the side in that fixture, and was presented with a rating of 7.93 (out of 10). Pedro hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 10 of 12 times.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 0-0 versus Preston North End.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Watford have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 11 games) they have won 1 time, drawn 4 and lost 6.

Trench warfare? Looking at this club's last 18 league games, 15 have contained two goals or less.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Wigan Athletic in only four days. This game is also played here at Vicarage Road.

The Watford fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 24 in 17 matches. From these home matches, Watford have conceded only 16 goals.

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Birmingham City form and stats

As the visiting team in Championship matches, Birmingham City have produced an overall stat of 5-4-8 so far.

Birmingham City had fun at their own home (Vicarage Road) last time out, beating Rotherham United 2-0. Long and Khadra scored. That win felt nice as this club had gone five league matches without victory. Long was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.9. The defender Long scored one goal and won 12 of 17 duels.

Before that, Birmingham City travelled to Wigan Athletic and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

Birmingham are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

Birmingham City have another match away in just four days, a Championship game versus Queens Park Rangers. A demanding fixture list for them!

Birmingham City find the net regularly in their away games. 19 goals from 17 away fixtures in the league. Birmingham struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 26 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

Watford have put together a streak of 4 consecutive games without losing (3-1-0) when facing Birmingham City.

The two duelists also met each other earlier this season: Birmingham City - Watford 1-1.

Top Goalscorers

Birmingham CityS. Hogan
S. Hogan
10 goals
WatfordJ. Junqueira de Jesus
J. Junqueira de Jesus
9 goals
WatfordI. Sarr
I. Sarr
9 goals

Watford missing players

Birmingham City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Watford Birmingham City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
36 17 4 Played P 4 17 36
13 8 1 Won W 3 5 11
12 5 1 Drew D 0 4 9
11 4 2 Lost L 1 8 16
41 24 6 Scored S 7 19 41
39 16 6 Conceded C 5 26 47
89% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 89%
69% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 71% 72%
36% 41% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 47% 44%
22% 24% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 24% 19%
6% 12% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 18% 11%
42% 47% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 53% 50%
36% 41% 25% Clean Sheets C S 50% 24% 28%
33% 24% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 35% 33%
 
5 5.1 3.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 3.9 4.6
5.2 4.8 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5 4.2 4.9
2.1 2.1 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.2 2.1
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.6 12.7 12.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9.5 10.5 10.6
3.9 4.5 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 2.9 3
29% 31% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 54% 39% 38%
 
12.2 11.5 10.2 Shots against (avg) S A 11.8 12.7 11.8
4 3.7 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.8 4.5 3.8
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Birmingham City have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Watford have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 36 23 11 2 71 28 19 14 5 0 43 13 17 9 6 2 28 15 43 80
2 Sheffield United 36 20 7 9 56 32 18 11 3 4 35 17 18 9 4 5 21 15 24 67
3 Middlesbrough 36 19 6 11 64 41 17 10 5 2 31 13 19 9 1 9 33 28 23 63
4 Luton Town 36 16 12 8 44 34 18 6 8 4 23 19 18 10 4 4 21 15 10 60
5 Blackburn Rovers 36 18 4 14 41 41 17 12 1 4 23 13 19 6 3 10 18 28 0 58
6 Millwall 36 16 9 11 46 38 17 9 5 3 27 15 19 7 4 8 19 23 8 57
7 Norwich City 35 16 7 12 51 39 18 8 4 6 27 21 17 8 3 6 24 18 12 55
8 West Bromwich Albion 36 15 9 12 46 38 19 10 5 4 26 15 17 5 4 8 20 23 8 54
9 Coventry City 36 14 11 11 42 35 19 9 6 4 24 17 17 5 5 7 18 18 7 53
10 Watford 36 13 12 11 41 39 17 8 5 4 24 16 19 5 7 7 17 23 2 51
11 Preston North End 36 13 11 12 32 38 19 5 6 8 14 22 17 8 5 4 18 16 -6 50
12 Sunderland 35 13 10 12 50 43 17 6 5 6 22 22 18 7 5 6 28 21 7 49
13 Bristol City 36 12 12 12 45 43 19 8 5 6 24 18 17 4 7 6 21 25 2 48
14 Stoke City 36 13 7 16 47 44 18 6 4 8 23 21 18 7 3 8 24 23 3 46
15 Hull City 36 12 10 14 41 49 18 7 4 7 20 23 18 5 6 7 21 26 -8 46
16 Reading 36 13 5 18 38 55 18 10 3 5 27 20 18 3 2 13 11 35 -17 44
17 Swansea City 36 11 10 15 48 55 18 7 3 8 28 28 18 4 7 7 20 27 -7 43
18 Birmingham City 36 11 9 16 41 47 19 6 5 8 22 21 17 5 4 8 19 26 -6 42
19 Queens Park Rangers 36 11 9 16 37 52 18 6 4 8 20 26 18 5 5 8 17 26 -15 42
20 Rotherham United 36 9 13 14 40 49 17 7 5 5 29 21 19 2 8 9 11 28 -9 40
21 Cardiff City 36 10 8 18 27 40 18 6 5 7 15 16 18 4 3 11 12 24 -13 38
22 Blackpool 36 7 11 18 33 53 17 4 6 7 17 21 19 3 5 11 16 32 -20 32
23 Huddersfield Town 36 8 8 20 30 52 18 6 4 8 16 20 18 2 4 12 14 32 -22 32
24 Wigan Athletic 36 7 11 18 31 57 18 3 5 10 13 31 18 4 6 8 18 26 -26 32

Watford:
Birmingham City:
Championship:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Burnley 36 23 11 2 71 28 19 14 5 0 43 13 17 9 6 2 28 15 43 80
2 Sheffield United 36 20 7 9 56 32 18 11 3 4 35 17 18 9 4 5 21 15 24 67
3 Middlesbrough 36 19 6 11 64 41 17 10 5 2 31 13 19 9 1 9 33 28 23 63
4 Luton Town 36 16 12 8 44 34 18 6 8 4 23 19 18 10 4 4 21 15 10 60
5 Blackburn Rovers 36 18 4 14 41 41 17 12 1 4 23 13 19 6 3 10 18 28 0 58
6 Millwall 36 16 9 11 46 38 17 9 5 3 27 15 19 7 4 8 19 23 8 57
7 Norwich City 35 16 7 12 51 39 18 8 4 6 27 21 17 8 3 6 24 18 12 55
8 West Bromwich Albion 36 15 9 12 46 38 19 10 5 4 26 15 17 5 4 8 20 23 8 54
9 Coventry City 36 14 11 11 42 35 19 9 6 4 24 17 17 5 5 7 18 18 7 53
10 Watford 36 13 12 11 41 39 17 8 5 4 24 16 19 5 7 7 17 23 2 51
11 Preston North End 36 13 11 12 32 38 19 5 6 8 14 22 17 8 5 4 18 16 -6 50
12 Sunderland 35 13 10 12 50 43 17 6 5 6 22 22 18 7 5 6 28 21 7 49
13 Bristol City 36 12 12 12 45 43 19 8 5 6 24 18 17 4 7 6 21 25 2 48
14 Stoke City 36 13 7 16 47 44 18 6 4 8 23 21 18 7 3 8 24 23 3 46
15 Hull City 36 12 10 14 41 49 18 7 4 7 20 23 18 5 6 7 21 26 -8 46
16 Reading 36 13 5 18 38 55 18 10 3 5 27 20 18 3 2 13 11 35 -17 44
17 Swansea City 36 11 10 15 48 55 18 7 3 8 28 28 18 4 7 7 20 27 -7 43
18 Birmingham City 36 11 9 16 41 47 19 6 5 8 22 21 17 5 4 8 19 26 -6 42
19 Queens Park Rangers 36 11 9 16 37 52 18 6 4 8 20 26 18 5 5 8 17 26 -15 42
20 Rotherham United 36 9 13 14 40 49 17 7 5 5 29 21 19 2 8 9 11 28 -9 40
21 Cardiff City 36 10 8 18 27 40 18 6 5 7 15 16 18 4 3 11 12 24 -13 38
22 Blackpool 36 7 11 18 33 53 17 4 6 7 17 21 19 3 5 11 16 32 -20 32
23 Huddersfield Town 36 8 8 20 30 52 18 6 4 8 16 20 18 2 4 12 14 32 -22 32
24 Wigan Athletic 36 7 11 18 31 57 18 3 5 10 13 31 18 4 6 8 18 26 -26 32

More from England - Championship

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.