Premier League preview: Can Wakiso Giants edge out victory against Mbarara City?

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Competition: Uganda Premier League
Competition: Wed 09.March
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kabaka Kyabaggu Sports Stadium (1000 seats)

In total; 20 matches are played and Wakiso Giants are 13 points in front of Mbarara City. Who wins?

Insights:
  • Wakiso Giants have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mbarara City have the fewest scored goals in the first half (3) in Premier League

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Wakiso Giants form and stats

Wakiso Giants are steadily winning Premier League games and points here at Kabaka Kyabaggu Sports Stadium. 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats is the summary from 10 games.

A nice win for Wakiso Giants last time playing, versus Mbarara City. That was also a home game and the match ended 3-1.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Arua Hill (2-4).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Wakiso Giants have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won seven times, drawn three and lost five.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (21 in 10 games), Wakiso's attacking play is working. Wakiso Giants have conceded 17 from these games.

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Mbarara City form and stats

Mbarara City have only collected 1 point from their away games in the Premier League, after 0-1-9 (10 played). Mbarara City are desperate to end a ten-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Onduparaka fixture.

There might be some fixture complaints from Mbarara as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous match, 1-3 against Wakiso Giants.

A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting URA.

Mbarara City are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is three wins, two draws and five defeats. From a total of ten matches.

Goals are few and far between in Mbarara's away league games. Only 1 goal from 10 travels. It's worth mentioning that 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 13 goals have been conceded by Mbarara City in these games.

Head 2 Head

These competitors have met before this season: Wakiso Giants - Mbarara City 3-1. Data for the last six meetings featuring these two teams are: three wins for Wakiso, one draw and two wins for Mbarara City. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Wakiso Giants missing players

Mbarara City missing players

Wakiso Giants Mbarara City
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
20 10 3 Played P 4 10 20
9 7 3 Won W 0 0 4
3 0 0 Drew D 1 1 5
8 3 0 Lost L 3 9 11
29 21 8 Scored S 0 1 13
33 17 2 Conceded C 4 13 22
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 90% 85%
70% 80% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 25% 30% 45%
55% 80% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 10% 25%
40% 50% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 10% 15%
30% 40% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
45% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 10% 35%
25% 30% 67% Clean Sheets C S 25% 10% 20%
35% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 90% 60%
 
3.8 5.2 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 2.2 3.6 4.6
4.1 3.4 3.7 Corners against (avg) C A 2.5 4.4 4.3
1.4 1.2 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 0.9 1.3
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.8 12.8 16.7 Shots (avg) S ( 6.2 6.9 8
4.3 5 6.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 1.3 2.2
38% 47% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 8% 26%
 
9.6 9.3 8.3 Shots against (avg) S A 5.8 8.8 9.3
3.9 3.3 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.2 2.6 2.5
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Mbarara City have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Mbarara City have the fewest matches over the total-line (1) in Premier League
  • Mbarara City have the fewest scored goals (1) away in Premier League
  • Mbarara City have the fewest scored goals in the first half (3) in Premier League
  • Mbarara City have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Mbarara City have yet to win a game away.
  • Wakiso Giants have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Wakiso Giants have scored more than double the goals of Mbarara City.
  • Wakiso Giants have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Wakiso Giants haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Vipers 19 13 4 2 43 17 10 7 2 1 25 9 9 6 2 1 18 8 26 43
2 KCCA 19 11 7 1 30 14 9 8 1 0 17 5 10 3 6 1 13 9 16 40
3 URA 20 10 8 2 38 16 10 6 4 0 19 7 10 4 4 2 19 9 22 38
4 BUL 19 9 6 4 38 22 10 6 2 2 21 7 9 3 4 2 17 15 16 33
5 Arua Hill 20 9 6 5 27 23 10 6 3 1 19 11 10 3 3 4 8 12 4 33
6 Express FC 20 7 10 3 22 14 10 4 5 1 15 9 10 3 5 2 7 5 8 31
7 Wakiso Giants 20 9 3 8 29 33 10 7 0 3 21 17 10 2 3 5 8 16 -4 30
8 Gadafi 20 6 8 6 21 25 10 5 3 2 11 10 10 1 5 4 10 15 -4 26
9 UPDF 20 5 8 7 24 33 10 4 5 1 11 8 10 1 3 6 13 25 -9 23
10 Police 19 5 6 8 24 23 10 3 4 3 17 12 9 2 2 5 7 11 1 21
11 Jinja SSS 19 6 2 11 16 30 9 3 1 5 6 10 10 3 1 6 10 20 -14 20
12 SC Villa 19 4 7 8 18 22 10 3 3 4 13 12 9 1 4 4 5 10 -4 18
13 Onduparaka 20 4 8 8 21 26 10 3 6 1 13 10 10 1 2 7 8 16 -5 18
14 Mbarara City 20 4 5 11 13 22 10 4 4 2 12 9 10 0 1 9 1 13 -9 17
15 Bright Stars 19 3 7 9 12 26 9 2 4 3 4 7 10 1 3 6 8 19 -14 16
16 Soana 19 2 3 14 17 47 9 2 2 5 9 17 10 0 1 9 8 30 -30 9