Professional Football League prediction and preview: Nasaf modest favorites to beat Surkhon

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Competition: Uzbekistan Professional Football League
Date: Sat 29.June
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)

It's advantage Nasaf so far with their 3rd position in the Professional Football League table, welcoming Surkhon who are placed 5th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Nasaf and Surkhon.

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Nasaf form and stats

Nasaf have played 7 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-1-2 (wins-draws-losses).

The Nasaf supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Surkhon in Professional Football League and win 2-0. Before that match, a win away at Metalourg.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nasaf have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found two games) they have won 2 times, drawn 0 and lost 0.

Nasaf have proved capable of finding the net in their games here with 12 goals in 7 matches. From these home matches, Nasaf have conceded only 4 goals.

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Surkhon form and stats

There's been little loot from Surkhon's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 6 away games. Surkhon only have 2 wins to counter their 4 defeats and 0 draws. Surkhon seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

It might be tough going out on the road again for Surkhon, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-2 versus Nasaf. That result followed a home victory 2-0 versus Bunyodkor.

We have checked recent matches where Surkhon have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those two games were W0-D0-L2.

Surkhon have scored 7 goals on their travels this season, 6 away games. For Surkhon, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Nasaf - Surkhon 2-0 earlier this season. Numbers for the last one meeting between these two teams are: 1 win for Nasaf, 0 draws and 0 wins for Surkhon. Over 2,5 goals: 0 times; under 2,5 goals: 1 game.

Top Goalscorers

K. Murtazaev
7 goals
D. Saitov
4 goals
A. Yusupov
3 goals

Nasaf missing players

Surkhon missing players

Nasaf Surkhon
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs top Away Total
13 7 1 Played 2 6 13
6 4 1 Won 0 2 6
3 1 0 Drew 0 0 3
4 2 0 Lost 2 4 4
18 12 3 Scored 1 7 14
11 4 1 Conceded 8 13 15
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 85%
69% 71% 100% Over 1.5 100% 100% 69%
31% 29% 100% Over 2.5 100% 67% 38%
23% 29% 100% Over 3.5 50% 33% 15%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 50% 17% 8%
46% 29% 100% BTTS 50% 33% 31%
38% 43% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 17% 46%
15% 29% 0% Failed To Score 50% 50% 38%
 
4.9 5.1 1 Corners For (avg) 2.5 2.2 4.2
3.8 3.6 3 Corners Against (avg) 7 7 5.7
1.4 0.9 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 2 2.2
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • All of Surkhon's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Nasaf have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Nasaf haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Surkhon have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Surkhon have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Surkhon have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Surkhon haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Nasaf
All Professional Football League AFC Champions League Club Friendlies
All Home Away
18-05-19 PFL Nasaf 2 - 0 Kokand-1912
26-05-19 PFL Nasaf 0 - 1 Lokomotiv
16-06-19 PFL Bunyodkor 1 - 1 Nasaf
23-06-19 PFL Metalourg 0 - 1 Nasaf
29-06-19 PFL Nasaf 2 - 0 Surkhon
27-07-19 PFL Surkhon 10:00 Nasaf
31-07-19 PFL Nasaf 10:00 Metalourg
11-08-19 PFL Nasaf 10:00 Bunyodkor
18-08-19 PFL Lokomotiv 10:00 Nasaf
14-09-19 PFL Nasaf 10:00 Kokand-1912
Surkhon
All Professional Football League
All Home Away
18-05-19 PFL Qizilqum 1 - 3 Surkhon
25-05-19 PFL Surkhon 2 - 1 Kokand-1912
15-06-19 PFL Lokomotiv 5 - 1 Surkhon
23-06-19 PFL Surkhon 2 - 0 Bunyodkor
29-06-19 PFL Nasaf 2 - 0 Surkhon
27-07-19 PFL Surkhon 10:00 Nasaf
31-07-19 PFL Bunyodkor 10:00 Surkhon
10-08-19 PFL Surkhon 10:00 Lokomotiv
18-08-19 PFL Kokand-1912 10:00 Surkhon
12-09-19 PFL Surkhon 10:00 Qizilqum

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Pakhtakor 13 11 2 0 37 9 7 6 1 0 23 6 6 5 1 0 14 3 28 35
2 Lokomotiv 13 8 3 2 24 10 8 6 2 0 19 5 5 2 1 2 5 5 14 27
3 Nasaf 13 6 3 4 18 11 7 4 1 2 12 4 6 2 2 2 6 7 7 21
4 Navbahor 13 5 6 2 21 14 7 3 3 1 13 7 6 2 3 1 8 7 7 21
5 Surkhon 13 6 3 4 14 15 7 4 3 0 7 2 6 2 0 4 7 13 -1 21
6 Bunyodkor 12 5 3 4 14 13 4 2 1 1 5 4 8 3 2 3 9 9 1 18
7 Dinamo Samarqand 12 4 6 2 15 14 7 4 3 0 11 7 5 0 3 2 4 7 1 18
8 Sogdiana 13 5 2 6 16 20 7 4 1 2 11 10 6 1 1 4 5 10 -4 17
9 Metalourg 13 3 5 5 15 14 6 3 1 2 9 5 7 0 4 3 6 9 1 14
10 AMGK 13 3 3 7 16 21 7 2 3 2 11 6 6 1 0 5 5 15 -5 12
11 Qizilqum 13 2 5 6 14 28 7 2 2 3 8 9 6 0 3 3 6 19 -14 11
12 Buxoro 13 2 4 7 8 20 7 1 3 3 4 11 6 1 1 4 4 9 -12 10
13 Andijan 13 1 6 6 10 19 5 1 2 2 7 9 8 0 4 4 3 10 -9 9
14 Kokand-1912 13 1 5 7 14 28 4 0 2 2 4 7 9 1 3 5 10 21 -14 8

Editor’s Pick

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