Super Lig prediction and data: Fenerbahçe odds-on favoured to outplay Alanyaspor

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Turkey Super Lig
Competition: Sun 24.October
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi (50509 seats)

Fenerbahçe are placed 3rd, while Alanyaspor are hanging back 2 points behind in the standings. Can they trim the gap?

Insights:
  • Fenerbahçe have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Alanyaspor have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

Fenerbahçe have less rest than Alanyaspor in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Europa League game only three days ago. This match was also played here at Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Alanyaspor have had more rest.

These teams have little in common geographically as Alanyaspor have to travel 800 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

D L W L W

Fenerbahçe form and stats

3 victories, 1 draw and 0 defeats. That’s what Fenerbahçe have to build on here at Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi in the Super Lig. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Fenerbahçe after consecutive victories at their own ground.

A draw after 90 minutes last time out for Fenerbahçe, who played 2-2 against Antwerp. That match was also played at this venue (Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi). A painful moment in the game against Antwerp was the missed penalty kick from Enner Valencia in the 37th minute. A goal there would obviously have changed the match and probably the outcome. The attacking player Enner Valencia was declared "man of the match" for Fenerbahçe with a rating of 8.8/10. Valencia scored two goals, hit the woodwork once and hit two key passes.

Heartbreak before that as Fenerbahçe lost 1-3 at Trabzonspor's place.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Fenerbahçe have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won three times, drawn one and lost three.

The Fenerbahçe fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 7 goals in 4 league matches. Fenerbahçe have only conceded 3 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

W D D W W

Alanyaspor form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Super Lig travels is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. Visiting Alanyaspor has seen their last two away games both end with a tied score and one point each.

Famara Diédhiou, Davidson (2), Efecan Karaca and Umut Güneş scored in Alanyaspor's previous match, the home game against Kayserispor that ended 6-3. A bizarre fixture with lots of goals last time out for Alanyaspor, as mentioned above. 9 goals in that entertaining match, will this fixture be as full of joy? Midfield player Efecan Karaca was the top player of the team with a match rating of 9.14/10. Karaca scored one goal, signed up for two assists, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times and had 45 successful passes (of 48 total).

A 1-1 draw at Konyaspor's stadium before that.

Alanyaspor are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is four wins, one draw and four defeats. From a total of nine matches.

The attacking power of Alanyaspor when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored from 5 league matches away. Alanyaspor have conceded 7 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - three - two (Fenerbahçe wins - draws - Alanyaspor wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Fenerbahçe missing players

Alanyaspor missing players

Fenerbahçe Alanyaspor
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
9 4 1 Played P 3 5 9
6 3 0 Won W 1 2 5
1 1 1 Drew D 1 2 2
2 0 0 Lost L 1 1 2
13 7 1 Scored S 2 4 14
9 3 1 Conceded C 6 7 14
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
89% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 60% 67%
44% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 20% 33%
11% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 20% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 20% 33%
56% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 40% 44%
33% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 40% 44%
11% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 20% 11%
 
5.2 6 2 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 3 3.9
2.6 2 1 Corners against (avg) C A 8.7 8.2 7.3
2.3 2.5 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.6 2.6
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
10.8 11.8 9 Shots (avg) S ( 9.3 8.2 10
4.9 5.2 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.6 4.6
30% 33% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 22% 34%
Key stats in Super Lig this season:
  • Alanyaspor have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Alanyaspor have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Alanyaspor haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • All of Fenerbahçe's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Fenerbahçe have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Fenerbahçe have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Fenerbahçe have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Fenerbahçe have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Fenerbahçe have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Fenerbahçe haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Trabzonspor 9 6 3 0 19 9 4 2 2 0 8 5 5 4 1 0 11 4 10 21
2 Hatayspor 9 6 1 2 18 7 5 3 1 1 11 5 4 3 0 1 7 2 11 19
3 Fenerbahçe 9 6 1 2 13 9 4 3 1 0 7 3 5 3 0 2 6 6 4 19
4 Besiktas 9 5 2 2 18 11 5 4 1 0 12 4 4 1 1 2 6 7 7 17
5 Fatih Karagumruk 9 5 2 2 15 11 4 3 1 0 10 3 5 2 1 2 5 8 4 17
6 Galatasaray 9 5 2 2 14 12 4 3 0 1 5 3 5 2 2 1 9 9 2 17
7 Alanyaspor 9 5 2 2 14 14 4 3 0 1 10 7 5 2 2 1 4 7 0 17
8 Altay 9 5 0 4 15 14 5 3 0 2 7 5 4 2 0 2 8 9 1 15
9 Konyaspor 9 3 5 1 12 9 4 2 2 0 8 5 5 1 3 1 4 4 3 14
10 Adana Demirspor 9 3 3 3 14 14 5 2 1 2 8 5 4 1 2 1 6 9 0 12
11 Kayserispor 9 3 2 4 13 15 4 2 1 1 7 3 5 1 1 3 6 12 -2 11
12 Gazisehir Gaziantep 9 3 2 4 11 13 4 3 1 0 7 1 5 0 1 4 4 12 -2 11
13 Sivasspor 9 2 4 3 13 11 5 1 3 1 9 6 4 1 1 2 4 5 2 10
14 Istanbul Basaksehir 9 3 0 6 11 12 5 3 0 2 8 4 4 0 0 4 3 8 -1 9
15 Antalyaspor 9 2 3 4 10 14 5 2 1 2 8 8 4 0 2 2 2 6 -4 9
16 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 3 0 6 9 16 5 1 0 4 6 12 4 2 0 2 3 4 -7 9
17 Goztepe 9 2 2 5 9 13 4 1 0 3 2 5 5 1 2 2 7 8 -4 8
18 Giresunspor 9 2 2 5 5 9 5 1 2 2 3 4 4 1 0 3 2 5 -4 8
19 Kasimpasa 9 1 3 5 9 14 5 1 2 2 7 7 4 0 1 3 2 7 -5 6
20 Rizespor 9 0 1 8 6 21 4 0 1 3 3 7 5 0 0 5 3 14 -15 1

Read more about Super Lig

The Süper Lig is the top league in Turkish football. It has 18 teams who play a season from August to May, meeting each other home and away. After all fixtures have been played the final league table is ready and the champion of Turkey celebrated. The three bottom teams are relegated.