Home advantage could prove decisive in İstanbul Başakşehir - Ankaragücü battle

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Competition: Turkey Super Lig
Competition: Mon 03.May
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu (17319 seats)

İstanbul Başakşehir are welcoming Ankaragücü for another important game after their 2-1 result against 19th-placed BB Erzurumspor.

Insights:
  • İstanbul Başakşehir have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

It's no vacation for neither İstanbul Başakşehir nor Ankaragücü as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Relegation threatens İstanbul Başakşehir who should definitely be looking for some points here. Ankaragücü are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

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İstanbul Başakşehir form and stats

İstanbul Başakşehir have collected 19 points from their Super Lig home games so far after 4-7-7.

A strong away win for İstanbul Başakşehir against BB Erzurumspor the last match, as Fredrik Gulbrandsen and Nacer Chadli were on target. The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 0-0 versus Alanyaspor.

Things did not look good last match, when Alexandru Epureanu got a red card in the 18th minute. They were already behind at this time, but a tremendous finish from Başakşehir resulted in a win! The victory against BB Erzurumspor came after Fredrik Gulbrandsen's winning goal. The İstanbul Başakşehir manager A. Kocaman was very happy afterwards with the decision to bring on that player in the 46th minute.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Başakşehir matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, three draws and zero defeats (from five games).

Başakşehir has scored 24 league goals at home this season, in 18 matches. İstanbul Başakşehir have conceded 27 from these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Ankaragücü form and stats

Ankaragücü have only collected 11 points from their away games in the Super Lig, after 2-5-11 (18 played).

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Super Lig home defeat versus Gazişehir Gaziantep with 0-1 on the scoreboard. Prior to that match, the Ankaragücü manager H. Karaman faced defeat when travelling to Yeni Malatyaspor and losing 1-2.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Ankaragücü playing away, we found four games. Results were two away wins, two draws and zero home wins.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Ankaragücü have scored 18 goals in 18 league games away. Ankaragücü struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 35 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Ankaragücü - Başakşehir 1-2. Last ten meetings between the teams: Başakşehir won eight, Ankaragücü won one and one draw. eight games with over 2,5 goals, two matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

AnkaragücüJ. Paintsil
J. Paintsil
10 goals
AnkaragücüT. Børven
T. Børven
10 goals
BaşakşehirF. Gulbrandsen
F. Gulbrandsen
7 goals

İstanbul Başakşehir missing players

Ankaragücü missing players

İstanbul Başakşehir Ankaragücü
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
36 18 4 Played P 4 18 36
10 4 2 Won W 1 2 10
10 7 2 Drew D 2 5 8
16 7 0 Lost L 1 11 18
39 24 8 Scored S 3 18 43
54 27 6 Conceded C 3 35 57
89% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 89% 94%
75% 72% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 67%
47% 50% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 50% 50%
22% 33% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 39% 31%
17% 22% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 17%
53% 67% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 61% 58%
22% 17% 25% Clean Sheets C S 25% 17% 19%
36% 28% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 28%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.8 1.7 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.4 2.7
7 2 0 Red cards R C 3 6 7
 
12.3 13.1 15.5 Shots (avg) S ( 7.5 7.4 9
4.2 4.6 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.3 3.9
26% 29% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 30% 30%
Key stats in Super Lig this season:
  • İstanbul Başakşehir have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Besiktas 36 24 6 6 78 38 18 13 3 2 41 12 18 11 3 4 37 26 40 78
2 Fenerbahçe 36 22 7 7 64 36 18 10 2 6 30 22 18 12 5 1 34 14 28 73
3 Galatasaray 36 22 6 8 68 33 18 10 6 2 39 15 18 12 0 6 29 18 35 72
4 Trabzonspor 37 17 13 7 45 34 18 9 3 6 26 22 19 8 10 1 19 12 11 64
5 Hatayspor 36 16 9 11 60 44 18 9 4 5 34 22 18 7 5 6 26 22 16 57
6 Alanyaspor 37 16 9 12 55 39 19 12 4 3 40 18 18 4 5 9 15 21 16 57
7 Sivasspor 36 13 16 7 49 41 18 6 8 4 17 14 18 7 8 3 32 27 8 55
8 Gazişehir Gaziantep 36 14 12 10 54 45 18 10 6 2 33 18 18 4 6 8 21 27 9 54
9 Fatih Karagumruk 36 13 12 11 51 44 18 10 4 4 32 18 18 3 8 7 19 26 7 51
10 Goztepe 36 12 12 12 52 49 18 8 5 5 34 24 18 4 7 7 18 25 3 48
11 Antalyaspor 37 9 16 12 38 50 18 6 6 6 22 25 19 3 10 6 16 25 -12 43
12 Konyaspor 36 10 12 14 42 46 18 6 8 4 21 17 18 4 4 10 21 29 -4 42
13 Rizespor 36 10 12 14 47 59 18 7 7 4 27 24 18 3 5 10 20 35 -12 42
14 Yeni Malatyaspor 36 9 13 14 42 48 18 7 6 5 24 20 18 2 7 9 18 28 -6 40
15 İstanbul Başakşehir 36 10 10 16 39 54 18 4 7 7 24 27 18 6 3 9 15 27 -15 40
16 Ankaragücü 36 10 8 18 43 57 18 8 3 7 25 22 18 2 5 11 18 35 -14 38
17 Kayserispor 36 9 11 16 33 49 18 5 6 7 19 23 18 4 5 9 14 26 -16 38
18 Kasımpaşa 36 9 10 17 39 54 18 7 4 7 20 24 18 2 6 10 19 30 -15 37
19 BB Erzurumspor 37 9 10 18 40 62 19 2 8 9 18 29 18 7 2 9 22 33 -22 37
20 Genclerbirligi 36 9 8 19 37 64 18 5 5 8 22 30 18 4 3 11 15 34 -27 35
21 Denizlispor 36 6 10 20 36 66 18 4 6 8 16 22 18 2 4 12 20 44 -30 28

Read more about Super Lig

The Süper Lig is the top league in Turkish football. It has 18 teams who play a season from August to May, meeting each other home and away. After all fixtures have been played the final league table is ready and the champion of Turkey celebrated. The three bottom teams are relegated.