Premier League match prediction: Little separates Dnipro-1 and Vorskla in quality

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Competition: Ukraine Premier League
Competition: Sat 27.November
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Dnipro Arena (31003 seats)

Both squads are revelling in a quality season so far and match dates like today could be momentous. Get ready for Dnipro-1 - Vorskla!

Insights:
  • Dnipro-1 have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Vorskla have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (2) in Premier League

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Dnipro-1 form and stats

This stadium, Dnipro Arena, has been a fortress for Dnipro-1 in the Premier League so far this season with the win-draw-loss statistic 6-0-1. It’s been three wins in a row for Dnipro-1 here at Dnipro Arena, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

Dnipro-1's previous game was a Premier League match also played at home, ending 3-1 versus Oleksandria (placed 6th). The home side are looking to build on that result.

Before that match, a win away at Inhulets.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Dnipro-1 have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found six matches with the results: Won two, drawn three and lost one.

There will be little rest for Dnipro-1 after this match as they are travelling to LNZ Cherkasy for a Ukrainian Cup game in only four days.

Goals decide football matches and Dnipro-1 are scoring many of them at home; 14 on target from 7 league matches. From these home matches, Dnipro-1 have conceded only 6 goals.

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Vorskla form and stats

Playing away, Vorskla have won 3 games, drawn 1 and suffered 1 defeat in the Premier League this season. Having won their last three away games Vorskla has no reason to fear anyone.

Impressive finishing from Ivan Pešić, Ruslan Stepanyuk, Joonas Tamm and Olivier Thill (2) secured the home win 5-1 against Mariupol in their previous game. As you can tell from the results above, Vorskla was very dominant against Mariupol, winning the match with a scoreline that even the finest fortune teller couldn't predict. 5-1 (!) with Ivan Pešić, Ruslan Stepanyuk, Joonas Tamm and Olivier Thill (2) providing the goals.

Prior to that result Vorskla won their away game at Dynamo Kyiv. The scoreline was 2-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Vorskla playing away and similar expectations, we found 13 relevant matches. Results were two Vorskla wins, four draws and seven defeats.

Vorskla find the net regularly in their away games. 6 goals from 5 away fixtures in the league. Vorskla are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 4 times in 5 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Dnipro-1 and Vorskla have faced each other before this season: Vorskla - Dnipro-1 2-2. Stats for the last nine meetings featuring these two sides are: four wins for Dnipro-1, four draws and one win for Vorskla. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

Dnipro-1A. Dovbyk
A. Dovbyk
10 goals
VorsklaR. Stepanyuk
R. Stepanyuk
8 goals
VorsklaO. Thill
O. Thill
6 goals

Dnipro-1 missing players

Vorskla missing players

Dnipro-1 Vorskla
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
15 7 1 Played P 2 5 15
10 6 0 Won W 1 3 9
1 0 0 Drew D 0 1 4
4 1 1 Lost L 1 1 2
24 14 0 Scored S 2 6 28
15 6 4 Conceded C 2 4 12
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 93%
80% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 60% 80%
53% 57% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 40% 47%
27% 43% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 27%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 13%
33% 29% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 47%
47% 57% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 40%
20% 14% 100% Failed to Score F T 50% 20% 20%
 
5.3 5.9 8 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 3.2 5.1
3.3 2.6 5 Corners against (avg) C A 11 8.2 6.1
2.7 2.7 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.8 2.2
4 1 1 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
12.5 15.4 10 Shots (avg) S ( 5.5 6.6 10.2
5.3 7 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.6 4.4
30% 29% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 46% 42%
 
7.7 7.6 11 Shots against (avg) S A 11.5 9 9.7
2.6 2.1 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 4.2 4.2
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Dnipro-1 have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Dnipro-1 have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Dnipro-1 have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Vorskla have scored away.
  • Dnipro-1 have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Dnipro-1 haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Vorskla have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Vorskla have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Vorskla have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (2) in Premier League
  • Vorskla have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Vorskla haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dynamo Kyiv 15 12 2 1 41 8 8 6 1 1 21 2 7 6 1 0 20 6 33 38
2 Shakhtar Donetsk 15 12 2 1 40 8 8 7 0 1 23 6 7 5 2 0 17 2 32 38
3 Vorskla 15 9 4 2 28 12 10 6 3 1 22 8 5 3 1 1 6 4 16 31
4 Dnipro-1 15 10 1 4 24 15 7 6 0 1 14 6 8 4 1 3 10 9 9 31
5 Zorya 15 9 2 4 34 18 8 5 1 2 12 4 7 4 1 2 22 14 16 29
6 Oleksandria 15 6 5 4 15 13 4 3 0 1 6 3 11 3 5 3 9 10 2 23
7 Desna 15 6 3 6 17 22 8 4 1 3 10 9 7 2 2 3 7 13 -5 21
8 Veres 14 5 4 5 12 15 6 3 3 0 5 1 8 2 1 5 7 14 -3 19
9 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 14 6 1 7 16 22 7 4 0 3 12 13 7 2 1 4 4 9 -6 19
10 Kolos Kovalivka 14 4 2 8 9 21 8 2 1 5 6 11 6 2 1 3 3 10 -12 14
11 Rukh Vynnyky 14 3 4 7 13 20 6 2 3 1 6 6 8 1 1 6 7 14 -7 13
12 Lviv 15 3 4 8 11 23 9 1 3 5 6 15 6 2 1 3 5 8 -12 13
13 Chornomorets 15 2 5 8 17 35 8 1 3 4 9 20 7 1 2 4 8 15 -18 11
14 Inhulets 14 2 4 8 11 25 6 1 2 3 5 9 8 1 2 5 6 16 -14 10
15 Minai 14 1 6 7 10 22 7 1 4 2 7 9 7 0 2 5 3 13 -12 9
16 Mariupol 15 2 1 12 18 37 7 0 0 7 9 21 8 2 1 5 9 16 -19 7

Read more about Premier League

The Ukrainian Premier League is the highest division of football in Ukraine. It was created in 1991 as Ukraine declared independence from the Soviet Union. Twelve teams play each other twice in a 22 match regular season to create a league table. The table then splits in half resulting in a Championship round and a Relegation round, each playing ten more fixtures.