Soccer betting preview: Kasımpaşa welcomes Altay in what could be a tight duel

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Competition: Turkey Super Lig
Competition: Sat 25.December
Match begins: 10:30 (UTC)
Venue: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (14234 seats)

Crucial battle in the "wrong" end of the Super Lig, with both Kasımpaşa and Altay undergoing more distress than delight. This fixture is a classic "six-pointer" with the hosting team positioned 20th and the visiting team in 16th place.

Insights:
  • Kasımpaşa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Altay have the most matches over the total-line (12) in Super Lig

It's no vacation for neither Kasımpaşa nor Altay as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D L L D W

Kasımpaşa form and stats

Kasımpaşa's struggle is real here at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu with only 9 points collected from 9 Super Lig games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 2-3-4. When Kasımpaşa hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Gazisehir Gaziantep, Kayserispor, Yeni Malatyaspor, Kasımpaşa, Rizespor and Goztepe), they have won 1 of 2 matches!

Kasımpaşa travelled for their previous game, a trip to Antalyaspor that ended 1-1. Donk, defender, was given a rating of 7.55/10 in that game, top of the team. Donk served one assist, hit one key pass and won 9 of 12 duels.

Preceding that match was the home game against Sivasspor that was lost 1-3.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Kasımpaşa have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eight matches with the results: Won five, drawn two and lost one.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Kasımpaşa, as the Turkish Cup home game vs Kocaelispor is only three days away.

Kasımpaşa has scored 12 league goals at home this season, in 9 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Kasımpaşa defense is not exactly impregnable. 14 goals conceded from 9 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Altay form and stats

Altay have only collected 8 points from their away games in the Super Lig, after 2-2-5 (9 played). Altay are desperate to end a eleven-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Besiktas fixture.

Altay might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Trabzonspor proved too strong as Altay slumped to a 1-2 defeat in front of their own fans at İzmir Atatürk Stadyumu. Defender Karayel was the best team player with a rating of 7.6. Karayel scored one goal and won 6 of 11 duels.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Giresunspor wasn't a success with a 1-3 loss.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found seven similar matches played by Altay in our archives, and the results are: one win for Altay, one draw and five defeats.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Altay have scored 12 goals in 9 league games away. Altay's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 17 goals from these trips. When Altay is visiting a side on the bottom half, 3 of 3 matches have ended with three or more goals. These are matches against Gazisehir Gaziantep, Kayserispor, Yeni Malatyaspor, Rizespor, Goztepe and Altay.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last five matches): Kasımpaşa two wins, one draw and Altay two victories. As for goals, one match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

KasımpaşaU. Bozok
U. Bozok
7 goals
AltayD. Bamba
D. Bamba
7 goals
AltayC. Pinares Tamayo
C. Pinares Tamayo
3 goals

Kasımpaşa missing players

Altay missing players

Kasımpaşa Altay
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
18 9 2 Played P 3 9 18
2 2 1 Won W 1 2 5
6 3 0 Drew D 0 2 3
10 4 1 Lost L 2 5 10
17 12 3 Scored S 4 12 23
28 14 2 Conceded C 7 17 30
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 94%
89% 89% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 78% 83%
44% 56% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 78% 72%
22% 44% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 56% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 22% 11%
61% 67% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 78% 72%
17% 22% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 11% 11%
28% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 22% 22%
 
5.1 6.1 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 4.8 4.5
4.4 3.3 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 5.7 6.1 5.3
2.8 2.6 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.3 2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
10.2 10.4 12 Shots (avg) S ( 10 10.1 10.7
3.8 4 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.9 4.3
25% 33% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 34% 30%
 
9.4 9.8 6.5 Shots against (avg) S A 14.3 13.2 11.5
4.2 5 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 5.9 5.6
Key stats in Super Lig this season:
  • Altay have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Altay have the most matches over the total-line (12) in Super Lig
  • Kasımpaşa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Kasımpaşa have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Kasımpaşa haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Trabzonspor 18 14 3 1 36 14 8 6 2 0 17 6 10 8 1 1 19 8 22 45
2 Konyaspor 17 9 6 2 28 14 9 6 3 0 16 6 8 3 3 2 12 8 14 33
3 İstanbul Başakşehir 18 10 2 6 29 19 10 7 1 2 17 8 8 3 1 4 12 11 10 32
4 Adana Demirspor 18 8 5 5 26 21 9 5 2 2 12 5 9 3 3 3 14 16 5 29
5 Hatayspor 17 9 2 6 25 20 8 5 1 2 15 9 9 4 1 4 10 11 5 29
6 Fenerbahce 17 8 4 5 28 22 8 4 3 1 16 9 9 4 1 4 12 13 6 28
7 Alanyaspor 17 8 3 6 27 28 8 4 1 3 15 13 9 4 2 3 12 15 -1 27
8 Sivasspor 17 6 7 4 25 16 9 3 5 1 15 7 8 3 2 3 10 9 9 25
9 Besiktas 17 7 4 6 28 26 9 6 1 2 19 13 8 1 3 4 9 13 2 25
10 Fatih Karagumruk 17 7 4 6 24 25 8 3 3 2 13 11 9 4 1 4 11 14 -1 25
11 Galatasaray 18 6 6 6 22 23 8 4 2 2 11 8 10 2 4 4 11 15 -1 24
12 Giresunspor 18 6 4 8 19 18 9 4 2 3 11 8 9 2 2 5 8 10 1 22
13 Antalyaspor 18 6 4 8 21 25 10 5 2 3 16 12 8 1 2 5 5 13 -4 22
14 Gazisehir Gaziantep 17 6 4 7 21 25 8 6 2 0 16 6 9 0 2 7 5 19 -4 22
15 Kayserispor 17 5 5 7 22 26 8 4 3 1 12 5 9 1 2 6 10 21 -4 20
16 Altay 18 5 3 10 23 30 9 3 1 5 11 13 9 2 2 5 12 17 -7 18
17 Rizespor 17 5 1 11 16 32 9 5 1 3 12 9 8 0 0 8 4 23 -16 16
18 Goztepe 17 3 5 9 16 25 9 2 1 6 5 11 8 1 4 3 11 14 -9 14
19 Yeni Malatyaspor 17 4 2 11 14 30 9 2 1 6 11 22 8 2 1 5 3 8 -16 14
20 Kasımpaşa 18 2 6 10 17 28 9 2 3 4 12 14 9 0 3 6 5 14 -11 12

Read more about Super Lig

The Süper Lig is the top league in Turkish football. It has 18 teams who play a season from August to May, meeting each other home and away. After all fixtures have been played the final league table is ready and the champion of Turkey celebrated. The three bottom teams are relegated.