Super Lig prediction and preview: Hatayspor modest favorites to beat Ankaragücü

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Competition: Turkey Super Lig
Competition: Sat 27.February
Match begins: 10:30 (UTC)
Venue: Antakya Atatürk Stadı (6105 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Hatayspor fans are optimistic that the difference between 6th and Ankaragücü's 20th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Hatayspor have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ankaragücü has the fewest points (6) away in Super Lig

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Hatayspor form and stats

When playing at home in the Super Lig, Hatayspor have managed 5 wins, 4 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 12 games.

A good away victory last time out for Hatayspor, who won 3-1 against BB Erzurumspor (placed 17th). Preceding that game was the home draw versus Alanyaspor that ended 0-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Hatayspor have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won six times, drawn one and lost one.

There will be little rest for Hatayspor after this match as they are travelling to Sivasspor for a Super Lig game in only four days.

The Hatayspor fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 18 goals in 12 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Hatayspor have conceded 12 goals.

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Ankaragücü form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Ankaragücü, who have the fewest points (6) away in Super Lig, so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 1-3-8 (win-draw-lose).

Ankaragücü's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Rizespor that finished 1-1. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Kayserispor that ended 0-0.

We have checked recent matches where Ankaragücü have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were two victories, two draws and five defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Galatasaray in just four days.

The attacking power of Ankaragücü when travelling is not overwhelming with 11 goals scored from 12 league matches away. As for defending, Ankaragücü rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 22 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Ankaragücü - Hatayspor 2-0, played this season. Last six meetings between the teams: Hatayspor won one, Ankaragücü won three and two draws. two games with over 2,5 goals, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

HataysporA. Boupendza Pozzi
A. Boupendza Pozzi
18 goals
HataysporM. Diouf
M. Diouf
8 goals
AnkaragücüJ. Paintsil
J. Paintsil
7 goals

Hatayspor missing players

Ankaragücü missing players

Hatayspor Ankaragücü
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
25 12 3 Played P 4 12 24
12 5 2 Won W 0 1 5
6 4 1 Drew D 0 3 5
7 3 0 Lost L 4 8 14
42 18 7 Scored S 4 11 27
30 12 2 Conceded C 10 22 40
92% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 92%
76% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 58% 62%
56% 58% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 42% 46%
36% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 33% 33%
16% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 17% 17%
48% 58% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 54%
36% 33% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 17%
24% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.4 2.4 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.5 2.8
8 2 0 Red cards R C 0 4 5
 
9.9 10.4 12.7 Shots (avg) S ( 7.5 7.1 8.9
4.1 4.3 6.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 3 4
41% 35% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 31% 28%
Key stats in Super Lig this season:
  • Ankaragücü has the fewest points (6) away in Super Lig
  • Hatayspor have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Galatasaray 25 17 3 5 50 19 12 8 3 1 29 7 13 9 0 4 21 12 31 54
2 Besiktas 24 16 3 5 53 26 12 9 1 2 27 7 12 7 2 3 26 19 27 51
3 Fenerbahce 25 16 3 6 47 27 13 7 1 5 21 16 12 9 2 1 26 11 20 51
4 Trabzonspor 25 14 6 5 32 24 12 7 1 4 17 15 13 7 5 1 15 9 8 48
5 Alanyaspor 25 12 6 7 40 24 13 9 2 2 28 11 12 3 4 5 12 13 16 42
6 Hatayspor 25 12 6 7 42 30 12 5 4 3 18 12 13 7 2 4 24 18 12 42
7 Gazisehir Gaziantep 25 10 9 6 37 29 13 7 5 1 23 12 12 3 4 5 14 17 8 39
8 Fatih Karagumruk 25 10 7 8 39 34 12 7 2 3 23 14 13 3 5 5 16 20 5 37
9 Antalyaspor 25 7 12 6 24 29 12 5 4 3 14 15 13 2 8 3 10 14 -5 33
10 Goztepe 25 8 8 9 35 31 12 5 4 3 23 14 13 3 4 6 12 17 4 32
11 Sivasspor 24 7 10 7 28 29 12 3 5 4 11 12 12 4 5 3 17 17 -1 31
12 Konyaspor 24 8 6 10 32 30 12 5 4 3 19 13 12 3 2 7 13 17 2 30
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 25 7 9 9 32 34 13 5 4 4 18 15 12 2 5 5 14 19 -2 30
14 Kasimpasa 25 8 5 12 29 40 13 6 2 5 17 20 12 2 3 7 12 20 -11 29
15 Rizespor 25 6 9 10 30 42 12 5 4 3 19 18 13 1 5 7 11 24 -12 27
16 Kayserispor 25 6 7 12 17 30 12 3 4 5 8 12 13 3 3 7 9 18 -13 25
17 BB Erzurumspor 25 6 7 12 24 39 13 1 6 6 11 19 12 5 1 6 13 20 -15 25
18 Istanbul Basaksehir 25 6 6 13 28 44 13 3 5 5 17 20 12 3 1 8 11 24 -16 24
19 Denizlispor 25 5 6 14 23 43 13 3 3 7 9 15 12 2 3 7 14 28 -20 21
20 Ankaragücü 24 5 5 14 27 40 12 4 2 6 16 18 12 1 3 8 11 22 -13 20
21 Genclerbirligi 24 5 5 14 20 45 12 3 3 6 14 22 12 2 2 8 6 23 -25 20

Read more about Super Lig

The Süper Lig is the top league in Turkish football. It has 18 teams who play a season from August to May, meeting each other home and away. After all fixtures have been played the final league table is ready and the champion of Turkey celebrated. The three bottom teams are relegated.