Serie A match prediction: Little separates Goiás and Bahia in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sat 07.Oct
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro (50049 seats)

This game features two squads dwelling in the lower section of the Serie A, Goiás at 16th position and Bahia lying 18th. A decent opportunity for one of the teams to upgrade their position.

Insights:
  • Goiás have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bahia have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Bahia, who are travelling more than 1600 kilometers to play this game.

Goiás and Bahia should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Goiás form and stats

When playing at home in the Serie A, Goiás have managed 3 wins, 6 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 12 games. The home fans are hungry for more even though Goiás have been steadily collecting points here at Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro through three straight draws.

Goiás drew their last game, 1-1 away at Botafogo (placed 1st). Halter was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.85 out of 10. The defender Halter scored one goal and won 6 of 10 duels.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 0-0 versus Flamengo.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Goiás have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 5 matches with the results: Won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2.

Sports bettors who like looking for low-scoring games might like to know that this team have played 11 league rounds in a row with two goals or less (under 2.5).

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Goiás here at Estádio de Hailé Pinheiro in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (11 from 12 games). It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Goiás have conceded 14 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Bahia form and stats

There's been little loot from Bahia's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 13 away games in the Serie A. Bahia only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 3 draws.

Bahia lost away at Flamengo (0-1) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick. Midfield player Felipe was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.41/10. Felipe dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 26 successful passes (of 28 total).

A loss against Santos was the result prior to that, in a home game.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Bahia playing away and similar expectations, we found 8 relevant matches. Results were 1 Bahia win, 2 draws and 5 defeats.

The visitors have scored 8 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Bahia have conceded 19 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Goiás have managed a streak of 5 consecutive games without losing (1-4-0) when facing Bahia.

Bahia - Goiás 1-1 was the output when this pair of participants last played each other, earlier this season.

Top Goalscorers

GoiásL. Halter
L. Halter
3 goals
GoiásG. Costa Marques
G. Costa Marques
3 goals
BahiaE. Stum
E. Stum
3 goals

Goiás missing players

Bahia missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Goiás Bahia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
25 12 2 Played P 4 13 25
6 3 0 Won W 2 2 6
9 6 1 Drew D 0 3 7
10 3 1 Lost L 2 8 12
21 11 1 Scored S 5 8 28
31 14 2 Conceded C 7 19 34
88% 75% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 85% 88%
60% 58% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 62% 72%
28% 42% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 52%
16% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 8% 24%
8% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 8% 8%
44% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 31% 52%
28% 33% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 23% 24%
40% 42% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 62% 36%
 
5.2 4.9 6 Corners for (avg) C F 4.8 5.5 5.9
6.4 5 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 5.8 5.2
2.9 3.2 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.2 2.6
6 3 2 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
12.8 13.8 15 Shots (avg) S ( 14 11.8 13.8
3.7 4.2 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.8 4.4 4.6
23% 22% 11% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 14% 24%
 
15.3 12.2 12 Shots against (avg) S A 12.8 13.1 12.1
4.7 4.1 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.8 6.2 5.6
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Bahia have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Goiás have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 25 16 4 5 40 16 13 11 1 1 28 6 12 5 3 4 12 10 24 52
2 Bragantino 25 12 9 4 35 22 13 8 4 1 21 8 12 4 5 3 14 14 13 45
3 Gremio 25 13 5 7 40 32 13 10 2 1 26 10 12 3 3 6 14 22 8 44
4 Palmeiras 25 12 8 5 39 20 11 8 2 1 19 8 14 4 6 4 20 12 19 44
5 Flamengo 25 12 7 6 37 30 12 6 4 2 17 9 13 6 3 4 20 21 7 43
6 Fluminense 25 12 5 8 34 29 13 10 3 0 20 6 12 2 2 8 14 23 5 41
7 Atletico Mineiro 25 11 7 7 29 19 12 6 3 3 15 10 13 5 4 4 14 9 10 40
8 Atletico PR 25 11 7 7 37 29 13 8 4 1 24 14 12 3 3 6 13 15 8 40
9 Fortaleza 25 11 6 8 30 24 13 7 4 2 20 11 12 4 2 6 10 13 6 39
10 Sao Paulo 25 9 7 9 31 27 14 9 2 3 23 13 11 0 5 6 8 14 4 34
11 Cuiaba 25 9 5 11 26 30 12 4 4 4 17 15 13 5 1 7 9 15 -4 32
12 Cruzeiro 25 7 9 9 24 22 13 3 5 5 6 9 12 4 4 4 18 13 2 30
13 Corinthians 25 7 9 9 29 31 12 5 6 1 19 12 13 2 3 8 10 19 -2 30
14 Internacional 25 7 8 10 20 29 12 5 3 4 12 12 13 2 5 6 8 17 -9 29
15 Santos 25 7 6 12 27 41 13 5 5 3 22 19 12 2 1 9 5 22 -14 27
16 Goiás 25 6 9 10 21 31 12 3 6 3 11 14 13 3 3 7 10 17 -10 27
17 Vasco da Gama 25 7 5 13 27 38 12 5 1 6 15 15 13 2 4 7 12 23 -11 26
18 Bahia 25 6 7 12 28 34 12 4 4 4 20 15 13 2 3 8 8 19 -6 25
19 America Mineiro 25 4 6 15 27 51 13 4 1 8 13 23 12 0 5 7 14 28 -24 18
20 Coritiba 25 4 5 16 27 53 12 3 3 6 14 17 13 1 2 10 13 36 -26 17

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 25 16 4 5 40 16 13 11 1 1 28 6 12 5 3 4 12 10 24 52
2 Bragantino 25 12 9 4 35 22 13 8 4 1 21 8 12 4 5 3 14 14 13 45
3 Gremio 25 13 5 7 40 32 13 10 2 1 26 10 12 3 3 6 14 22 8 44
4 Palmeiras 25 12 8 5 39 20 11 8 2 1 19 8 14 4 6 4 20 12 19 44
5 Flamengo 25 12 7 6 37 30 12 6 4 2 17 9 13 6 3 4 20 21 7 43
6 Fluminense 25 12 5 8 34 29 13 10 3 0 20 6 12 2 2 8 14 23 5 41
7 Atletico Mineiro 25 11 7 7 29 19 12 6 3 3 15 10 13 5 4 4 14 9 10 40
8 Atletico PR 25 11 7 7 37 29 13 8 4 1 24 14 12 3 3 6 13 15 8 40
9 Fortaleza 25 11 6 8 30 24 13 7 4 2 20 11 12 4 2 6 10 13 6 39
10 Sao Paulo 25 9 7 9 31 27 14 9 2 3 23 13 11 0 5 6 8 14 4 34
11 Cuiaba 25 9 5 11 26 30 12 4 4 4 17 15 13 5 1 7 9 15 -4 32
12 Cruzeiro 25 7 9 9 24 22 13 3 5 5 6 9 12 4 4 4 18 13 2 30
13 Corinthians 25 7 9 9 29 31 12 5 6 1 19 12 13 2 3 8 10 19 -2 30
14 Internacional 25 7 8 10 20 29 12 5 3 4 12 12 13 2 5 6 8 17 -9 29
15 Santos 25 7 6 12 27 41 13 5 5 3 22 19 12 2 1 9 5 22 -14 27
16 Goiás 25 6 9 10 21 31 12 3 6 3 11 14 13 3 3 7 10 17 -10 27
17 Vasco da Gama 25 7 5 13 27 38 12 5 1 6 15 15 13 2 4 7 12 23 -11 26
18 Bahia 25 6 7 12 28 34 12 4 4 4 20 15 13 2 3 8 8 19 -6 25
19 America Mineiro 25 4 6 15 27 51 13 4 1 8 13 23 12 0 5 7 14 28 -24 18
20 Coritiba 25 4 5 16 27 53 12 3 3 6 14 17 13 1 2 10 13 36 -26 17

More from Brazil - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.