USL League One prediction and preview: Tucson modest favorites to beat Toronto II

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Competition: USA USL League One
Date: Thu 04.July
Match begins: 02:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kino North Stadium (2360 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Tucson have their presumed home advantage while Toronto II are ahead 3 points in the USL League One table.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Tucson and Toronto II.

Toronto II play their home games on artificial turf, while this game is played on grass. Recent stats for Toronto II when playing on grass are 2 wins, 2 draws and 15 defeats from 19 matches. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 46 times in these games. Toronto II have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 3600 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Tucson form and stats

When playing at home, Tucson have managed 2 wins, 3 draws and suffered 1 defeat from 6 games.

The Tucson supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Toronto II in USL League One and win 3-1. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting North Texas (0-1).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Tucson handle that role? We have found one game in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W1-D0-L0.

The Tucson fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 9 goals in 6 matches. From these home matches, Tucson have conceded only 5 goals.

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Toronto II form and stats

The visitors are W2-D2-L3 on the road this term. Toronto II seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Toronto II play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 1-3 to Tucson. Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Forward Madison.

Toronto II are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. From a total of five matches.

Toronto II are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 10 away goals from 7 games. Toronto II have conceded 11 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Tucson - Toronto II 3-1 earlier this season. Numbers for the last three meetings between these two teams are: 1 win for Tucson, 1 draw and 1 win for Toronto II. Over 2,5 goals: 1 time; under 2,5 goals: 2 games.

Top Goalscorers

J. Perruzza
5 goals / 2 assists
D. Jambga
3 goals / 1 assists
P. Bunk-Andersen
3 goals

Tucson missing players

Toronto II missing players

Tucson Toronto II
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
14 7 1 Played 2 9 14
5 3 0 Won 1 2 5
3 3 0 Drew 0 2 4
6 1 1 Lost 1 5 5
19 12 0 Scored 2 11 22
17 6 2 Conceded 1 15 21
93% 86% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
79% 86% 100% Over 1.5 50% 89% 86%
50% 43% 0% Over 2.5 0% 44% 50%
36% 43% 0% Over 3.5 0% 44% 43%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 11% 21%
50% 43% 0% BTTS 0% 56% 57%
21% 43% 0% Clean Sheets 50% 22% 29%
36% 29% 100% Failed To Score 50% 22% 14%
 
4.9 6.3 0 Corners For (avg) 5 5.2 5.5
4.8 5 0 Corners Against (avg) 3 4.4 3.8
1.2 0.7 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 2 2.4
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Toronto II haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Tucson have won significantly more corners at home than away.

Tucson
All US Open Cup Mobile Mini Sun Cup PDL Club Friendlies USL League One
All Home Away
09-06-19 ULO Tucson 0 - 0 Richmond Kickers
12-06-19 ULO Orlando City II 1 - 2 Tucson
16-06-19 ULO Forward Madison 2 - 1 Tucson
26-06-19 ULO North Texas 1 - 0 Tucson
04-07-19 ULO Tucson 3 - 1 Toronto II
13-07-19 ULO Lansing Ignite 23:00 Tucson
20-07-19 ULO Greenville Triumph 23:00 Tucson
27-07-19 ULO Chattanooga Red Wolves 23:00 Tucson
04-08-19 ULO Forward Madison - Tucson
11-08-19 ULO North Texas 02:20 Tucson
Toronto II
All USL League One USL Championship
All Home Away
08-06-19 ULO Toronto II 3 - 0 Lansing Ignite
12-06-19 ULO Toronto II 3 - 3 North Texas
19-06-19 ULO Lansing Ignite 1 - 0 Toronto II
28-06-19 ULO Toronto II 1 - 1 Forward Madison
04-07-19 ULO Tucson 3 - 1 Toronto II
12-07-19 ULO Toronto II 20:00 Tormenta
19-07-19 ULO Toronto II 20:00 Lansing Ignite
26-07-19 ULO Toronto II 20:00 Richmond Kickers
31-07-19 ULO Toronto II 20:00 Forward Madison
09-08-19 ULO Toronto II 20:00 Greenville Triumph

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 North Texas 10 7 2 1 23 12 5 5 0 0 12 4 5 2 2 1 11 8 11 23
2 Tormenta 10 5 4 1 13 7 4 3 1 0 7 3 6 2 3 1 6 4 6 19
3 Toronto II 11 5 3 3 20 16 4 3 1 0 10 5 7 2 2 3 10 11 4 18
4 Tucson 12 4 3 5 16 15 6 2 3 1 9 5 6 2 0 4 7 10 1 15
5 Lansing Ignite 12 3 5 4 14 18 4 1 2 1 6 6 8 2 3 3 8 12 -4 14
6 Greenville Triumph 11 3 4 4 6 7 7 3 2 2 5 4 4 0 2 2 1 3 -1 13
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 10 3 3 4 11 15 5 3 2 0 9 6 5 0 1 4 2 9 -4 12
8 Richmond Kickers 11 3 3 5 11 15 6 2 2 2 7 8 5 1 1 3 4 7 -4 12
9 Orlando City II 12 3 3 6 14 20 9 3 2 4 11 13 3 0 1 2 3 7 -6 12
10 Forward Madison 11 3 2 6 11 14 5 2 1 2 5 4 6 1 1 4 6 10 -3 11

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