Premier League prediction and guide: Cardiff MU moderate betting favourite to outplay Newtown

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Competition: Wales Premier League
Competition: Thu 22.December
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Cardiff International Sports Stadium (1875 seats)

Cardiff MU have delivered well so far, sitting at 4th position in the table. Newtown can look both up and down the table from the 6th place.

Insights:
  • Cardiff MU have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Newtown have the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Premier League

This ground uses artifical turf, unlike Newtown's home ground. The last eleven games by the away team on artifical turf have given 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Cardiff MU form and stats

Cardiff MU have performed here at Cardiff International Sports Stadium this season with 6 wins from 8 Premier League matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 0 games and lost 2. Cardiff MU has recorded two wins in a row here at Cardiff International Sports Stadium, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Cardiff MU's previous game was also played at home, ending 2-0 versus Haverfordwest County (placed 8th). The home side are looking to build on that result.

1-1 away at Flint Town United before that.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Cardiff have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost 3.

It should be considered that a look at the 14 latest league games shows that 12 of them qualified as a both teams not to score result (only one or none of the sides scored).

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Cardiff MU as they are travelling to their away game against Penybont in the Premier League. That match is four days after this one.

Cardiff are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 11 goals in 8 games. Cardiff MU's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 11 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Newtown form and stats

The visitors are W4-D1-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Premier League. Newtown have been producing wins at home as well, producing a total of five victories in a row regardless of arena.

The fans enjoyed Newtown's previous fixture versus Pontypridd Town AFC (placed 11th), a 4-2 win played at home. A stark raving crazy game with lots of goals last time out for Newtown, as mentioned above. 6 goals in that fixture, will this match be as enjoying? It's hard not to mention Robles's lethal finishing against Pontypridd Town AFC. three goals were a big reason for the important victory.

That result followed a home victory 2-0 versus Haverfordwest County.

We have checked recent matches where Newtown have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 7 games were 1 victory, 3 draws and 3 defeats.

Goal hungry football fans should note that 12 of this side's 15 latest league matches have ended with three or more goals.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only four days as another away game awaits: The Premier League trip to Aberystwyth Town.

With an average of more than two away goals per league game away, Newtown are regular goalscorers on their travels. For Newtown, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Cardiff have pulled off a streak of 6 consecutive games without losing (3-3-0) when facing Newtown.

Interestingly enough, Newtown have scored at least one goal in every league game they've had since failing to score against today's hosts; the Newtown - Cardiff MU 0-1 game seven rounds ago.

Top Goalscorers

NewtownA. Williams
A. Williams
12 goals
NewtownL. Robles
L. Robles
8 goals
Cardiff MUS. Jones
S. Jones
7 goals

Cardiff MU missing players

Newtown missing players

Cardiff MU Newtown
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
17 8 2 Played P 3 8 17
9 6 1 Won W 0 4 8
1 0 0 Drew D 0 1 2
7 2 1 Lost L 3 3 7
19 11 2 Scored S 2 20 32
26 11 3 Conceded C 10 20 32
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
71% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 88%
41% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 100% 71%
24% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 88% 53%
12% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 75% 47%
18% 12% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 88% 65%
47% 62% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 12%
35% 25% 50% Failed to Score F T 33% 12% 29%
 
2.9 3.4 3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 4.6 4.7
3.7 3.9 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.7 5.5 5.5
1.1 1.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.7 1.1 1.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
7.6 9.1 7.5 Shots (avg) S ( 6 8.6 8.3
2.9 4.1 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 4.4 3.6
38% 33% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 57% 52%
 
6.5 7 6 Shots against (avg) S A 11 9.5 9.9
2.8 3 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.3 5.2 4.7
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • All of Newtown's away-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Cardiff MU have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cardiff MU haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Newtown have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Newtown have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Newtown have the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Premier League
  • Newtown have the most points from losing position (7) in Premier League
  • Newtown have the most scored goals (20) away in Premier League
  • Newtown haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 The New Saints 15 13 2 0 52 5 8 8 0 0 33 4 7 5 2 0 19 1 47 41
2 Connah's Quay 15 11 1 3 26 11 8 7 1 0 14 4 7 4 0 3 12 7 15 34
3 Bala Town 15 8 3 4 28 14 7 4 2 1 11 7 8 4 1 3 17 7 14 27
4 Cardiff MU 16 9 0 7 18 25 8 6 0 2 11 11 8 3 0 5 7 14 -7 27
5 Penybont 15 7 4 4 22 15 7 4 2 1 11 6 8 3 2 3 11 9 7 25
6 Newtown 16 7 2 7 30 32 8 3 1 4 10 12 8 4 1 3 20 20 -2 23
7 Caernarfon Town 15 7 1 7 26 23 9 6 0 3 18 11 6 1 1 4 8 12 3 22
8 Haverfordwest County 16 6 2 8 20 24 8 4 1 3 12 12 8 2 1 5 8 12 -4 20
9 Aberystwyth Town 15 6 0 9 17 39 8 5 0 3 11 15 7 1 0 6 6 24 -22 18
10 Flint Town United 15 4 3 8 15 23 5 1 2 2 4 7 10 3 1 6 11 16 -8 15
11 Pontypridd Town AFC 16 4 1 11 15 30 8 3 0 5 7 15 8 1 1 6 8 15 -15 13
12 Airbus UK 15 0 1 14 11 39 8 0 1 7 8 26 7 0 0 7 3 13 -28 -2