Home advantage could prove decisive in Llantwit Major - Ammanford battle

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Competition: Wales FAW Championship
Competition: Sat 26.March
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Windmill Ground (200 seats)

Llantwit Major are listed as expected winners of this home fixture versus Ammanford, if the league positions are anything to judge by. Or could we be eyeing a possible shock?

Insights:
  • Llantwit Major is in the best form (5-0-1) in FAW Championship
  • Ammanford have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Llantwit Major form and stats

10-0-2 is the performance here at Windmill Ground so far in the FAW Championship, giving Llantwit Major a total of 30 from their 12 games here. Outstanding results! Llantwit has won so many consecutive home games (four in a row) that they struggle to remember the last time points were lost here at Windmill Ground. We remember; it was Briton Ferry.

Llantwit Major's previous game was also played at home, ending 1-0 versus Carmarthen Town (placed 6th). The home side are looking to build on that result.

Before that, Llantwit had a home game versus Trefelin which ended with a victory 2-1.

Llantwit Major can score goals in their home matches. After 12 league matches they have found the net 28 times. From these home matches, Llantwit have conceded only 8 goals.

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Ammanford form and stats

4 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses. That’s the product of Ammanford playing as the away team in the FAW Championship this season. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Ammanford's last three away games as they have all been lost.

The club members enjoyed Ammanford's previous match versus Undy Athletic (placed 15th), a 5-2 win played at home.

A 0-1 defeat away at Briton Ferry before that.

Ammanford are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, one draw and two defeats. From a total of five matches.

The travelling fans enjoy Ammanford's attacking play in away games, having scored 22 goals in 12 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Ammanford struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 19 goals conceded from these games. Ammanford has visited these top teams four times, and 3 of 4 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have fought previously this season: Ammanford - Llantwit 1-3. Statistics for the preceeding six meetings involving these two contenders are: two wins for Llantwit Major, one draw and three wins for Ammanford. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Llantwit Major missing players

Ammanford missing players

Llantwit Major Ammanford
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 12 4 Played P 4 12 24
18 10 4 Won W 0 4 8
1 0 0 Drew D 0 1 2
4 2 0 Lost L 4 7 14
55 28 13 Scored S 0 22 50
26 8 0 Conceded C 11 19 48
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
87% 83% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 75% 83%
70% 58% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 67% 75%
39% 25% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 25% 46%
26% 17% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 33%
43% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 42% 58%
39% 50% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 12%
17% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 42% 29%
 
4.6 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.2 4.9
5 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 7.2 4.9
1.4 0 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3.3 2.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
9.6 0 0 Shots (avg) S ( 8.5 10.8 11.8
5.2 0 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 4.3 5
50% 0% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 23% 35%
 
9.4 0 0 Shots against (avg) S A 10 13.7 12.9
4 0 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 4.3 4.9
Key stats in FAW Championship this season:
  • Ammanford have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Ammanford have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Ammanford haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Llantwit Major have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Llantwit Major have the most points (30) at home in FAW Championship
  • Llantwit Major have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Llantwit Major haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Llantwit Major is in the best form (5-0-1) in FAW Championship

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Llantwit Major 23 18 1 4 55 26 12 10 0 2 28 8 11 8 1 2 27 18 29 55
2 Pontypridd Town AFC 24 15 6 3 66 26 12 8 3 1 41 11 12 7 3 2 25 15 40 51
3 Cambrian & Clydach 24 13 6 5 61 32 12 8 4 0 37 9 12 5 2 5 24 23 29 45
4 Briton Ferry 24 13 5 6 63 28 12 8 2 2 32 10 12 5 3 4 31 18 35 44
5 Goytre United 23 13 4 6 46 25 11 7 3 1 27 8 12 6 1 5 19 17 21 43
6 Carmarthen Town 24 12 8 4 40 19 12 7 3 2 22 9 12 5 5 2 18 10 21 41
7 Swansea University 24 10 6 8 37 32 11 5 3 3 23 16 13 5 3 5 14 16 5 36
8 Taff's Well 24 10 6 8 47 43 12 5 3 4 24 20 12 5 3 4 23 23 4 36
9 Llanelli Town 25 9 7 9 40 41 14 5 5 4 21 22 11 4 2 5 19 19 -1 34
10 Trefelin 24 7 8 9 50 46 11 3 3 5 23 22 13 4 5 4 27 24 4 29
11 Cwmbran Celtic 24 9 2 13 35 57 12 5 1 6 15 21 12 4 1 7 20 36 -22 29
12 Afan Lido 25 8 3 14 37 65 12 3 1 8 18 33 13 5 2 6 19 32 -28 27
13 Ammanford 24 8 2 14 50 48 12 4 1 7 28 29 12 4 1 7 22 19 2 26
14 Risca United 24 6 7 11 36 43 12 4 3 5 23 18 12 2 4 6 13 25 -7 25
15 Undy Athletic 24 5 1 18 39 69 12 2 1 9 21 34 12 3 0 9 18 35 -30 16
16 Port Talbot Town 24 0 0 24 6 108 13 0 0 13 2 53 11 0 0 11 4 55 -102 0