A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Cerro Largo fans are optimistic that the difference between 5th and Cerro's 14th place in the table will show on the pitch.
Cerro Largo form and stats
3 victories, 4 draws and 0 defeats. That’s what Cerro Largo have to build on here at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla in the Primera Division.
A draw after 90 minutes last time out for Cerro, who played 0-0 against Fenix. That match was also played at this venue (Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla). In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting Progreso.
The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Cerro matches with similar probabilities have ended with three wins, zero draws and one defeat (from four games).
The Cerro fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 9 in 7 matches. From these home matches, Cerro Largo have conceded only 6 goals.
Cerro form and stats
Cerro, who have the the worst goal difference (-7) in Primera Division, have only collected 2 points from their away games in the Primera Division, after 0-2-5 (7 played). The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Cerro have lost on their last two travels.
Cerro won their last game, 1-0 versus Rentistas played at home. Prior to that match, the Cerro manager J. Rodríguez Araújo faced defeat when travelling to Deportivo Maldonado and losing 0-1.
As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Cerro playing away, we found three games. Results were zero away wins, one draw and two home wins.
The visitors have scored 4 goals from 7 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. In the opposite end, Cerro have conceded 13 goals in their away games.
Head 2 Head
Last ten meetings between the teams: Cerro won seven, Cerro won two and one draw. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with two goals or less.Cerro Largo missing players
Cerro missing players
| Cerro Largo | Cerro | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 14 | 8 | 4 | Played | P | 3 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | Won | W | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | 1 | Drew | D | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | Lost | L | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| 18 | 10 | 7 | Scored | S | 3 | 4 | 11 |
| 19 | 11 | 4 | Conceded | C | 8 | 13 | 18 |
| 86% | 75% | 75% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 92% |
| 71% | 62% | 50% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 100% | 71% | 62% |
| 43% | 38% | 50% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 67% | 29% | 38% |
| 29% | 25% | 25% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 33% | 14% | 15% |
| 14% | 25% | 25% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 33% | 14% | 8% |
| 64% | 62% | 50% | BTTS | BTTS | 100% | 57% | 54% |
| 21% | 38% | 50% | Clean Sheets | C S | 0% | 0% | 23% |
| 29% | 25% | 25% | Failed to Score | F T | 0% | 43% | 31% |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.7 | 3.5 | 3 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 2.5 | 2 | 2.3 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 130 | 79 | 40 | Total Shots | T S | 16 | 55 | 112 |
| 61 | 34 | 19 | Shots on Target | S O | 5 | 21 | 41 |
| 30% | 29% | 37% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 40% | 14% | 24% |
- Cerro Largo have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Cerro have scored away.
- Cerro has the fewest points (2) away in Primera Division
- Cerro has the fewest scored goals in the second half (4) in Primera Division
- Cerro has the the worst goal difference (-7) in Primera Division
- Cerro has the the worst goal difference (-9) away in Primera Division
- Cerro have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
- Cerro have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
- Cerro have yet to win a game away.
- Cerro haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Nacional | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Rentistas | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Penarol | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Torque | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 21 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maldonado | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 19 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Fenix | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Progreso | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Liverpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Plaza Colonia | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Danubio | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Cerro | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | River Plate | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Boston River | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -6 | 12 |