Primera Division match prediction and preview for Estudiantes Mérida vs Carabobo clash

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Competition: Venezuela Primera Division
Date: Sun 20.October
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Metropolitano (42200 seats)

Estudiantes Mérida and Carabobo have both delivered a "par" performance so far, to use a golfing expression. Both hold mid-table positions in the Primera Division.

It's no vacation for neither Estudiantes Mérida nor Carabobo as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Estudiantes Mérida form and stats

Overall Primera Division stats at home this season for Estudiantes Mérida are 3-1-3 (wins-draw-losses). Estudiantes Mérida has recorded two wins in a row here at Metropolitano, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

The home team returns to Metropolitano after sharing the points with Carabobo (placed 11th) on their last time out; the Copa Venezuela game ended 0-0. Before that match, a Primera Division win away at Estudiantes Caracas.

Trouble was brewing at the score 0-3 against Carabobo last time out, but a goal from J. Manriquez completed a comeback to a draw result for Estudiantes Mérida.

This is expected to be a close game, with Estudiantes Mérida perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Estudiantes Mérida as a small favourite), we find six games. Estudiantes Mérida has won 3 of these, drawn 2 and lost 1.

The Estudiantes Mérida fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 7 in 7 matches. Estudiantes Mérida have only conceded 6 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Carabobo form and stats

3-1-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Carabobo in their Primera Division matches away.

There were no winners in Carabobo's previous match, a Copa Venezuela home game that ended 0-0 vs Estudiantes Mérida (placed 8th). A 0-2 loss hosting Caracas before that.

It looked so good for Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida, but the job was not completed and two points were lost as a 3-0 lead was turned into a 0-0 draw.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Carabobo playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were 4 Carabobo wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat.

Carabobo are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 10 away goals from 7 games (in the league). Carabobo have conceded 10 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Carabobo - Estudiantes Mérida 1-2. Estudiantes Mérida-Carabobo H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Estudiantes Mérida 2 wins, Carabobo 2 wins, 6 draws. 3 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

CaraboboG. Perozo
G. Perozo
10 goals
CaraboboF. González
F. González
8 goals
Estudiantes MéridaL. Castillo
L. Castillo
7 goals

Estudiantes Mérida missing players

Carabobo missing players

Estudiantes Mérida Carabobo
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs mid Away Total
39 20 5 Played P 3 19 38
14 9 3 Won W 2 11 20
15 7 2 Drew D 0 3 9
10 4 0 Lost L 1 5 9
51 29 10 Scored S 4 29 57
32 15 2 Conceded C 4 19 41
85% 90% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 92%
62% 70% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 68% 74%
41% 45% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 58% 58%
15% 15% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 26%
5% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 5% 5%
46% 45% 20% BTTS BTTS 67% 53% 63%
38% 45% 80% Clean Sheets C S 0% 37% 29%
31% 20% 20% Failed to Score F T 33% 16% 16%
 
6.1 7.3 5.4 Corners For (avg) C F 3.3 4.4 4.3
4 3.5 7 Corners Against (avg) C A 3.7 4.6 4.2
2.3 2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.8 2.5
10 6 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 3
Key stats This season:
  • Estudiantes Mérida have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Estudiantes Mérida have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Estudiantes Mérida have won significantly more corners at home than away.

Estudiantes Mérida
23-09-19 PD Monagas 2 - 2 Estudiantes Mérida
26-09-19 PD Estudiantes Mérida 1 - 0 Mineros de Guayana
06-10-19 PD Estudiantes Mérida 1 - 0 Atlético Venezuela
09-10-19 CV Estudiantes Mérida 0 - 0 Carabobo
12-10-19 PD Estudiantes Caracas 0 - 6 Estudiantes Mérida
16-10-19 CV Carabobo 0 - 0 Estudiantes Mérida
20-10-19 PD Estudiantes Mérida 22:00 Carabobo
26-10-19 PD Portuguesa 22:00 Estudiantes Mérida
03-11-19 PD Estudiantes Mérida 21:00 LALA
10-11-19 PD Deportivo La Guaira 21:00 Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo
21-09-19 PD Carabobo 2 - 1 Aragua
26-09-19 PD Academia Puerto Cabello 2 - 1 Carabobo
28-09-19 PD Carabobo 2 - 3 Trujillanos
06-10-19 PD Zulia 1 - 2 Carabobo
09-10-19 CV Estudiantes Mérida 0 - 0 Carabobo
12-10-19 PD Carabobo 0 - 2 Caracas
16-10-19 CV Carabobo 0 - 0 Estudiantes Mérida
20-10-19 PD Estudiantes Mérida 22:00 Carabobo
26-10-19 PD Carabobo 22:00 Monagas
03-11-19 PD Mineros de Guayana 21:00 Carabobo

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Deportivo Táchira 14 9 2 3 26 11 7 6 1 0 20 5 7 3 1 3 6 6 15 29
2 Aragua 15 7 4 4 17 11 7 3 3 1 8 4 8 4 1 3 9 7 6 25
3 Metropolitanos 15 7 4 4 22 18 7 5 1 1 16 10 8 2 3 3 6 8 4 25
4 Trujillanos 14 7 3 4 24 19 6 3 2 1 10 6 8 4 1 3 14 13 5 24
5 Caracas 14 6 5 3 16 11 6 2 2 2 8 8 8 4 3 1 8 3 5 23
6 Deportivo Lara 15 6 5 4 18 14 8 5 1 2 10 6 7 1 4 2 8 8 4 23
7 Llaneros de Guanare 14 7 2 5 20 18 7 5 1 1 9 4 7 2 1 4 11 14 2 23
8 Estudiantes Mérida 14 5 3 6 22 16 7 3 1 3 7 6 7 2 2 3 15 10 6 21
9 Zulia 14 6 3 5 25 24 7 4 0 3 13 11 7 2 3 2 12 13 1 21
10 Deportivo La Guaira 14 5 5 4 17 11 8 3 3 2 13 7 6 2 2 2 4 4 6 20
11 Carabobo 15 5 4 6 21 23 8 2 3 3 11 13 7 3 1 3 10 10 -2 19
12 Mineros de Guayana 14 4 6 4 17 16 7 4 3 0 10 3 7 0 3 4 7 13 1 18
13 Portuguesa 14 4 5 5 7 9 8 2 4 2 2 3 6 2 1 3 5 6 -2 17
14 Zamora Fútbol Club 14 4 4 6 18 14 7 3 2 2 14 6 7 1 2 4 4 8 4 16
15 Academia Puerto Cabello 14 3 7 4 18 22 7 2 3 2 10 10 7 1 4 2 8 12 -4 16
16 Monagas 15 2 8 5 19 22 7 1 5 1 10 10 8 1 3 4 9 12 -3 14
17 Atlético Venezuela 15 3 4 8 11 22 8 2 2 4 8 14 7 1 2 4 3 8 -11 13
18 LALA 14 3 4 7 7 24 7 2 2 3 5 10 7 1 2 4 2 14 -17 13
19 Estudiantes Caracas 16 3 4 9 15 35 8 0 2 6 3 17 8 3 2 3 12 18 -20 13