Serie A match prediction: Little separates Internacional and Grêmio in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 08.Oct
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (51300 seats)

A brief peek at the Serie A standings indicate an advantage to Grêmio when they come to Internacional. Yet; let's await the match before we pick a winner!

Insights:
  • Internacional have the fewest scored goals (20) in Serie A
  • Grêmio have the most scored goals in the first half (20) in Serie A

These teams have little in common geographically as Grêmio have to travel 1500 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

The hosts Internacional saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Copa Libertadores. Thankfully the previous game, versus Fluminense, was also a home game here at Estádio José Pinheiro Borda. The away team is better rested.

L L D L W

Internacional form and stats

Internacional have played 12 Serie A games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-3-4 (wins-draws-losses). When Internacional hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Bragantino, Flamengo, Fluminense, Botafogo and Palmeiras), they have won 1 of 2 matches!

Internacional's previous fixture was also a home event, the loss 1-2 against Fluminense (in Copa Libertadores). Patrick (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.42/10. Patrick served one assist, hit five key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times and had 24 successful passes (of 29 total).

Preceding that match was a Serie A defeat to Atletico Mineiro (0-2).

This is expected to be a close game, with Internacional perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Internacional as a small favourite), we find 8 games. Internacional has won 4 of these, drawn 2 and lost 2.

Early season league goal statistics from Internacional's 12 home games: {12 goals}, 12 conceded.

D W D L W

Grêmio form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Grêmio so far with only 12 points returning home. The records show 3-3-6 (win-draw-lose). Grêmio has drawn their two previous away games.

Grêmio has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Fortaleza for a 1-1 draw. Attacker Suárez got a player rating of 7.52 in the game. "Man of the match" Suárez scored one goal, hit the woodwork once, hit one key pass and had 30 successful passes (of 36 total).

That result followed a home victory 1-0 versus Palmeiras.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 7 similar matches played by Grêmio in our archives, and the results are: 0 wins for Grêmio, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

Grêmio have scored 14 goals on their travels this season, from 12 away games in the league. Grêmio struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 22 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams involved met each other before this campaign: Grêmio - Internacional 3-1. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Internacional victories, two draws and five Grêmio wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less. The games between these clubs have had a tendency to be "violent", having seen 6 sending-offs from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

GrêmioL. Suárez Díaz
L. Suárez Díaz
8 goals
GrêmioF. Cristaldo
F. Cristaldo
6 goals
InternacionalM. Magalhães Prado
M. Magalhães Prado
3 goals

Internacional missing players

Grêmio missing players

Internacional Grêmio
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
25 12 2 Played P 4 12 25
7 5 1 Won W 1 3 13
8 3 1 Drew D 1 3 5
10 4 0 Lost L 2 6 7
20 12 2 Scored S 4 14 40
29 12 1 Conceded C 5 22 32
80% 83% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
68% 67% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 83% 76%
36% 42% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 58% 56%
12% 8% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 17% 24%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 16%
44% 42% 50% BTTS BTTS 75% 67% 56%
32% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 24%
44% 42% 50% Failed to Score F T 25% 33% 24%
 
4.6 4.9 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 4.7 5
5.8 5.5 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.8 6.6 6.7
3 3.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.8 2.8
4 3 0 Red cards R C 1 1 3
 
12.3 14.1 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 11 12.2 13.4
3.8 4.2 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.8 5
21% 24% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 25% 32%
 
13.3 11.8 16 Shots against (avg) S A 15.5 17.6 16.8
4.5 3.8 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.8 5.5 5
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Grêmio have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Grêmio have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Grêmio have the most points from losing position (13) in Serie A
  • Grêmio have the most scored goals in the first half (20) in Serie A
  • Grêmio haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Internacional have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Internacional have the fewest scored goals (20) in Serie A
  • Internacional have the fewest scored goals in the first half (7) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 25 16 4 5 40 16 13 11 1 1 28 6 12 5 3 4 12 10 24 52
2 Bragantino 25 12 9 4 35 22 13 8 4 1 21 8 12 4 5 3 14 14 13 45
3 Grêmio 25 13 5 7 40 32 13 10 2 1 26 10 12 3 3 6 14 22 8 44
4 Palmeiras 25 12 8 5 39 20 11 8 2 1 19 8 14 4 6 4 20 12 19 44
5 Flamengo 25 12 7 6 37 30 12 6 4 2 17 9 13 6 3 4 20 21 7 43
6 Fluminense 25 12 5 8 34 29 13 10 3 0 20 6 12 2 2 8 14 23 5 41
7 Atletico Mineiro 25 11 7 7 29 19 12 6 3 3 15 10 13 5 4 4 14 9 10 40
8 Atletico PR 25 11 7 7 37 29 13 8 4 1 24 14 12 3 3 6 13 15 8 40
9 Fortaleza 25 11 6 8 30 24 13 7 4 2 20 11 12 4 2 6 10 13 6 39
10 Sao Paulo 25 9 7 9 31 27 14 9 2 3 23 13 11 0 5 6 8 14 4 34
11 Cuiaba 25 9 5 11 26 30 12 4 4 4 17 15 13 5 1 7 9 15 -4 32
12 Cruzeiro 25 7 9 9 24 22 13 3 5 5 6 9 12 4 4 4 18 13 2 30
13 Corinthians 25 7 9 9 29 31 12 5 6 1 19 12 13 2 3 8 10 19 -2 30
14 Internacional 25 7 8 10 20 29 12 5 3 4 12 12 13 2 5 6 8 17 -9 29
15 Santos 25 7 6 12 27 41 13 5 5 3 22 19 12 2 1 9 5 22 -14 27
16 Goias 25 6 9 10 21 31 12 3 6 3 11 14 13 3 3 7 10 17 -10 27
17 Vasco da Gama 25 7 5 13 27 38 12 5 1 6 15 15 13 2 4 7 12 23 -11 26
18 Bahia 25 6 7 12 28 34 12 4 4 4 20 15 13 2 3 8 8 19 -6 25
19 America Mineiro 25 4 6 15 27 51 13 4 1 8 13 23 12 0 5 7 14 28 -24 18
20 Coritiba 25 4 5 16 27 53 12 3 3 6 14 17 13 1 2 10 13 36 -26 17

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.