Possible nail-biting contest in Trefelin - Ammanford game

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Competition: Wales FAW Championship
Competition: Sat 18.December
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ynys Park

Trefelin have 20 points playing as the hosts. Ammanford have gained 19 points as the visiting team. Should we expect a home win?

Insights:
  • Trefelin have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ammanford have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

This looks to be an interesting fixture with lots of action and bustle as both participants are well renewed since they last ran out on the pitch. Get this show on the road!

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Trefelin form and stats

Trefelin have collected 10 points from their FAW Championship home games so far after 3-1-5. Game days at Ynys Park have recently become somewhat of a nightmare for Trefelin as they have lost three home games in a row. It hurts.

A strong away win for Trefelin against Afan Lido the last match.

Before that game, the home loss against Carmarthen Town with the scoreline 0-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Trefelin perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Trefelin as a small favourite), we find one game. Trefelin has won one of these, drawn zero and lost zero.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (20 in 9 games), Trefelin's attacking play is working. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Goals are flowing in at the wrong end for Trefelin with 19 goals conceded in these matches.

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Ammanford form and stats

As the visiting team in FAW Championship matches, Ammanford have produced an overall stat of 4-0-4 so far. Ammanford seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Home advantage was not enough for Ammanford in their previous game, as they lost their FAW Championship-match, hosting Pontypridd Town AFC, 0-2.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Risca United wasn't a success with a 1-2 loss.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Ammanford playing away and similar expectations, we found three relevant matches. Results were one Ammanford win, zero draws and two defeats.

Ammanford create on average more than 2,5 goals per away game (in the league) all by themselves, having scored 21 goals in 8 travels. Ammanford's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 13 goals from these trips. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The sides have met each other previously this season, with the result Ammanford - Trefelin 5-3 written in the official records.

Trefelin missing players

Ammanford missing players

Trefelin Ammanford
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
17 9 4 Played P 2 8 17
5 3 2 Won W 1 4 6
5 1 0 Drew D 0 0 1
7 5 2 Lost L 1 4 10
38 20 12 Scored S 4 21 41
35 19 7 Conceded C 2 13 39
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 94%
76% 78% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 88% 88%
71% 67% 75% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 38% 59%
35% 44% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 41%
76% 67% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 71%
12% 11% 25% Clean Sheets C S 50% 25% 12%
12% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 18%
 
4 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 3.2 5.1
5 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 8.5 7.5 4.8
3 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 3.5 2.8
3 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 3
 
11.8 0 0 Shots (avg) S ( 11 12 12.3
4.5 0 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.5 4.8 5.4
33% 0% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 36% 32% 38%
 
10.2 0 0 Shots against (avg) S A 17 15.5 13.6
5.2 0 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 4.8 5.3
Key stats in FAW Championship this season:
  • All of Trefelin's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Ammanford have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Ammanford have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Ammanford haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Trefelin have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Trefelin have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Trefelin haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Pontypridd Town AFC 17 13 3 1 56 16 10 8 2 0 39 7 7 5 1 1 17 9 40 42
2 Briton Ferry 18 12 2 4 57 20 8 7 0 1 29 7 10 5 2 3 28 13 37 38
3 Llantwit Major 17 12 1 4 41 24 8 6 0 2 19 6 9 6 1 2 22 18 17 37
4 Cambrian & Clydach 18 10 3 5 46 29 8 6 2 0 29 7 10 4 1 5 17 22 17 33
5 Goytre United 17 10 3 4 33 16 9 6 2 1 19 5 8 4 1 3 14 11 17 33
6 Swansea University 17 9 2 6 28 22 7 4 1 2 16 10 10 5 1 4 12 12 6 29
7 Llanelli Town 18 8 5 5 33 28 10 4 3 3 16 17 8 4 2 2 17 11 5 29
8 Carmarthen Town 17 8 6 3 27 15 9 4 3 2 12 8 8 4 3 1 15 7 12 27
9 Taff's Well 18 6 6 6 36 35 9 4 3 2 20 13 9 2 3 4 16 22 1 24
10 Trefelin 17 5 5 7 38 35 9 3 1 5 20 19 8 2 4 2 18 16 3 20
11 Ammanford 17 6 1 10 41 39 9 2 1 6 20 26 8 4 0 4 21 13 2 19
12 Afan Lido 17 6 0 11 25 49 10 3 0 7 16 27 7 3 0 4 9 22 -24 18
13 Risca United 18 4 5 9 28 34 10 4 3 3 23 14 8 0 2 6 5 20 -6 17
14 Cwmbran Celtic 18 5 2 11 28 47 7 1 1 5 8 14 11 4 1 6 20 33 -19 17
15 Undy Athletic 17 3 0 14 27 54 7 1 0 6 14 26 10 2 0 8 13 28 -27 9
16 Port Talbot Town 17 0 0 17 5 86 9 0 0 9 2 41 8 0 0 8 3 45 -81 0