Primera Division match prediction: Little separates Boston River and Cerrito in quality

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Competition: Uruguay Primera Division
Competition: Thu 21.October
Match begins: 16:15 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas (12000 seats)

Primera Division: Boston River are 5 points after Cerrito, but are set to go full throttle. Let's get started!

Insights:
  • Boston River have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Cerrito have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Primera Division.

This is a game between neighbours, usually meaning extra motivation and importance.

L W L L W

Boston River form and stats

When playing at home in the Primera Division, Boston River have managed 2 wins, 2 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 7 games.

Boston lost their last game at Nacional after a 2-3 scoreline. The defeat against Nacional was especially painful as the deciding goal against was scored two minutes into stoppage time (by L. Fernandez).

Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Villa Española.

This is expected to be a close game, with Boston River perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Boston as a small favourite), we find 13 games. Boston River has won four of these, drawn three and lost six.

There will be little rest for Boston after this match as they are travelling to Liverpool for a Primera Division game in only three days.

Boston are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 7 games. Boston River have conceded 8 in these home matches.

L D W W D

Cerrito form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Cerrito so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-4 (win-draw-lose).

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Primera Division home defeat versus Fénix with 2-4 on the scoreboard. A huge disappointment for Cerrito in their last match (vs Fénix). Leading 2-0 the victory seemed almost certain, but a fascinating collapse turned everything around and in the end all was lost in a 2-4 defeat. A crazy, crazy fixture with lots of goals last time out for Cerrito, as mentioned above. 6 goals in that match, will this game be as full of joy?

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Plaza Colonia that ended 3-3.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found eleven similar matches played by Cerrito in our archives, and the results are: seven wins for Cerrito, three draws and one defeat.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Wanderers in just three days.

The attacking power of Cerrito when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 8 league matches away. As opposed to that, Cerrito have seen the ball go into their own net 11 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The fixture history shows this score when the squads faced each other previously this campaign; Cerrito - Boston 1-0. Stats for the last ten meetings between these two participants are: four wins for Boston, four draws and two wins for Cerrito. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

CerritoM. Silvera Cabo
M. Silvera Cabo
14 goals
BostonF. Labandeira Castro
F. Labandeira Castro
5 goals
Boston RiverF. Rodríguez Calleriza
F. Rodríguez Calleriza
4 goals

Boston River missing players

Cerrito missing players

Boston River Cerrito
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 10 4 Played P 3 11 21
5 3 2 Won W 1 3 7
5 2 0 Drew D 1 3 6
11 5 2 Lost L 1 5 8
25 11 4 Scored S 2 11 23
35 16 4 Conceded C 2 15 24
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 86%
71% 80% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 64% 62%
43% 40% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 36% 33%
29% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 27% 24%
19% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 10%
57% 60% 25% BTTS BTTS 33% 36% 38%
24% 30% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 27% 38%
24% 10% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 45% 38%
 
6 7.3 6.2 Corners for (avg) C F 2.7 4 4.2
4.9 4.5 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.7 3.8 3.8
2.6 2.6 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.4 2.2
2 0 0 Red cards R C 3 4 5
 
8.9 8.3 6 Shots (avg) S ( 7 8.5 8.6
3.7 3.1 2.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 2.8 3.3
32% 35% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 35% 33%
Key stats in Primera Division this season:
  • Boston River have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Boston River haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Cerrito have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plaza Colonia 15 11 3 1 20 7 7 4 2 1 8 4 8 7 1 0 12 3 13 36
2 Nacional 15 9 2 4 23 14 8 7 0 1 16 3 7 2 2 3 7 11 9 29
3 Peñarol 15 7 7 1 22 10 8 5 3 0 16 4 7 2 4 1 6 6 12 28
4 Liverpool 15 8 3 4 38 20 7 5 2 0 23 8 8 3 1 4 15 12 18 27
5 River Plate 15 7 5 3 27 20 7 3 3 1 13 7 8 4 2 2 14 13 7 26
6 Torque 15 8 1 6 26 19 9 4 0 5 12 11 6 4 1 1 14 8 7 25
7 Fénix 15 6 3 6 20 22 7 3 1 3 9 10 8 3 2 3 11 12 -2 21
8 Cerro Largo 15 6 2 7 20 22 7 4 0 3 13 10 8 2 2 4 7 12 -2 20
9 Cerrito 15 5 4 6 14 15 7 3 2 2 7 4 8 2 2 4 7 11 -1 19
10 Sud América 15 5 3 7 15 22 7 2 3 2 8 9 8 3 0 5 7 13 -7 18
11 Wanderers 15 5 2 8 12 16 8 4 2 2 8 4 7 1 0 6 4 12 -4 17
12 Rentistas 15 4 4 7 12 21 8 1 1 6 5 15 7 3 3 1 7 6 -9 16
13 Boston River 15 3 5 7 14 19 7 2 2 3 7 8 8 1 3 4 7 11 -5 14
14 Deportivo Maldonado 15 3 5 7 11 22 8 1 3 4 6 12 7 2 2 3 5 10 -11 14
15 Progreso 15 2 5 8 13 26 7 1 2 4 7 14 8 1 3 4 6 12 -13 11
16 Villa Española 15 1 6 8 14 26 8 1 4 3 9 11 7 0 2 5 5 15 -12 9

Read more about Primera Division

The Liga Profesional de Primera División is the highest football league in Uruguay. It was founded in 1900 and turned professional in 1932. The league has 16 teams and play a season from February to November, divided into three parts: Torneo Apertura, Torneo Intermedio and Torneo Clausura.