Betting prediction and preview: Peñarol fancied to be better team when visiting Progreso

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Competition: Uruguay Primera Division
Competition: Thu 25.November
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Parque Capurro (10000 seats)

The guesting Peñarol team are thought to be odds-on at Progreso, as the away team own a 17 point supremacy from their 15 league fixtures this season.

Insights:
  • Progreso have the the worst goal difference (-13) in Primera Division
  • Peñarol have the most clean sheets (14) in Primera Division

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Progreso and Peñarol.

There's local pride at stake here, as these teams are practically neighbours. Expect lots of passion from both players and supporters.

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Progreso form and stats

With 1 Primera Division win, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their home games, Progreso are certainly not brimming with confidence. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Parque Capurro.

A strong away win for Progreso against Rentistas the last match, as Gastón Colmán were on target.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Wanderers in a game that was won 3-1.

Progreso are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 7 games. Progreso are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (14 from 7 played). When Progreso hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Boston River, Wanderers, Villa Espanola, Deportivo Maldonado and Rentistas), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 3 of 4 times.

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Peñarol form and stats

The visitors are W2-D4-L1 on the road this term. That's in the Primera Division.

Peñarol delivered a 2-2 draw playing at home against Cerro Largo in their previous match; a Primera Division game. A comeback secured a 90 minute draw in the match against Cerro Largo. Peñarol were trailing 0-2 but refused to surrender and clawed their way back to 2-2, with Carlos Rodríguez scoring the equalizer.

Before that, Peñarol travelled to River Plate and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Peñarol as they have only managed to score 6 times from 7 away games in the league. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (6 so far).

Head 2 Head

Progreso and Peñarol have faced each other before this season: Peñarol - Progreso 1-0. Data for the preceeding ten meetings involving these two squads are: one win for Progreso, three draws and six wins for Peñarol. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games.

Top Goalscorers

PeñarolA. Álvarez Martínez
A. Álvarez Martínez
11 goals
PeñarolP. Ceppelini Gatto
P. Ceppelini Gatto
8 goals
ProgresoG. Alles Vila
G. Alles Vila
5 goals

Progreso missing players

Peñarol missing players

Progreso Peñarol
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
28 14 4 Played P 5 14 28
9 5 1 Won W 3 7 15
8 4 0 Drew D 1 5 11
11 5 3 Lost L 1 2 2
25 15 4 Scored S 9 21 46
32 17 8 Conceded C 4 13 20
82% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 86% 82%
50% 57% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 57% 61%
36% 43% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 36% 36%
25% 36% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 29% 29%
7% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 14% 11%
39% 50% 75% BTTS BTTS 40% 50% 43%
43% 43% 25% Clean Sheets C S 40% 36% 50%
36% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 40% 29% 25%
 
5.6 5.4 8.2 Corners for (avg) C F 5.8 6.1 6.3
4.2 3.5 4 Corners against (avg) C A 3.8 4.1 3.4
3.1 3 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.5 2.4
1 1 1 Red cards R C 1 1 3
 
10.6 11.5 9.8 Shots (avg) S ( 11.4 10.9 11.1
4.1 4.1 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.2 4.2 4.4
22% 26% 18% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 36% 38%
 
8.7 8.6 10 Shots against (avg) S A 6.8 7.4 6.7
3.3 3.5 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.4 3.1 2.5
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Peñarol have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Peñarol have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (11) in Primera Division
  • Peñarol have the most clean sheets (14) in Primera Division
  • Progreso have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Progreso have the fewest scored goals in the second half (11) in Primera Division
  • Progreso have the the worst goal difference (-13) in Primera Division

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plaza Colonia 15 11 3 1 20 7 7 4 2 1 8 4 8 7 1 0 12 3 13 36
2 Nacional 15 9 2 4 23 14 8 7 0 1 16 3 7 2 2 3 7 11 9 29
3 Peñarol 15 7 7 1 22 10 8 5 3 0 16 4 7 2 4 1 6 6 12 28
4 Liverpool 15 8 3 4 38 20 7 5 2 0 23 8 8 3 1 4 15 12 18 27
5 River Plate 15 7 5 3 27 20 7 3 3 1 13 7 8 4 2 2 14 13 7 26
6 Torque 15 8 1 6 26 19 9 4 0 5 12 11 6 4 1 1 14 8 7 25
7 Fenix 15 6 3 6 20 22 7 3 1 3 9 10 8 3 2 3 11 12 -2 21
8 Cerro Largo 15 6 2 7 20 22 7 4 0 3 13 10 8 2 2 4 7 12 -2 20
9 Cerrito 15 5 4 6 14 15 7 3 2 2 7 4 8 2 2 4 7 11 -1 19
10 Sud America 15 5 3 7 15 22 7 2 3 2 8 9 8 3 0 5 7 13 -7 18
11 Wanderers 15 5 2 8 12 16 8 4 2 2 8 4 7 1 0 6 4 12 -4 17
12 Rentistas 15 4 4 7 12 21 8 1 1 6 5 15 7 3 3 1 7 6 -9 16
13 Boston River 15 3 5 7 14 19 7 2 2 3 7 8 8 1 3 4 7 11 -5 14
14 Deportivo Maldonado 15 3 5 7 11 22 8 1 3 4 6 12 7 2 2 3 5 10 -11 14
15 Progreso 15 2 5 8 13 26 7 1 2 4 7 14 8 1 3 4 6 12 -13 11
16 Villa Espanola 15 1 6 8 14 26 8 1 4 3 9 11 7 0 2 5 5 15 -12 9

Read more about Primera Division

The Liga Profesional de Primera División is the highest football league in Uruguay. It was founded in 1900 and turned professional in 1932. The league has 16 teams and play a season from February to November, divided into three parts: Torneo Apertura, Torneo Intermedio and Torneo Clausura.