USL Championship match prediction: Little separates OKC Energy and Reno 1868 in quality

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Competition: USA USL Championship
Date: Thu 18.July
Match begins: 01:00 (UTC)
Venue: Taft Stadium (18200 seats)

This could be an interesting match as OKC Energy have their presumed home advantage while Reno 1868 are ahead 8 points in the USL Championship table.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for OKC Energy and Reno 1868.

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OKC Energy form and stats

4 victories, 4 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what OKC Energy have to build on here at Taft Stadium.

The OKC Energy fans got no joy from their last match, a USL Championship game also here at Taft Stadium: A 2-3 defeat against Reno 1868. In the match before that, OKC Energy hosted El Paso Locomotive and drew the game 1-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with OKC Energy perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with OKC Energy as a small favourite), we find four games. OKC Energy has won 2 of these, drawn 1 and lost 1.

The OKC Energy fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium, the tally being 14 in 11 matches. On the other hand, OKC Energy have conceded 15 goals.

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Reno 1868 form and stats

4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Reno 1868 playing as the away team this season. The visitors have performed well in their home games as well, building a total win streak of four games home and away. Reno 1868 hope to make it five in this match. Reno 1868 love their trips these days, as their two previous away games have resulted in victories.

Two travels in a row for Reno 1868, whose manager I. Russell could celebrate last time after the USL Championship win against OKC Energy. Prior to that match, a home win 4-0 against Rio Grande Valley.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found seven similar matches played by Reno 1868 in our archives, and the results are: 2 wins for Reno 1868, 3 draws and 2 defeats.

Reno 1868 are not goal shy away from home, finding the net 16 times in 9 away games so far. As opposed to that, Reno 1868 have seen the ball go into their own net 13 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: OKC Energy - Reno 1868 2-3. Numbers for the last seven meetings between these two teams are: 2 wins for OKC Energy, 1 draw and 4 wins for Reno 1868. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 3 games.

Top Goalscorers

C. Eissele
2 goals
A. Šašivarević
1 goals
J. Watson
1 goals

OKC Energy missing players

Reno 1868 missing players

OKC Energy Reno 1868
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
20 11 2 Played 4 9 19
6 4 0 Won 2 4 10
8 4 1 Drew 0 2 5
6 3 1 Lost 2 3 4
27 14 2 Scored 9 16 41
30 15 5 Conceded 8 13 27
95% 91% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
80% 73% 100% Over 1.5 100% 89% 95%
50% 45% 50% Over 2.5 100% 56% 74%
30% 27% 50% Over 3.5 75% 44% 53%
25% 27% 50% Over 4.5 50% 33% 26%
80% 73% 100% BTTS 100% 78% 68%
20% 27% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 11% 21%
5% 9% 0% Failed To Score 0% 11% 11%
 
3.4 4.1 4 Corners For (avg) 5.8 5.7 6.5
5 4.4 1.5 Corners Against (avg) 5.2 4.8 5
1.5 1.6 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.5 1.7 1.5
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • OKC Energy have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Reno 1868 haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

OKC Energy
16-06-19 USL OKC Energy 1 - 1 San Antonio
23-06-19 USL OKC Energy 1 - 4 Phoenix Rising
30-06-19 USL Las Vegas Lights 0 - 1 OKC Energy
07-07-19 USL OKC Energy 1 - 1 El Paso Locomotive
18-07-19 USL OKC Energy 2 - 3 Reno 1868
21-07-19 USL Colorado Springs 00:00 OKC Energy
28-07-19 USL Seattle Sounders II 02:00 OKC Energy
04-08-19 USL OKC Energy 01:00 Tulsa Roughnecks
11-08-19 USL OKC Energy 01:00 Fresno FC
17-08-19 USL Portland Timbers II 02:30 OKC Energy
Reno 1868
19-06-19 USL Reno 1868 0 - 3 Phoenix Rising
27-06-19 USL Portland Timbers II 1 - 2 Reno 1868
30-06-19 USL Reno 1868 2 - 0 Sacramento Republic
04-07-19 USL Reno 1868 4 - 0 Rio Grande Valley
18-07-19 USL OKC Energy 2 - 3 Reno 1868
21-07-19 USL LA Galaxy II 02:00 Reno 1868
24-07-19 USL Orange County 20:00 Reno 1868
28-07-19 USL Reno 1868 02:30 Colorado Springs
04-08-19 USL Rio Grande Valley 00:30 Reno 1868
11-08-19 USL Reno 1868 02:30 San Antonio

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 19 11 7 1 30 12 10 5 4 1 15 7 9 6 3 0 15 5 18 40
2 Phoenix Rising 17 11 4 2 43 14 9 6 3 0 28 8 8 5 1 2 15 6 29 37
3 New York RB II 19 11 4 4 45 24 12 8 2 2 34 12 7 3 2 2 11 12 21 37
4 Indy Eleven 16 10 4 2 25 10 9 5 4 0 9 2 7 5 0 2 16 8 15 34
5 Fresno FC 18 9 7 2 32 18 9 5 3 1 16 9 9 4 4 1 16 9 14 34
6 Reno 1868 18 10 4 4 39 25 9 6 2 1 23 12 9 4 2 3 16 13 14 34
7 Nashville 19 9 5 5 33 19 7 3 2 2 13 7 12 6 3 3 20 12 14 32
8 North Carolina 18 8 7 3 27 14 8 4 4 0 13 4 10 4 3 3 14 10 13 31
9 Louisville City 18 8 6 4 27 19 10 6 2 2 16 10 8 2 4 2 11 9 8 30
10 Ottawa Fury 18 7 8 3 28 20 9 5 3 1 15 9 9 2 5 2 13 11 8 29
11 Austin Bold 19 8 5 6 26 23 10 6 3 1 19 11 9 2 2 5 7 12 3 29
12 El Paso Locomotive 19 7 7 5 23 20 10 4 2 4 15 14 9 3 5 1 8 6 3 28
13 Portland Timbers II 18 7 6 5 35 29 9 3 4 2 14 12 9 4 2 3 21 17 6 27
14 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 17 6 8 3 29 18 9 4 5 0 16 7 8 2 3 3 13 11 11 26
15 Real Monarchs 16 8 2 6 36 28 9 6 1 2 26 14 7 2 1 4 10 14 8 26
16 New Mexico United 19 6 8 5 34 31 7 3 3 1 15 10 12 3 5 4 19 21 3 26
17 OKC Energy 20 6 8 6 27 30 11 4 4 3 14 15 9 2 4 3 13 15 -3 26
18 Sacramento Republic 16 8 1 7 24 19 8 5 1 2 15 7 8 3 0 5 9 12 5 25
19 Charleston Battery 17 5 8 4 23 22 10 4 6 0 16 9 7 1 2 4 7 13 1 23
20 Las Vegas Lights 18 6 5 7 27 27 10 5 4 1 21 7 8 1 1 6 6 20 0 23
21 Charlotte Independence 20 5 8 7 23 29 10 5 1 4 17 17 10 0 7 3 6 12 -6 23
22 LA Galaxy II 19 5 8 6 29 39 10 3 5 2 18 20 9 2 3 4 11 19 -10 23
23 San Antonio 18 6 4 8 25 25 9 5 3 1 15 7 9 1 1 7 10 18 0 22
24 Orange County 18 5 6 7 27 30 9 4 2 3 18 15 9 1 4 4 9 15 -3 21
25 Rio Grande Valley 18 5 5 8 29 33 10 4 3 3 15 10 8 1 2 5 14 23 -4 20
26 Bethlehem Steel 19 5 4 10 29 38 12 2 3 7 16 25 7 3 1 3 13 13 -9 19
27 Saint Louis FC 15 4 6 5 18 18 6 2 3 1 11 9 9 2 3 4 7 9 0 18
28 Tulsa Roughnecks 18 4 5 9 25 38 7 3 1 3 12 10 11 1 4 6 13 28 -13 17
29 Colorado Springs 19 5 2 12 17 33 10 4 0 6 9 12 9 1 2 6 8 21 -16 17
30 Loudoun United 15 4 4 7 20 25 4 1 1 2 7 8 11 3 3 5 13 17 -5 16
31 Birmingham Legion 18 4 4 10 15 36 9 2 2 5 4 11 9 2 2 5 11 25 -21 16
32 Swope Park Rangers 18 3 6 9 25 39 11 3 4 4 21 24 7 0 2 5 4 15 -14 15
33 Memphis 901 17 3 5 9 16 24 8 1 2 5 7 12 9 2 3 4 9 12 -8 14
34 Atlanta United II 17 3 4 10 15 37 8 2 0 6 6 18 9 1 4 4 9 19 -22 13
35 Hartford Athletic 20 3 4 13 22 46 8 2 3 3 10 13 12 1 1 10 12 33 -24 13
36 Seattle Sounders II 18 1 5 12 13 49 7 1 2 4 9 16 11 0 3 8 4 33 -36 8