Premier League prediction and preview: Mariupol modest favorites to beat Lviv

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Competition: Ukraine Premier League
Date: Sun 08.December
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Volodymyra Boika Stadium (12680 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Mariupol are in the 7th position while the guests worry at 10th.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Lviv have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1300 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

Lviv are still fighting for top positions and their benefits.

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Mariupol form and stats

When playing at home in the Premier League, Mariupol have managed 3 wins, 4 draws and suffered 2 defeats from 9 games. The home fans are hungry for more even though Mariupol have been steadily collecting points here at Volodymyra Boika Stadium through three straight draws.

The home supporters saw a 0-0 draw versus Lviv in the Premier League last time out and are looking for a win here. In the match before that, Mariupol hosted Shakhtar Donetsk and drew the game 1-1.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Mariupol's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played four games, won 3 matches, drawn 1 and lost 0.

The Mariupol fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 9 in 9 matches. Mariupol have conceded 10 in these home matches.

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Lviv form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Lviv so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-5 (win-draw-lose).

Lviv have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 245 minutes ago. M. Tatarkov was the goal scorer.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Mariupol (placed 7th) in their previous outing. The Premier League match ended in a draw 0-0. The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-2 defeat against Dnipro-1.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Lviv playing away, we found three games. Results were 1 away win, 1 draw and 1 home win.

The visitors have scored 8 goals from 9 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Lviv have conceded 17 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Mariupol - Lviv 0-0. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 5 wins for Mariupol, 3 draws and 2 wins for Lviv. Over 2,5 goals: 5 times; under 2,5 goals: 5 games.

Top Goalscorers

MariupolR. Fomin
R. Fomin
3 goals
MariupolV. Vakula
V. Vakula
3 goals
MariupolI. Kyryukhantsev
I. Kyryukhantsev
2 goals

Mariupol missing players

Lviv missing players

Mariupol Lviv
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
17 9 2 Played P 3 9 17
4 3 0 Won W 1 2 3
7 4 2 Drew D 0 2 3
6 2 0 Lost L 2 5 11
15 9 3 Scored S 3 8 11
25 10 3 Conceded C 5 17 30
88% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 78% 82%
71% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 65%
41% 33% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 56% 41%
24% 22% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 44% 29%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 33% 24%
53% 44% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 44% 29%
29% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 22% 24%
29% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 56% 65%
 
4.6 5 3.5 Corners For (avg) C F 3.3 3.6 3.4
6.4 6.2 7 Corners Against (avg) C A 3.7 4.7 5.3
2.6 2.6 4.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 3.6 3.4
3 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 5
 
163 93 18 Total Shots T S 23 70 126
64 37 8 Shots on Target S O 13 31 58
23% 24% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 26% 19%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Lviv has the fewest dropped points from leading position (0)
  • Lviv have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Lviv have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Mariupol has the most dropped points from leading position (11)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 17 15 2 0 48 8 9 8 1 0 30 5 8 7 1 0 18 3 40 47
2 Zorya 17 10 4 3 33 14 8 4 3 1 14 6 9 6 1 2 19 8 19 34
3 Dynamo Kyiv 17 10 3 4 35 12 9 4 2 3 15 8 8 6 1 1 20 4 23 33
4 Desna 17 10 3 4 29 12 8 3 3 2 7 4 9 7 0 2 22 8 17 33
5 Oleksandria 17 9 3 5 21 16 9 7 0 2 16 9 8 2 3 3 5 7 5 30
6 Kolos Kovalivka 17 6 2 9 16 28 9 4 1 4 12 14 8 2 1 5 4 14 -12 20
7 Mariupol 17 4 7 6 15 25 9 3 4 2 9 10 8 1 3 4 6 15 -10 19
8 Dnipro-1 17 5 3 9 17 26 8 4 0 4 10 11 9 1 3 5 7 15 -9 18
9 Olimpik Donetsk 17 5 3 9 15 30 8 2 1 5 7 18 9 3 2 4 8 12 -15 18
10 Lviv 17 3 3 11 11 30 8 1 1 6 3 13 9 2 2 5 8 17 -19 12
11 Karpaty 17 2 5 10 14 31 9 1 2 6 7 18 8 1 3 4 7 13 -17 11
12 Vorskla 17 3 2 12 10 32 8 2 2 4 6 12 9 1 0 8 4 20 -22 11

Lviv:

Read more about Premier League

The Ukrainian Premier League is the highest division of football in Ukraine. It was created in 1991 as Ukraine declared independence from the Soviet Union. Twelve teams play each other twice in a 22 match regular season to create a league table. The table then splits in half resulting in a Championship round and a Relegation round, each playing ten more fixtures.