Primera Division prediction and preview: Defensor Sporting modest expected to overcome Deportivo Maldonado

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Competition: Uruguay Primera Division
Competition: Sun 29.May
Match begins: 20:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini (18000 seats)

This has the potential to be an engaging match as Defensor Sporting have their expected home advantage, while Deportivo Maldonado are in front by 6 points in the Primera Division standings.

Insights:
  • Defensor Sporting have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Deportivo Maldonado have the most points from losing position (10) in Primera Division

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W L W D W

Defensor Sporting form and stats

2 victories, 2 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what Defensor Sporting have to build on here at Estadio Luis Franzini in the Primera Division.

Defensor Sporting are returning here after visiting Danubio and winning with a 2-1 scoreline. Navarro and Balboa scored the goal(s). World class coaching! That was the thoughts of Russo when Balboa scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 64th minute.

Before that game, the home loss against Nacional with the scoreline 0-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Defensor have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 7 and lost 5.

Defensor Sporting aren't scoring a lot here at Estadio Luis Franzini in the league, with only 6 goals from 7 games. Defensor have conceded 11 from these games.

L L W L W

Deportivo Maldonado form and stats

4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. That’s the product of Deportivo Maldonado playing as the away team in the Primera Division this season. With two straight losses from their last two away games, Deportivo Maldonado are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Deportivo Maldonado are looking to quickly end their 183 minutes long goal drought in the Primera Division.

Deportivo Maldonado might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Fenix proved too strong as Deportivo Maldonado slumped to a 0-1 defeat in front of their own fans at Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel.

Prior to that match, the Maldonado manager Soba faced defeat when travelling to Cerro Largo and losing 0-1.

Deportivo Maldonado are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 3 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

Deportivo Maldonado have scored 10 goals on their travels this season, from 7 away games in the league.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last three meetings: one - zero - two (Defensor wins - draws - Deportivo Maldonado wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), zero had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Deportivo MaldonadoE. Borges Couto
E. Borges Couto
6 goals
Defensor SportingÁ. Navarro Bica
Á. Navarro Bica
4 goals
Deportivo MaldonadoM. Cantera Mora
M. Cantera Mora
4 goals

Defensor Sporting missing players

Deportivo Maldonado missing players

Defensor Sporting Deportivo Maldonado
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 7 2 Played P 1 7 13
5 2 0 Won W 1 4 8
4 2 0 Drew D 0 1 1
4 3 2 Lost L 0 2 4
13 6 0 Scored S 1 10 19
14 11 5 Conceded C 0 7 13
77% 71% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
62% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 71% 69%
46% 57% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 43% 54%
15% 29% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 15%
8% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 8%
38% 43% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 43% 54%
38% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 29% 23%
46% 57% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 29% 23%
 
6.3 7.3 10.5 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.6 4.3
5 5.6 7 Corners against (avg) C A 7 4.3 4.1
2.8 2.9 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3.4 3.3
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 3 4
 
14.2 15.7 22.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10 9 10.4
5.8 6.6 9 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3 3.5
17% 13% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 48% 41%
 
10.4 11.1 12.5 Shots against (avg) S A 12 8 9.6
3.5 4.1 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 2.7 3.3
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Defensor Sporting have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Deportivo Maldonado have the most points from losing position (10) in Primera Division
  • Deportivo Maldonado have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Deportivo Maldonado haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Liverpool 14 9 2 3 20 8 6 5 0 1 10 2 8 4 2 2 10 6 12 29
2 Nacional 14 8 4 2 27 8 8 4 3 1 11 5 6 4 1 1 16 3 19 28
3 Peñarol 14 7 5 2 10 5 6 4 1 1 6 3 8 3 4 1 4 2 5 26
4 Deportivo Maldonado 13 8 1 4 19 13 6 4 0 2 9 6 7 4 1 2 10 7 6 25
5 Boston River 14 7 3 4 18 15 8 3 2 3 11 12 6 4 1 1 7 3 3 24
6 Wanderers 14 5 6 3 15 9 6 2 3 1 5 4 8 3 3 2 10 5 6 21
7 Danubio 14 5 6 3 11 8 6 1 2 3 3 4 8 4 4 0 8 4 3 21
8 River Plate 14 5 5 4 20 15 9 4 4 1 14 7 5 1 1 3 6 8 5 20
9 Fenix 13 6 2 5 13 14 7 4 1 2 7 6 6 2 1 3 6 8 -1 20
10 Defensor Sporting 13 5 4 4 13 14 7 2 2 3 6 11 6 3 2 1 7 3 -1 19
11 Rentistas 13 4 1 8 14 19 6 1 1 4 4 10 7 3 0 4 10 9 -5 16
12 Plaza Colonia 14 2 6 6 11 14 7 1 3 3 4 8 7 1 3 3 7 6 -3 12
13 Torque 14 2 6 6 16 20 7 1 3 3 7 8 7 1 3 3 9 12 -4 12
14 Albion 14 2 4 8 16 31 8 1 3 4 11 17 6 1 1 4 5 14 -15 10
15 Cerro Largo 14 2 3 9 6 23 6 2 1 3 3 9 8 0 2 6 3 14 -17 9
16 Cerrito 14 2 4 8 8 21 7 1 2 4 4 10 7 1 2 4 4 11 -13 7

Read more about Primera Division

The Liga Profesional de Primera División is the highest football league in Uruguay. It was founded in 1900 and turned professional in 1932. The league has 16 teams and play a season from February to November, divided into three parts: Torneo Apertura, Torneo Intermedio and Torneo Clausura.