Professional Football League prediction and preview: Qizilqum modest favorites to beat Dinamo Samarqand

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Competition: Uzbekistan Professional Football League
Date: Sun 18.August
Match begins: 14:15 (UTC)
Venue: Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi (15000 seats)

Qizilqum hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 11 points and a 11th position in the Professional Football League table. Visiting Dinamo Samarqand holds 6th place with 18 pts.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Qizilqum form and stats

Overall stats at home this season for Qizilqum are 2-2-3 (wins-draw-losses).

Qizilqum's last game was hosting Dinamo Samarqand and winning 2-1. A defeat was the result before that one, 0-1 away at Sogdiana.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Qizilqum have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found two games) they have won 1 time, drawn 0 and lost 1.

Qizilqum has scored 8 goals at home this season, in 7 matches. On the other hand, Qizilqum have conceded 9 goals.

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Dinamo Samarqand form and stats

The visitors are W0-D3-L2 on the road this term. The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Dinamo Samarqand have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone 15 consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Neftchi game. With the Dinamo Samarqand losing streak of five defeats in a row, regardless of arena, optimism is low and sinking.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Dinamo Samarqand, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-2 versus Qizilqum. A loss against Kokand-1912 was the result prior to that, in a home game.

We have checked recent matches where Dinamo Samarqand have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those three games were W0-D2-L1.

The attacking power of Dinamo Samarqand when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored in 5 matches. 7 goals have been conceded by Dinamo Samarqand in these games.

Head 2 Head

Qizilqum and Dinamo Samarqand have met before this season: Qizilqum - Dinamo Samarqand 2-1. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 5 wins for Qizilqum, 3 draws and 2 wins for Dinamo Samarqand. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 6 games.

Top Goalscorers

A. Sanayev
3 goals
K. Nurmetov
3 goals

Qizilqum missing players

Dinamo Samarqand missing players

Qizilqum Dinamo Samarqand
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs low Away Total
17 9 3 Played 3 8 17
4 3 1 Won 0 0 4
5 2 1 Drew 3 3 6
8 4 1 Lost 0 5 7
17 10 3 Scored 4 7 19
35 15 4 Conceded 4 15 25
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 67% 88% 94%
76% 78% 67% Over 1.5 67% 75% 71%
53% 56% 33% Over 2.5 67% 50% 53%
41% 33% 33% Over 3.5 67% 38% 29%
18% 11% 0% Over 4.5 0% 12% 6%
65% 67% 67% BTTS 67% 50% 59%
12% 11% 33% Clean Sheets 33% 12% 18%
24% 22% 0% Failed To Score 33% 50% 29%
 
3.8 3.9 5 Corners For (avg) 4.3 4.8 4.5
5.1 4.9 3.3 Corners Against (avg) 5 6.2 5.4
2.4 2.9 3.3 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 1.6 1.3
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Dinamo Samarqand have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Dinamo Samarqand have yet to win a game away.
  • Qizilqum have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Qizilqum have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Qizilqum haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Qizilqum
28-06-19 PFL Qizilqum 1 - 2 Navbahor
26-07-19 PFL Navbahor 0 - 1 Qizilqum
30-07-19 PFL Qizilqum 0 - 5 Pakhtakor
11-08-19 PFL Sogdiana 1 - 0 Qizilqum
18-08-19 PFL Qizilqum 2 - 1 Dinamo Samarqand
12-09-19 PFL Surkhon 10:00 Qizilqum
21-09-19 PFL Qizilqum 10:00 Nasaf
29-09-19 PFL Bunyodkor 10:00 Qizilqum
20-10-19 PFL Qizilqum 10:00 Lokomotiv
30-10-19 PFL Kokand-1912 11:00 Qizilqum
Dinamo Samarqand
28-06-19 PFL Dinamo Samarqand 1 - 2 Bunyodkor
27-07-19 PFL Bunyodkor 4 - 2 Dinamo Samarqand
30-07-19 PFL Lokomotiv 2 - 0 Dinamo Samarqand
10-08-19 PFL Dinamo Samarqand 0 - 1 Kokand-1912
18-08-19 PFL Qizilqum 2 - 1 Dinamo Samarqand
12-09-19 PFL Dinamo Samarqand 10:00 Buxoro
21-09-19 PFL AMGK 10:00 Dinamo Samarqand
28-09-19 PFL Dinamo Samarqand 10:00 Andijan
18-10-19 PFL Navbahor 10:00 Dinamo Samarqand
29-10-19 PFL Dinamo Samarqand 11:00 Pakhtakor

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Pakhtakor 13 11 2 0 37 9 7 6 1 0 23 6 6 5 1 0 14 3 28 35
2 Lokomotiv 13 8 3 2 24 10 8 6 2 0 19 5 5 2 1 2 5 5 14 27
3 Navbahor 13 5 6 2 21 14 7 3 3 1 13 7 6 2 3 1 8 7 7 21
4 Nasaf 13 6 3 4 18 11 7 4 1 2 12 4 6 2 2 2 6 7 7 21
5 Surkhon 13 6 3 4 14 15 7 4 3 0 7 2 6 2 0 4 7 13 -1 21
6 Dinamo Samarqand 12 4 6 2 15 14 7 4 3 0 11 7 5 0 3 2 4 7 1 18
7 Bunyodkor 12 5 3 4 14 13 4 2 1 1 5 4 8 3 2 3 9 9 1 18
8 Sogdiana 13 5 2 6 16 20 7 4 1 2 11 10 6 1 1 4 5 10 -4 17
9 Metalourg 13 3 5 5 15 14 6 3 1 2 9 5 7 0 4 3 6 9 1 14
10 AMGK 13 3 3 7 16 21 7 2 3 2 11 6 6 1 0 5 5 15 -5 12
11 Qizilqum 13 2 5 6 14 28 7 2 2 3 8 9 6 0 3 3 6 19 -14 11
12 Buxoro 13 2 4 7 8 20 7 1 3 3 4 11 6 1 1 4 4 9 -12 10
13 Andijan 13 1 6 6 10 19 5 1 2 2 7 9 8 0 4 4 3 10 -9 9
14 Kokand-1912 13 1 5 7 14 28 4 0 2 2 4 7 9 1 3 5 10 21 -14 8